BAF

Nông nghiệp BAF Việt Nam ·HOSE ·2026Q1

▼▼ Declining sharply

Margins remain under pressure Net margin 2.81%, −3.58pp YoY
Price
34,500
Latest close
03 Jun 2026
P/E 191.67x
P/B 2.46x
EPS 180
BVPS 14,046
ROE 4.3%
ROA 1.5%
Profit Margin 2.8%
Asset Turnover 0.55x
Equity Mult. 2.83x

TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, BAF posted a very sharp profit drop versus the same period, showing that pressure has clearly fed through to the bottom line — profit momentum has been slowing across consecutive periods. More notably, operating cash flow is significantly negative relative to profit — this is pressure that needs close monitoring.

TTM REVENUE
VND 5,685bn
+7.5%YoY
NET MARGIN
2.81%
−3.6ppYoY
TTM NET PROFIT
VND 160bn
−52.7%YoY
CFO / Net Income
-16.25x
negative cash flow vs profit
Metric Q1'26 Q4'25 Q3'25 Q2'25 Q1'25 Q4'24 Q3'24 Q2'24 Q1'24 Q4'23 Q3'23 Q2'23
Revenue 1,762.2 1,399.2 1,136.3 1,387.3 1,123.6 1,626.7 1,313.8 1,226.0 1,292.0 1,625.0 1,219.0 1,638.3
Growth +26% +23% -18% +23% -31% +24% +7% -5% -20% +33% -26%
Net Income 206.2 -264.9 22.5 196.2 133.5 109.2 60.0 35.2 118.7 -29.5 40.1 12.2
Net Margin 11.70% -18.93% 1.98% 14.14% 11.89% 6.72% 4.57% 2.87% 9.18% -1.81% 3.29% 0.74%

Drivers of BAF's profit

TTM

Net profit attributable to parent declined vs last year, mainly due to higher administrative expenses. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Gross profit ↑ 92.2bn
Administrative expenses ↑ 114.5bn
Finance costs ↑ 89.1bn
Selling expenses ↑ 86.3bn
Other profit ↓ 37.5bn
TTM

Net profit attributable to parent increased vs prior quarter, mainly helped by higher gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Gross profit ↑ 160.7bn
Finance costs ↑ 43.1bn
Selling expenses ↑ 25.6bn
Administrative expenses ↑ 23.4bn

Financial Highlights

Detailed analysis of each financial dimension

ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier

2025Q1 13.3% = 6.4% × 0.69 × 3.01
2026Q1 4.4% = 2.8% × 0.55 × 2.83

ROE fell from 13.3% to 4.4% — all three components weakened, with leverage being the main drag.

Net margin: 2.8% -3.6pp Asset turnover: 0.55x -0.14x Leverage: 2.83x -0.18x

Is the profit sustainable?

Margins narrowed but earnings quality remains clean — pressure is mainly operational.

very positive positive stable watch under pressure

What is driving the margin?

Net margin fell to 2.81%, losing 3.6pp. The main pressure is SG&A / Revenue rose 3.1pp, outweighing the improvement in Gross margin rose 0.4pp (with lingering pressure from Net financial result / Revenue fell 1.1pp and Other profit / Revenue fell 0.7pp).

Margin is under pressure from multiple sides — temporary and structural components need to be separated to properly assess the risk.

Profitability trend

Net Margin 2.81% −3.6pp
Gross Margin 17.74% +0.4pp
SG&A / Revenue 9.41% +3.1pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Is capital being used efficiently?

Capital efficiency is declining — check whether the drag is from margins or turnover.

Is capital being deployed efficiently?

ROIC fell to 2.07%, losing 5.0pp. That translates to 2.07 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. Both NOPAT margin narrowed 3.2pp and capital turnover fell 0.42x, while invested capital expanded strongly by 2,581bn — pressure came from both operational efficiency and asset efficiency.

Both margin and turnover weakened — this is a broad-based decline, and cyclical versus structural components need to be separated.

Watchpoints

ROIC remains low

ROIC is currently 2.07% — below the typical cost-of-capital threshold; worth tracking whether upcoming periods can rise above this level.

CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

ROIC 2.07% −5.0pp
NOPAT Margin 2.48% −3.2pp
Capital Turnover 0.83x −0.42x
Average Invested Capital 6,810.7bn +2,581.2bn

Balance Sheet

ROIC declined — the balance sheet shows how capital is being deployed. Leverage is elevated, requiring monitoring — liabilities at 1.65x equity, net debt at 1.15x equity.

Inventory ended the period at 2,725.6bn, roughly 25.3% of total assets.

Over the last 12 months, working capital absorbed 2,684.9bn of cash, mainly because of higher receivables and higher inventories.

Working Capital Drivers

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables increased → lower CFO: −237.9bn
Inventories increased → lower CFO: −709.8bn
Payables decreased → lower CFO: −1,737.3bn

Working Capital Efficiency

Working capital is being managed more efficiently, supporting overall capital efficiency. Cash conversion cycle improved by 28.3 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO fell 18.2 days, DSO fell 13.6 days, and DPO fell 3.6 days.

Improvement comes mainly from faster inventory turnover — watch whether this trend persists in coming periods.

Working Capital Efficiency

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables 17.1 days −13.6 days
Inventory 153.7 days −18.2 days
Payables 143.8 days −3.6 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 27.0 days −28.3 days

Is financial risk significant?

Leverage is safe but FCF is negative at 4,422.0bn due to capex of 1,880.7bn — an investment choice, not an urgent risk.

Leverage & Liquidity

Leverage warrants monitoring, with net debt / equity at 1.15x and interest coverage only at 0.48x.

At present, short-term debt accounts for 39.6% of total debt, cash equals 2.8% of debt, and total debt stands at 5,039.6bn.

Watchpoints

Net leverage is elevated

Net debt / equity stands at 1.15x, increasing balance-sheet pressure.

Interest coverage is thin

Interest coverage is 0.48x, leaving limited room to absorb financing costs.

Leverage and liquidity trend

Net Debt / Equity 1.15x +0.70x
Interest Coverage 0.48x −0.93x
Cash / Debt 2.8% −34.5pp
Short-term Debt / Total Debt 39.6% −17.3pp
CFO / NI -16.25x −17.97x

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Cash Flow

High leverage combined with cash flow below reveals the actual liquidity pressure. Operating cash flow reached -1,379.7bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of -1,464.1bn.

Post-investment cash flow was negative +2,843.8bn. Financing cash flow was positive +3,059.9bn.

CFO / net income was -16.25x.

After spending +1,880.7bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of −4,422.0bn.

Cash Conversion

TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

CFO TTM 2,541.3bn −3,118.5bn
Cash Capex 1,880.7bn +713.3bn
FCF TTM −4,422.0bn −3,831.8bn

Investment Takeaway

The business is showing a few weaker signals, but the current magnitude is not yet clear enough to conclude that this is a broader weakening phase. The brighter spot is earnings conversion is confirmed, with CFO/NI at -16.25x. The main risk still sits in core profitability, with net margin down 3.6 pp.

Improvement: earnings conversion looks more confirmed, with CFO / net income at -16.25x.

Key risk: profitability remains under pressure, with trailing-12M net margin at 2.81% after a 3.6pp decline versus the same period last year.

Statement Data

Item 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Net Revenue
5,037.9 5,640.7 5,198.8 7,083.4 10,413.6
Cost of Goods Sold
4,356.0 4,924.4 4,855.5 6,558.0 0.0
Gross Profit
681.9 716.3 343.3 525.4 488.3
Financial Expenses
290.6 222.2 155.4 31.2 -32.1
Selling Expenses
85.1 76.6 93.2 72.2 -15.7
General and Administrative Expenses
241.0 137.3 99.5 87.6 -55.0
Operating Profit
86.7 302.4 33.1 343.5 390.1
Profit Before Tax
99.8 406.2 24.5 338.9 390.5
Net Income
127.1 318.9 30.3 287.8 321.8
Profit Attributable to Parent
126.6 317.0 26.4 286.7 321.8
Earnings per Share
499.00 1,556.00 184.00 2,592.00 4,125.18

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