CFV

Cà phê Thắng Lợi ·UPCOM ·2026Q1

▼▼ Declining sharply

Margins remain under pressure Net margin 3.50%, −13.76pp YoY
Price
17,000
Latest close
03 Jun 2026
P/E 15.11x
P/B 1.05x
EPS 1,125
BVPS 16,175
ROE 7.3%
ROA 3.4%
Profit Margin 3.5%
Asset Turnover 0.96x
Equity Mult. 2.16x

TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, CFV is holding revenue at an acceptable level, but margins are eroding visibly — profit momentum has been slowing across consecutive periods. More notably, operating cash flow is significantly negative relative to profit — this is pressure that needs close monitoring.

TTM REVENUE
VND 407bn
+86.4%YoY
NET MARGIN
3.50%
−13.8ppYoY
TTM NET PROFIT
VND 14bn
−62.2%YoY
CFO / Net Income
-13.05x
negative cash flow vs profit
Metric Q1'26 Q4'25 Q3'25 Q2'25 Q1'25 Q4'24 Q3'24 Q2'24 Q1'24 Q4'23 Q3'23 Q2'23
Revenue 116.9 76.2 22.3 191.5 90.1 21.6 7.1 99.5 165.4 74.5 84.9 181.9
Growth +53% +242% -88% +113% +316% +203% -93% -40% +122% -12% -53%
Net Income 1.4 15.0 -2.7 0.6 0.6 15.2 2.9 18.9 10.0 2.2 -1.8 1.1
Net Margin 1.18% 19.66% -12.15% 0.30% 0.69% 70.47% 41.03% 18.99% 6.05% 3.00% -2.13% 0.62%

Drivers of CFV's profit

TTM

Net profit attributable to parent declined vs last year, mainly due to higher finance costs. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Finance costs ↑ 10.0bn
Gross profit ↓ 8.6bn
Other profit ↓ 7.1bn
TTM

Net profit attributable to parent increased vs prior quarter, mainly helped by higher gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Gross profit ↑ 4.4bn
Finance costs ↑ 2.3bn
Administrative expenses ↑ 0.6bn
Selling expenses ↑ 0.3bn
Other profit ↓ 0.2bn

Financial Highlights

Detailed analysis of each financial dimension

ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier

2025Q1 22.5% = 17.3% × 0.66 × 1.99
2026Q1 7.3% = 3.5% × 0.96 × 2.16

ROE fell from 22.5% to 7.3% — net margin weakened the most, though asset turnover and leverage still provided support.

Net margin: 3.5% -13.8pp Asset turnover: 0.96x +0.31x Leverage: 2.16x +0.17x

Is the profit sustainable?

Margins narrowed but earnings quality remains clean — pressure is mainly operational.

very positive positive stable watch under pressure

What is driving the margin?

Net margin fell to 3.50%, losing 13.8pp. The main pressure is Gross margin fell 13.2pp, outweighing the improvement in SG&A / Revenue fell 2.0pp (with lingering pressure from Net financial result / Revenue fell 3.5pp and Other profit / Revenue fell 2.6pp).

Margin is under pressure from multiple sides — temporary and structural components need to be separated to properly assess the risk.

Profitability trend

Net Margin 3.50% −13.8pp
Gross Margin 10.74% −13.2pp
SG&A / Revenue 4.20% −2.0pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Is capital being used efficiently?

Capital efficiency should be read in industry context — ROIC may fluctuate with business specifics.

Is capital being deployed efficiently?

Track how much operating profit the business generates on invested capital.

Industry characteristics make ROIC cyclical — this is a reference signal and should be read with the business context.

CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

ROIC
NOPAT Margin
Capital Turnover 1.01x +0.30x
Average Invested Capital 403.6bn +93.6bn

Balance Sheet

ROIC above should be read with industry context — the balance sheet below adds perspective. Capital structure is balanced — liabilities at 0.71x equity, net debt at 0.95x equity.

Inventory ended the period at 103.7bn, roughly 29.8% of total assets.

Over the last 12 months, working capital released 0.0bn of cash.

Working Capital Drivers

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables were broadly stable → neutral CFO:
Inventories were broadly stable → neutral CFO:
Payables were broadly stable → neutral CFO:

Working Capital Efficiency

Working capital is being managed more efficiently, supporting overall capital efficiency. Cash conversion cycle improved by 135.6 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO fell 126.1 days, DSO fell 10.9 days, and DPO fell 1.5 days.

Improvement comes mainly from faster inventory turnover — watch whether this trend persists in coming periods.

Watchpoints

Cash conversion cycle remains stretched

CCC stands at 222.4 days, suggesting that working capital remains tied up for a relatively long operating cycle.

Working Capital Efficiency

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables 20.8 days −10.9 days
Inventory 201.9 days −126.1 days
Payables 0.3 days −1.5 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 222.4 days −135.6 days

Is financial risk significant?

Leverage is safe but FCF is negative at 209.5bn due to capex of 23.8bn — an investment choice, not an urgent risk.

Leverage & Liquidity

Leverage warrants monitoring, with net debt / equity at 0.95x and interest coverage only at 1.72x.

At present, short-term debt accounts for 91.1% of total debt, cash equals 0.1% of debt, and total debt stands at 194.3bn.

Watchpoints

Interest coverage is thin

Interest coverage is 1.72x, leaving limited room to absorb financing costs.

Short-term refinancing pressure is meaningful

Short-term debt accounts for 91.1% of total debt, raising near-term refinancing needs.

Leverage and liquidity trend

Net Debt / Equity 0.95x −0.24x
Interest Coverage 1.72x −14.82x
Cash / Debt 0.1% −0.1pp
Short-term Debt / Total Debt 91.1% −8.9pp
CFO / NI -13.05x −17.56x

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Cash Flow

Operating cash flow reached -105.2bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of 13.0bn.

Post-investment cash flow was negative +92.2bn. Financing cash flow was positive +92.2bn.

CFO / net income was -13.05x.

After spending +23.8bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of −209.5bn.

Cash Conversion

TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

CFO TTM 185.7bn −355.7bn
Cash Capex 23.8bn +23.5bn
FCF TTM −209.5bn −379.2bn

Investment Takeaway

The business is showing a few weaker signals, but the current magnitude is not yet clear enough to conclude that this is a broader weakening phase. The next item to monitor is the earnings mix, when non-core contribution is 17.2%. The main risk still sits in core profitability, with net margin down 13.8 pp.

Watchpoint: the earnings mix still needs monitoring, with net financial result still accounting for 17.2% of PBT and CFO / net income currently at -13.05x.

Key risk: profitability remains under pressure, with trailing-12M net margin at 3.50% after a 13.8pp decline versus the same period last year.

Statement Data

Item 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Net Revenue
380.1 293.7 456.0 450.7 352.0
Cost of Goods Sold
341.1 224.7 434.2 432.6 0.0
Gross Profit
39.0 68.9 21.8 18.1 33.4
Financial Expenses
10.3 3.1 6.1 4.0 -3.0
Selling Expenses
6.8 7.2 8.3 8.5 -13.1
General and Administrative Expenses
9.9 8.9 12.7 13.2 -16.3
Operating Profit
19.9 56.3 2.1 -1.2 6.3
Profit Before Tax
22.0 59.4 4.9 1.9 7.8
Net Income
17.3 47.0 3.5 1.4 6.1
Profit Attributable to Parent
17.3 47.0 3.5 1.4 6.1
Earnings per Share
1,370.00 3,718.00 279.00 105.00 483.67

Explore Other Stocks In The Same Sector

HAG, NSC, BAF, VSF, VOC, KTC, TCO, LTG, KGM, SSC, MCF, TAN, BLT, HKT, SEP, FHN, SVN, BHG, HSL, CTP, CNA, VLF, CVN, CPA, FGL, TAR, HKB, AGM, HNG

Need support? If you need support with content lookup or want to provide feedback about content on the website, please contact us below.