DAG

Tập đoàn Nhựa Đông Á ·UPCOM ·2024Q3

▼▼ Declining sharply

Margins remain under pressure Net margin −244.56%, −236.07pp YoY
Price
Latest close
P/E
P/B
EPS -14,803
BVPS -1,833
ROE -143.7%
ROA -17.4%
Profit Margin -244.6%
Asset Turnover 0.07x
Equity Mult. 8.27x

TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2024Q3 basis, DAG posted a very sharp profit drop versus the same period, showing that pressure has clearly fed through to the bottom line — margins have been compressing consistently over multiple periods. More notably, a significant portion of profit is supported by non-core sources, further affecting earnings quality.

TTM REVENUE
VND 116bn
−93.0%YoY
NET MARGIN
−244.56%
−236.1ppYoY
TTM NET PROFIT
−VND 285bn
−102.8%YoY
Net financial result / PBT
36.5%
affects earnings quality
Metric Q3'24 Q2'24 Q1'24 Q4'23 Q3'23 Q2'23 Q1'23 Q4'22 Q3'22 Q2'22 Q1'22 Q4'21
Revenue 0.0 55.3 30.3 30.7 213.8 400.4 558.8 480.9 546.6 632.9 552.1 392.1
Growth -100% +82% -1% -86% -47% -28% +16% -12% -14% +15% +41%
Net Income -180.5 -66.6 -15.1 -22.3 -16.2 -102.7 -21.4 0.1 3.4 5.0 1.9 6.1
Net Margin -120.36% -49.61% -72.84% -7.59% -25.66% -3.83% 0.01% 0.61% 0.80% 0.34% 1.57%

Drivers of DAG's profit

TTM

Net profit attributable to parent declined vs last year, mainly due to lower gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Gross profit ↓ 97.6bn
Administrative expenses ↑ 22.7bn
Finance costs ↑ 19.9bn
Financial income ↓ 16.4bn
TTM

Net profit attributable to parent declined vs prior quarter, mainly due to higher administrative expenses. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Administrative expenses ↑ 122.9bn
Finance costs ↑ 29.1bn

Financial Highlights

Detailed analysis of each financial dimension

ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier

2023Q3 -23.4% = -8.5% × 0.69 × 3.99
2024Q3 -143.7% = -244.6% × 0.07 × 8.27

ROE fell from -23.4% to -143.7% — net margin weakened the most, though leverage still provided support.

Net margin: -244.6% -236.1pp Asset turnover: 0.07x -0.62x Leverage: 8.27x +4.28x

Is the profit sustainable?

Margins are under pressure while earnings still rely significantly on non-core sources.

very positive positive stable watch under pressure

What is driving the margin?

Net margin fell to -244.56%, losing 236.1pp. The main pressure comes from SG&A / Revenue rose 114.6pp and Gross margin fell 36.3pp (with lingering pressure from Net financial result / Revenue fell 85.1pp).

Margin is under pressure from multiple sides — temporary and structural components need to be separated to properly assess the risk.

Profitability trend

Net Margin -244.56% −236.1pp
Gross Margin -32.74% −36.3pp
SG&A / Revenue 122.37% +114.6pp
Non-core / Revenue -89.45% −85.2pp

TTM YoY · 2023Q3 -> 2024Q3

Watchpoints

Financial result share remains high

Even though contribution decreased by 85.2pp, financial result still accounts for 36.6% of PBT — earnings durability should be monitored in coming periods.

Is capital being used efficiently?

Capital efficiency is declining — check whether the drag is from margins or turnover.

Is capital being deployed efficiently?

ROIC fell to -20.64%, losing 13.2pp. That translates to -20.64 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. Both NOPAT margin narrowed 236.1pp and capital turnover fell 0.83x, while invested capital contracted by 425bn — pressure came from both operational efficiency and asset efficiency.

Pressure came from the margin side — core operations are weakening, not just a temporary asset-management issue.

Watchpoints

ROIC remains low

ROIC is currently -20.64% — below the typical cost-of-capital threshold; worth tracking whether upcoming periods can rise above this level.

CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND

TTM YoY · 2023Q3 -> 2024Q3

ROIC -20.64% −13.2pp
NOPAT Margin -244.27% −236.1pp
Capital Turnover 0.08x −0.83x
Average Invested Capital 1,377.2bn −424.8bn

Balance Sheet

ROIC declined — the balance sheet shows how capital is being deployed. Leverage is very high, with clear pressure on the capital structure — liabilities at 16.99x equity, with a net cash position equivalent to 9.93x equity.

Inventory ended the period at 557.6bn, roughly 38.7% of total assets.

Over the last 12 months, working capital absorbed 137.3bn of cash, mainly because of higher receivables and lower payables. Part of that drag was offset by lower inventories.

Working Capital Drivers

TTM YoY · 2023Q3 -> 2024Q3

Receivables increased → lower CFO: −67.0bn
Inventories decreased → higher CFO: +251.6bn
Payables decreased → lower CFO: −321.9bn

Working Capital Efficiency

The inventory build-up noted above is reflected in a longer cash cycle. Cash conversion cycle lengthened by 2723.5 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO rose 1893.1 days, DSO rose 931.9 days, and DPO rose 101.5 days.

Working capital cycle lengthened mainly due to slower inventory turnover — more capital is being tied up in inventory.

Watchpoints

Cash conversion cycle remains stretched

CCC stands at 2984.3 days, suggesting that working capital remains tied up for a relatively long operating cycle.

Receivables collection is slowing

DSO increased by +931.9 days, pointing to slower receivables turnover.

Working Capital Efficiency

TTM YoY · 2023Q3 -> 2024Q3

Receivables 1044.3 days +931.9 days
Inventory 2104.2 days +1893.1 days
Payables 164.1 days +101.5 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 2984.3 days +2723.5 days

Is financial risk significant?

Leverage is safe but FCF is negative at 371.9bn due to capex of 0.0bn — an investment choice, not an urgent risk.

Leverage & Liquidity

Leverage warrants monitoring, with net debt / equity at -9.93x and interest coverage only at -2.72x.

At present, short-term debt accounts for 66.8% of total debt, cash equals 0.4% of debt, and total debt stands at 1,102.1bn.

Watchpoints

Interest coverage is thin

Interest coverage is -2.72x, leaving limited room to absorb financing costs.

Short-term refinancing pressure is meaningful

Short-term debt accounts for 66.8% of total debt, raising near-term refinancing needs.

Leverage and liquidity trend

Net Debt / Equity -9.93x −12.42x
Interest Coverage -2.72x −1.11x
Cash / Debt 0.4% −0.2pp
Short-term Debt / Total Debt 66.8% −4.9pp
CFO / NI 1.31x +0.34x

TTM YoY · 2023Q3 -> 2024Q3

Cash Flow

Operating cash flow reached -15.1bn in 2023, against investing cash flow of 182.6bn.

Post-investment cash flow was positive +167.5bn. Financing cash flow was negative +167.5bn.

CFO / net income was 1.31x.

After spending 0.0bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of −371.9bn.

Cash Conversion

TTM Cash Conversion · 2023Q3 -> 2024Q3

CFO TTM 371.9bn −236.1bn
Cash Capex 0.0bn −12.0bn
FCF TTM −371.9bn −224.1bn

Investment Takeaway

The business is showing a few weaker signals, but the current magnitude is not yet clear enough to conclude that this is a broader weakening phase. Even so, earnings quality still needs closer monitoring because net financial result remains elevated. The main risk still sits in core profitability, with net margin down 236.1 pp.

Watchpoint: cash flow is currently keeping pace with accounting earnings, with CFO / net income at 1.31x. Even so, net financial result still accounts for 36.5% of PBT, so the earnings mix still needs monitoring.

Key risk: profitability remains under pressure, with trailing-12M net margin at -244.56% after a 236.1pp decline versus the same period last year.

Statement Data

Item 2023 2022 2021 2020
Net Revenue
1,215.5 2,243.0 1,936.2 1,767.4
Cost of Goods Sold
1,587.4 2,132.9 0.0 0.0
Gross Profit
-371.9 110.1 112.1 113.6
Financial Expenses
90.7 69.3 -63.4 -45.6
Selling Expenses
9.9 9.3 -9.8 -31.0
General and Administrative Expenses
148.2 29.0 -24.9 -20.4
Operating Profit
-608.8 12.8 21.6 16.9
Profit Before Tax
-606.8 14.5 15.5 14.9
Net Income
-606.8 7.4 8.9 11.4
Profit Attributable to Parent
-606.8 7.4 8.9 11.4
Earnings per Share
-10,187.00 124.00 234.00 221.00

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