HCD
Đầu tư Sản xuất và Thương mại HCD ·HOSE ·2026Q1
▼▼ Declining sharply
TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity
What Is Changing
On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, HCD is declining across multiple metrics versus the same period, suggesting current pressure is not coming from just one side — margins have been compressing consistently over multiple periods. More notably, operating cash flow is significantly negative relative to profit — this is pressure that needs close monitoring.
| Metric | Q1'26 | Q4'25 | Q3'25 | Q2'25 | Q1'25 | Q4'24 | Q3'24 | Q2'24 | Q1'24 | Q4'23 | Q3'23 | Q2'23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 205.9 | 228.4 | 198.7 | 186.2 | 177.0 | 202.1 | 248.6 | 225.8 | 192.8 | 258.4 | 183.3 | 240.5 |
| Growth | -10% | +15% | +7% | +5% | -12% | -19% | +10% | +17% | -25% | +41% | -24% | — |
| Net Income | 7.4 | 6.3 | 3.5 | 5.9 | 8.0 | 5.2 | 8.3 | 8.4 | 14.3 | 22.6 | 12.8 | 8.4 |
| Net Margin | 3.57% | 2.76% | 1.76% | 3.16% | 4.54% | 2.55% | 3.34% | 3.73% | 7.40% | 8.75% | 6.97% | 3.50% |
Drivers of HCD's profit
Net profit attributable to parent declined vs last year, mainly due to lower gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Net profit attributable to parent declined vs prior quarter, mainly due to lower gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Financial Highlights
Detailed analysis of each financial dimension
ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier
ROE fell from 6.3% to 4.6% — asset turnover weakened the most, though leverage still provided support.
Is the profit sustainable?
Margins narrowed but earnings quality remains clean — pressure is mainly operational.
What is driving the margin?
Net margin narrowed to 2.81%, falling 0.7pp. The main pressure comes from Gross margin fell 0.8pp and SG&A / Revenue rose 0.3pp (with additional support from Net financial result / Revenue rose 0.3pp).
The pressure comes from core operations — this is a concerning type of decline, not a one-off movement.
Profitability trend
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Is capital being used efficiently?
Capital efficiency is declining — check whether the drag is from margins or turnover.
Is capital being deployed efficiently?
ROIC narrowed to 3.58%, falling 1.2pp. That translates to 3.58 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. Both NOPAT margin narrowed 0.6pp and capital turnover fell 0.12x, with invested capital holding roughly steady — pressure came from both operational efficiency and asset efficiency.
Pressure came from the margin side — core operations are weakening, not just a temporary asset-management issue.
Watchpoints
ROIC is currently 3.58% — below the typical cost-of-capital threshold; worth tracking whether upcoming periods can rise above this level.
CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Balance Sheet
ROIC declined — the balance sheet shows how capital is being deployed. Capital structure is conservative with low leverage — liabilities at 0.61x equity, net debt at 0.31x equity.
Inventory ended the period at 273.4bn, roughly 33.9% of total assets.
Over the last 12 months, working capital absorbed 107.7bn of cash, mainly because of higher receivables. Part of that drag was offset by lower inventories and higher payables.
Working Capital Drivers
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Working Capital Efficiency
Cash conversion cycle improved by 0.0 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO rose 0.7 days, DSO rose 11.8 days, and DPO rose 12.5 days.
Working capital cycle is flat — components are offsetting each other.
Watchpoints
CCC stands at 144.4 days, suggesting that working capital remains tied up for a relatively long operating cycle.
DSO increased by +11.8 days, pointing to slower receivables turnover.
Working Capital Efficiency
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Is financial risk significant?
Check leverage, liquidity, and cash-flow conversion.
Leverage & Liquidity
Leverage looks fairly comfortable, with net debt / equity at 0.31x and interest coverage at 4.04x.
At present, short-term debt accounts for 100.0% of total debt, cash equals 4.7% of debt, and total debt stands at 166.3bn.
Watchpoints
Short-term debt accounts for 100.0% of total debt, raising near-term refinancing needs.
Cash / debt stands at 4.7%, leaving limited liquidity buffer to monitor.
Leverage and liquidity trend
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Cash Flow
Operating cash flow reached -59.7bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of 38.0bn.
Post-investment cash flow was negative +21.7bn. Financing cash flow was negative +33.6bn.
CFO / net income was -3.43x.
Track how much investment can be funded internally from operating cash flow.
Cash capex or FCF data is incomplete, so the cash-conversion view is only partial.
Cash Conversion
TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Investment Takeaway
The business is under real pressure, but the current picture has not turned broadly adverse. A notable area has clearly weakened, making the near-term outlook hard to call bright; even so, other parts of the business are still holding up, with capital efficiency remains weak remaining the main constraint, with ROIC at 3.6%. The next watchpoint is cash generation still needs confirmation. The main offsetting support comes from earnings conversion is confirmed, with CFO/NI at -3.43x.
Improvement: earnings conversion looks more confirmed, with CFO / net income at -3.43x.
Watchpoint: Cash generation still needs confirmation.
Key risk: Capital efficiency remains weak.
Statement Data
| Item | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Net Revenue
|
790.2 | 869.3 | 913.0 | 744.5 | 732.5 |
|
Cost of Goods Sold
|
746.9 | 815.2 | 843.8 | 697.7 | 0.0 |
|
Gross Profit
|
43.3 | 54.1 | 69.2 | 46.8 | 58.4 |
|
Financial Expenses
|
11.2 | 16.2 | 15.8 | 10.3 | -4.8 |
|
Selling Expenses
|
0.9 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.2 | -0.0 |
|
General and Administrative Expenses
|
5.3 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 2.8 | -2.2 |
|
Operating Profit
|
26.0 | 37.8 | 63.5 | 46.7 | 56.4 |
|
Profit Before Tax
|
26.0 | 37.7 | 63.3 | 48.6 | 56.3 |
|
Net Income
|
20.0 | 30.2 | 51.9 | 40.2 | 48.4 |
|
Profit Attributable to Parent
|
20.0 | 30.2 | 51.9 | 40.2 | 48.4 |
|
Earnings per Share
|
542.00 | 817.00 | 1,403.00 | 1,272.00 | 1,793.24 |
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