HLC
Than Hà Lầm - Vinacomin ·HNX ·2026Q1
● Maintaining
TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity
What Is Changing
On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, HLC is in an offsetting state — revenue softened slightly but margins improved. What is still missing is a signal strong enough to tilt this picture clearly in either direction.
| Metric | Q1'26 | Q4'25 | Q3'25 | Q2'25 | Q1'25 | Q4'24 | Q3'24 | Q2'24 | Q1'24 | Q4'23 | Q3'23 | Q2'23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 828.8 | 464.1 | 729.0 | 846.2 | 838.7 | 943.1 | 565.2 | 759.3 | 731.0 | 710.9 | 787.2 | 860.4 |
| Growth | +79% | -36% | -14% | +1% | -11% | +67% | -26% | +4% | +3% | -10% | -9% | — |
| Net Income | 11.9 | -29.4 | 74.3 | 23.7 | 15.0 | 26.3 | 11.3 | 21.2 | 21.3 | 21.0 | 22.7 | 24.0 |
| Net Margin | 1.44% | -6.33% | 10.19% | 2.80% | 1.79% | 2.79% | 2.00% | 2.79% | 2.92% | 2.95% | 2.88% | 2.79% |
Drivers of HLC's profit
Net profit attributable to parent increased vs last year, mainly helped by higher gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Net profit attributable to parent declined vs prior quarter, mainly due to higher finance costs. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Financial Highlights
Detailed analysis of each financial dimension
ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier
ROE rose from 16.7% to 18.1% — mainly driven by net margin, despite asset turnover and leverage moving in the opposite direction.
Is the profit sustainable?
Margins are improving and earnings quality is solid — a durable foundation for ROE.
What is driving the margin?
Net margin edged up to 2.81%, rising 0.4pp. Core operating signals are improving as Gross margin rose 1.1pp are enough to offset pressure from SG&A / Revenue rose 0.8pp (with additional support from Other profit / Revenue rose 0.2pp and Net financial result / Revenue rose 0.0pp).
Margin improves from both core operations and non-core items — the core foundation is positive, but the sustainability of non-core contributions needs monitoring.
Profitability trend
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Is capital being used efficiently?
Return on capital rose, but cash cycle lengthened by 25.5 days — working capital needs watching.
Is capital being deployed efficiently?
ROIC edged up to 7.90%, rising 1.4pp. That translates to 7.90 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. The main driver is NOPAT margin rose 0.6pp, with capital turnover fell 0.14x; with invested capital holding roughly steady.
NOPAT margin expansion has lifted ROIC above the deposit-rate threshold but below typical cost of equity — more same-direction periods are needed to confirm a structural shift.
CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Balance Sheet
ROIC is improving — the asset structure below shows how capital is being allocated. Leverage is elevated, requiring monitoring — liabilities at 2.72x equity, net debt at 1.59x equity.
Inventory ended the period at 582.0bn, roughly 36.0% of total assets.
Over the last 12 months, working capital absorbed 181.9bn of cash, mainly because of higher inventories and lower payables. Part of that drag was offset by lower receivables.
Working Capital Drivers
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Working Capital Efficiency
Cash conversion cycle lengthened by 25.5 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO rose 30.2 days, DSO fell 4.0 days, and DPO rose 0.8 days.
Working capital cycle lengthened mainly due to slower inventory turnover — more capital is being tied up in inventory.
Watchpoints
CCC is up by +25.5 days, indicating weaker working-capital turnover versus the prior year.
DIO increased by +30.2 days, suggesting more capital is being tied up in inventories.
Working Capital Efficiency
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Is financial risk significant?
Check leverage, liquidity, and cash-flow conversion.
Leverage & Liquidity
Leverage warrants monitoring, with net debt / equity at 1.59x and interest coverage only at 3.25x.
At present, short-term debt accounts for 64.5% of total debt, cash equals 0.6% of debt, and total debt stands at 711.7bn.
Watchpoints
Net debt / equity stands at 1.59x, increasing balance-sheet pressure.
Short-term debt accounts for 64.5% of total debt, raising near-term refinancing needs.
Leverage and liquidity trend
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Cash Flow
Leverage needs watching — cash flow below shows the ability to service debt from operations. Operating cash flow reached 143.8bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of -185.3bn.
Post-investment cash flow was negative +41.6bn. Financing cash flow was positive +35.9bn.
CFO / net income was 0.45x.
After spending +168.5bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of −132.2bn.
Cash Conversion
TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Investment Takeaway
The business is under real pressure, but the current picture has not turned broadly adverse. A notable area has clearly weakened, making the near-term outlook hard to call bright; even so, other parts of the business are still holding up, with leverage and liquidity remaining the main constraint, with interest coverage at 3.25x. The main offsetting support comes from earnings conversion is confirmed, with CFO/NI at 0.45x.
Improvement: earnings conversion looks more confirmed, with CFO / net income at 0.45x.
Key risk: leverage and liquidity remain a pressure point, with net debt / equity at 1.59x and a thin cash buffer.
Statement Data
| Item | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Net Revenue
|
2,874.8 | 2,999.1 | 3,134.1 | 3,751.4 | 3,234.5 |
|
Cost of Goods Sold
|
2,579.2 | 2,663.0 | 2,752.1 | 3,361.0 | 0.0 |
|
Gross Profit
|
295.6 | 336.1 | 382.0 | 390.3 | 407.8 |
|
Financial Expenses
|
25.8 | 35.4 | 112.4 | 142.4 | -175.4 |
|
Selling Expenses
|
3.8 | 3.8 | 4.4 | 4.6 | -4.1 |
|
General and Administrative Expenses
|
167.9 | 157.0 | 146.8 | 146.3 | -134.5 |
|
Operating Profit
|
98.8 | 141.1 | 119.3 | 98.0 | 94.8 |
|
Profit Before Tax
|
102.8 | 117.5 | 124.0 | 99.0 | 94.6 |
|
Net Income
|
82.1 | 87.7 | 99.2 | 78.6 | 75.4 |
|
Profit Attributable to Parent
|
82.1 | 87.7 | 99.2 | 78.6 | 75.4 |
|
Earnings per Share
|
3,229.00 | 3,452.00 | 3,902.00 | 3,094.00 | 1.00 |
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