OIL

Tổng Công ty Dầu Việt Nam - CTCP ·UPCOM ·2026Q1

▲▲ Improving positively

Cash generation is recovering CFO/NPAT 5598 bn, +7786 bn YoY
Price
14,700
Latest close
03 Jun 2026
P/E 16.59x
P/B 1.25x
EPS 886
BVPS 11,772
ROE 7.7%
ROA 1.9%
Profit Margin 0.6%
Asset Turnover 3.51x
Equity Mult. 4.00x

TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, OIL is growing strongly on the back of scale expansion, while margins have only improved slightly — earnings have been recovering gradually over multiple periods. What is still missing is the ability to translate this revenue momentum into more visible margin improvement.

TTM REVENUE
VND 166,077bn
+30.1%YoY
NET MARGIN
0.62%
+0.4ppYoY
TTM NET PROFIT
VND 1,027bn
+314.1%YoY
Metric Q1'26 Q4'25 Q3'25 Q2'25 Q1'25 Q4'24 Q3'24 Q2'24 Q1'24 Q4'23 Q3'23 Q2'23
Revenue 44,863.9 48,482.3 32,776.1 39,954.4 32,788.6 29,075.5 31,077.2 34,755.2 29,624.3 35,793.9 24,012.4 22,321.4
Growth -7% +48% -18% +22% +13% -6% -11% +17% -17% +49% +8%
Net Income 571.9 115.8 138.9 200.8 26.0 91.1 37.1 94.0 244.2 -36.5 234.7 189.5
Net Margin 1.27% 0.24% 0.42% 0.50% 0.08% 0.31% 0.12% 0.27% 0.82% -0.10% 0.98% 0.85%

Drivers of OIL's profit

TTM

Net profit attributable to parent increased vs last year, mainly helped by higher gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Gross profit ↑ 1,925.3bn
Financial income ↑ 223.0bn
Selling expenses ↑ 672.9bn
Administrative expenses ↑ 297.4bn
Associates income ↓ 186.4bn
Tax ↑ 182.0bn
TTM

Net profit attributable to parent increased vs prior quarter, mainly helped by higher gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Gross profit ↑ 1,341.5bn
Selling expenses ↑ 471.4bn
Administrative expenses ↑ 213.6bn
Tax ↑ 117.0bn
Finance costs ↑ 64.5bn

Financial Highlights

Detailed analysis of each financial dimension

ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier

2025Q1 2.1% = 0.2% × 3.32 × 3.32
2026Q1 8.7% = 0.6% × 3.51 × 4.00

ROE rose from 2.1% to 8.7% — all three components improved, with leverage contributing the most.

Net margin: 0.6% +0.4pp Asset turnover: 3.51x +0.19x Leverage: 4.00x +0.68x

Is the profit sustainable?

Start with profitability and earnings quality.

very positive positive stable watch under pressure

What is driving the margin?

Net margin edged up to 0.62%, rising 0.4pp. The main driver is Gross margin rose 0.5pp and SG&A / Revenue fell 0.1pp, moving in line with the stronger net margin (with additional support from Other profit / Revenue rose 0.0pp).

The improvement comes from core operations — this is a high-quality margin expansion.

Profitability trend

Net Margin 0.62% +0.4pp
Gross Margin 3.45% +0.5pp
SG&A / Revenue 2.80% −0.1pp
Non-core / Revenue 0.24% +0.1pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Watchpoints

Contribution from financial result

Profit includes a contribution from financial result (30.7% of PBT), not dominant but worth monitoring across periods.

Is capital being used efficiently?

Capital is being used more efficiently — ROIC rose and cash cycle shortened to -6.7 days.

Is capital being deployed efficiently?

ROIC expanded to 6.10%, rising 4.6pp. That translates to 6.10 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. Both NOPAT margin rose 0.4pp and capital turnover rose 2.44x, with invested capital holding roughly steady — capital-return quality improved from both sides.

NOPAT margin expansion has lifted ROIC above the deposit-rate threshold but below typical cost of equity — more same-direction periods are needed to confirm a structural shift.

CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

ROIC 6.10% +4.6pp
NOPAT Margin 0.58% +0.4pp
Capital Turnover 10.58x +2.44x
Average Invested Capital 15,698.6bn +9.5bn

Balance Sheet

ROIC is improving — the asset structure below shows how capital is being allocated. Capital structure is conservative with low leverage — liabilities at 2.95x equity, net debt at 0.16x equity.

Over the last 12 months, working capital released 7,064.2bn of cash, mainly thanks to lower receivables and higher payables. Pressure from higher inventories only partly offset that benefit.

Working Capital Drivers

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables decreased → higher CFO: +2,242.7bn
Inventories increased → lower CFO: −7,792.9bn
Payables increased → higher CFO: +12,614.4bn

Working Capital Efficiency

Working capital is being managed more efficiently, supporting overall capital efficiency. Cash conversion cycle improved by 7.3 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO rose 4.0 days, DSO fell 5.6 days, and DPO rose 5.8 days.

Extended payment timing is the main driver — consider whether this trades off supplier relationships.

Watchpoints

Inventory turnover is slowing

DIO increased by +4.0 days, suggesting more capital is being tied up in inventories.

Working Capital Efficiency

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables 20.4 days −5.6 days
Inventory 16.6 days +4.0 days
Payables 43.7 days +5.8 days
Cash Conversion Cycle -6.7 days −7.3 days

Is financial risk significant?

Financial risk is low — leverage is safe, both CFO and FCF are positive.

Leverage & Liquidity

Leverage is balanced for now, with net debt / equity at 0.16x and interest coverage at 2.31x.

At present, short-term debt accounts for 98.8% of total debt, cash equals 81.0% of debt, and total debt stands at 10,472.2bn.

Watchpoints

Short-term refinancing pressure is meaningful

Short-term debt accounts for 98.8% of total debt, raising near-term refinancing needs.

Leverage and liquidity trend

Net Debt / Equity 0.16x −0.34x
Interest Coverage 2.31x +1.41x
Cash / Debt 81.0% +48.4pp
Short-term Debt / Total Debt 98.8% +0.1pp
CFO / NI 6.78x +15.70x

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Cash Flow

With safe leverage noted above, cash flow below shows the self-funding capacity. Operating cash flow reached 910.1bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of -2,625.4bn.

Post-investment cash flow was negative +1,715.4bn. Financing cash flow was positive +3,042.9bn.

CFO / net income was 6.78x.

After spending +612.5bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of +5,598.4bn.

Cash Conversion

TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

CFO TTM 6,210.9bn +7,966.9bn
Cash Capex 612.5bn +181.0bn
FCF TTM +5,598.4bn +7,786.0bn

Investment Takeaway

The business is heading the right way, but the current picture is still at partial confirmation — not yet a fully clean case. The positive points have clearly improved, showing the operating base is better than before. The brighter spot is cash generation. The next item to monitor is the earnings mix, when non-core contribution is 23.9%.

Improvement: cash generation is recovering, with trailing-12M FCF improving by 7,786.0bn versus the same period last year.

Watchpoint: cash flow is currently keeping pace with accounting earnings, with CFO / net income at 6.78x. Even so, net financial result still accounts for 23.9% of PBT, so the earnings mix still needs monitoring.

Statement Data

Item 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Net Revenue
150,556.6 124,459.6 102,662.9 104,213.8 57,836.0
Cost of Goods Sold
146,163.1 120,320.3 98,809.4 100,146.9 0.0
Gross Profit
4,393.5 4,139.3 3,853.5 4,066.9 3,186.2
Financial Expenses
450.2 357.1 403.2 330.1 -199.2
Selling Expenses
2,885.6 2,774.3 2,482.6 2,370.2 -1,832.7
General and Administrative Expenses
1,087.6 1,077.5 1,144.5 1,041.6 -733.9
Operating Profit
578.7 618.9 698.3 895.2 904.4
Profit Before Tax
654.0 633.1 797.9 912.2 932.8
Net Income
503.4 474.4 621.3 723.2 775.5
Profit Attributable to Parent
434.7 411.0 562.6 651.2 606.1
Earnings per Share
343.00 316.00 419.00 493.00 586.00

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