PCF
Cà phê PETEC ·UPCOM ·2023Q4
▼ Slightly negative
TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity
What Is Changing
On a TTM 2023Q4 basis, PCF is still improving profit despite revenue not recovering, suggesting cost efficiency or the earnings mix is aiding current results — earnings have been recovering gradually over multiple periods. More notably, profit relies heavily on non-core sources while operating cash flow is negative — these two factors together suggest earnings quality needs cautious evaluation.
| Metric | Q4'23 | Q3'23 | Q2'23 | Q1'23 | Q4'22 | Q3'22 | Q2'22 | Q1'22 | Q4'21 | Q3'21 | Q2'21 | Q1'21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 34.5 | 30.3 | 33.9 | 105.3 | 43.7 | 30.1 | 107.1 | 48.2 | 66.2 | 40.9 | 57.4 | 120.0 |
| Growth | +14% | -11% | -68% | +141% | +46% | -72% | +122% | -27% | +62% | -29% | -52% | — |
| Net Income | -0.6 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | -2.8 | -0.0 | 0.6 | -0.0 | -0.5 | 0.2 | -0.3 | 0.7 |
| Net Margin | -1.65% | 0.36% | 0.68% | 0.19% | -6.35% | -0.13% | 0.60% | -0.10% | -0.71% | 0.43% | -0.46% | 0.57% |
Drivers of PCF's profit
Net profit attributable to parent increased vs last year, mainly helped by lower finance costs. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Net profit attributable to parent increased vs prior quarter, mainly helped by lower finance costs. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Financial Highlights
Detailed analysis of each financial dimension
ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier
ROE rose from -10.0% to -0.1% — mainly driven by asset turnover, despite leverage moving in the opposite direction.
Is the profit sustainable?
Accounting profit is positive but operating cash flow has not caught up — needs more time to confirm.
What is driving the margin?
Net margin edged up to -0.01%, rising 1.0pp. Core operating signals are improving as Gross margin rose 1.0pp are enough to offset pressure from SG&A / Revenue rose 0.5pp (in addition, Net financial result / Revenue rose 0.6pp added support while Other profit / Revenue fell 0.1pp remained a drag).
Margin improves from both core operations and non-core items — the core foundation is positive, but the sustainability of non-core contributions needs monitoring.
Profitability trend
TTM YoY · 2022Q4 -> 2023Q4
Watchpoints
Financial result accounts for 1880.4% of PBT and lifted net margin by 0.4pp — separate the operating contribution from this source.
Is capital being used efficiently?
Return on capital rose, but cash cycle lengthened by 28.7 days — working capital needs watching.
Is capital being deployed efficiently?
ROIC expanded to -0.40%, rising 5.6pp. That translates to -0.40 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. Both NOPAT margin rose 1.1pp and capital turnover rose 1.88x, with invested capital holding roughly steady — capital-return quality improved from both sides.
NOPAT margin led the improvement, but the ROIC level has not yet cleared typical cost of capital — margin needs to hold in coming periods rather than being a one-period rebound.
Watchpoints
ROIC is currently -0.40% — below the typical cost-of-capital threshold; worth tracking whether upcoming periods can rise above this level.
CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND
TTM YoY · 2022Q4 -> 2023Q4
Balance Sheet
ROIC is improving — the asset structure below shows how capital is being allocated. Balance sheet is exceptionally sound — liabilities at 0.08x equity, with a net cash position equivalent to 0.29x equity.
Over the last 12 months, working capital released 21.7bn of cash, mainly thanks to lower receivables and lower inventories. Pressure from lower payables only partly offset that benefit.
Working Capital Drivers
TTM YoY · 2022Q4 -> 2023Q4
Working Capital Efficiency
The inventory build-up noted above is reflected in a longer cash cycle. Cash conversion cycle lengthened by 28.7 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO rose 6.1 days, DSO rose 22.2 days, and DPO fell 0.4 days.
All 3 drivers are deteriorating — working capital is becoming more deeply tied up in the operating cycle.
Watchpoints
CCC is up by +28.7 days, indicating weaker working-capital turnover versus the prior year.
DSO increased by +22.2 days, pointing to slower receivables turnover.
Working Capital Efficiency
TTM YoY · 2022Q4 -> 2023Q4
Is financial risk significant?
Check leverage, liquidity, and cash-flow conversion.
Leverage & Liquidity
Leverage warrants monitoring, with net debt / equity at -0.29x and interest coverage only at -0.04x.
At present, short-term debt accounts for 100.0% of total debt, cash equals 405.3% of debt, and total debt stands at 2.0bn.
Watchpoints
Interest coverage is -0.04x, leaving limited room to absorb financing costs.
Short-term debt accounts for 100.0% of total debt, raising near-term refinancing needs.
Leverage and liquidity trend
TTM YoY · 2022Q4 -> 2023Q4
Cash Flow
Operating cash flow reached -0.7bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of 0.0bn.
Post-investment cash flow was negative +0.7bn. Financing cash flow was negative +2.0bn.
CFO / net income was -478.27x.
Track how much investment can be funded internally from operating cash flow.
Cash capex or FCF data is incomplete, so the cash-conversion view is only partial.
Cash Conversion
TTM Cash Conversion · 2022Q4 -> 2023Q4
Investment Takeaway
The business is under real pressure, but the current picture has not turned broadly adverse. A notable area has clearly weakened, making the near-term outlook hard to call bright; even so, other parts of the business are still holding up, with capital efficiency remains weak remaining the main constraint, with ROIC at -0.4%. The next watchpoint is the earnings mix, when non-core contribution is 1582.6%.
Watchpoint: the earnings mix still needs monitoring, with net financial result still accounting for 1582.6% of PBT and CFO / net income currently at -478.27x.
Key risk: Capital efficiency remains weak.
Statement Data
| Item | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Net Revenue
|
1.8 | 26.6 | 203.9 | 229.1 | 284.5 |
|
Cost of Goods Sold
|
0.2 | 23.9 | 195.6 | 222.1 | 0.0 |
|
Gross Profit
|
1.6 | 2.7 | 8.4 | 7.0 | 6.1 |
|
Financial Expenses
|
-0.0 | -0.6 | 1.2 | 4.7 | -0.8 |
|
Selling Expenses
|
0.1 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 4.6 | -4.2 |
|
General and Administrative Expenses
|
1.4 | 2.2 | 3.0 | 3.1 | -3.1 |
|
Operating Profit
|
0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | -2.6 | -1.2 |
|
Profit Before Tax
|
0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | -2.2 | 0.1 |
|
Net Income
|
0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | -2.2 | 0.1 |
|
Profit Attributable to Parent
|
0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | -2.2 | 0.1 |
|
Earnings per Share
|
34.00 | 20.00 | 69.00 | -728.00 | 43.00 |
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