BTW
Cấp nước Bến Thành ·HNX ·2026Q1
● Maintaining
TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity
What Is Changing
On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, BTW shows virtually no significant change versus the same period — both revenue and margins are holding near prior levels — margins have been expanding consistently over multiple periods. What is still missing is a signal strong enough to tilt this picture clearly in either direction.
| Metric | Q1'26 | Q4'25 | Q3'25 | Q2'25 | Q1'25 | Q4'24 | Q3'24 | Q2'24 | Q1'24 | Q4'23 | Q3'23 | Q2'23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 137.1 | 140.1 | 137.1 | 139.5 | 134.1 | 142.8 | 138.7 | 141.4 | 138.5 | 135.3 | 132.9 | 130.9 |
| Growth | -2% | +2% | -2% | +4% | -6% | +3% | -2% | +2% | +2% | +2% | +2% | — |
| Net Income | 14.8 | 8.3 | 12.1 | 8.8 | 18.9 | -9.8 | 14.7 | 18.5 | 23.9 | -1.0 | 10.0 | 15.0 |
| Net Margin | 10.77% | 5.90% | 8.79% | 6.32% | 14.12% | -6.84% | 10.61% | 13.05% | 17.27% | -0.72% | 7.49% | 11.46% |
Drivers of BTW's profit
Net profit attributable to parent increased vs last year, mainly helped by better other profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Net profit attributable to parent declined vs prior quarter, mainly due to lower gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Financial Highlights
Detailed analysis of each financial dimension
ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier
ROE is broadly flat at 15.6% — the components are offsetting one another.
Is the profit sustainable?
Margins are improving and earnings quality is solid — a durable foundation for ROE.
What is driving the margin?
Net margin edged up to 7.93%, rising 0.3pp. Core operating signals are improving as SG&A / Revenue fell 0.2pp are enough to offset pressure from Gross margin fell 0.5pp (with additional support from Other profit / Revenue rose 0.6pp and Net financial result / Revenue rose 0.1pp).
Margin improves from both core operations and non-core items — the core foundation is positive, but the sustainability of non-core contributions needs monitoring.
Profitability trend
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Is capital being used efficiently?
Capital efficiency for utilities should be read alongside regulated tariffs and long-cycle depreciation — ROIC of 18.4% reflects a large fixed-asset base.
Is capital being deployed efficiently?
ROIC fell to 18.38%, losing 3.1pp. That translates to 18.38 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. Both NOPAT margin narrowed 0.2pp and capital turnover fell 0.37x, with invested capital holding roughly steady — pressure came from both operational efficiency and asset efficiency.
For utilities, ROIC reflects returns on a large fixed-asset base — this is a reference signal and should be read alongside regulated tariffs.
CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Balance Sheet
ROIC for utilities reflects a large fixed-asset base and regulated tariffs — the balance sheet below adds perspective. Balance sheet is exceptionally sound — liabilities at 0.43x equity, with a net cash position equivalent to 0.22x equity.
Over the last 12 months, working capital absorbed 15.0bn of cash, mainly because of higher receivables and higher inventories.
Working Capital Drivers
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Working Capital Efficiency
Cash conversion cycle lengthened by 17.1 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO rose 6.5 days, DSO rose 0.6 days, and DPO fell 10.0 days.
All 3 drivers are deteriorating — working capital is becoming more deeply tied up in the operating cycle.
For utilities, working capital cycle reflects regulated pricing mechanics and long-term settlement contracts — DSO/DIO/DPO should be treated as contextual signals rather than pure efficiency indicators.
Watchpoints
CCC is up by +17.1 days, indicating weaker working-capital turnover versus the prior year.
DSO increased by +0.6 days, pointing to slower receivables turnover.
Working Capital Efficiency
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Is financial risk significant?
Financial risk is low — the company has net cash and CFO reached 60.9bn.
Leverage & Liquidity
Leverage looks fairly comfortable, with net debt / equity at -0.22x and interest coverage at 113.90x.
At present, short-term debt accounts for 83.3% of total debt, cash equals 1386.1% of debt, and total debt stands at 4.8bn.
Leverage for utilities reflects long-term capital needs for fixed assets and recovery through regulated pricing — elevated leverage is structural to the industry.
Watchpoints
Short-term debt accounts for 83.3% of total debt, raising near-term refinancing needs.
Leverage and liquidity trend
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Cash Flow
With safe leverage noted above, cash flow below shows the self-funding capacity. Operating cash flow reached 60.9bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of -56.1bn.
Post-investment cash flow was positive +4.8bn. Financing cash flow was negative +29.5bn.
CFO / net income was 1.11x.
After spending +34.3bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of +14.2bn.
For utilities, high capex and long investment cycles are structural — short-term FCF volatility does not reflect long-term cash generation through regulated pricing.
Cash Conversion
TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Investment Takeaway
The business does not yet provide a clear enough conclusion — not due to lack of data, but because the industry's nature makes many indicators prone to cyclical distortion. The reasonable reading is to keep the thesis in wait-for-confirmation mode. The brighter spot is earnings conversion is confirmed, with CFO/NI at 1.11x. The next item to monitor is capital efficiency, with ROIC at 18.4%.
Improvement: earnings conversion looks more confirmed, with CFO / net income at 1.11x.
Watchpoint: Capital efficiency needs cycle context.
Statement Data
| Item | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Net Revenue
|
550.9 | 561.5 | 529.8 | 468.7 | 389.7 |
|
Cost of Goods Sold
|
332.9 | 344.7 | 331.9 | 304.4 | 0.0 |
|
Gross Profit
|
218.0 | 216.7 | 197.9 | 164.3 | 128.7 |
|
Financial Expenses
|
0.5 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 1.5 | -1.7 |
|
Selling Expenses
|
95.0 | 98.1 | 90.7 | 63.2 | -56.0 |
|
General and Administrative Expenses
|
64.1 | 60.8 | 56.1 | 50.6 | -40.3 |
|
Operating Profit
|
60.5 | 58.9 | 54.1 | 51.1 | 31.9 |
|
Profit Before Tax
|
60.5 | 59.0 | 54.7 | 51.3 | 31.9 |
|
Net Income
|
48.3 | 47.1 | 43.6 | 40.9 | 25.9 |
|
Profit Attributable to Parent
|
48.3 | 47.1 | 43.6 | 40.9 | 25.9 |
|
Earnings per Share
|
5,159.00 | 5,028.00 | 4,663.00 | 4,368.00 | 2,767.00 |
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