HDW

Kinh doanh Nước sạch Hải Dương ·UPCOM ·2026Q1

▲ Showing improvement

Earnings conversion is confirmed CFO/NPAT 2.62x
Price
17,500
Latest close
21 May 2026
P/E 10.18x
P/B 1.22x
EPS 1,719
BVPS 14,380
ROE 11.8%
ROA 6.1%
Profit Margin 9.0%
Asset Turnover 0.68x
Equity Mult. 1.94x

TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, HDW is showing some signs of improvement versus the same period, but the current picture is not yet broad enough to confirm a stronger trend — earnings have been recovering gradually over multiple periods. The point still to be proven is whether this improvement broadens out in coming periods.

TTM REVENUE
VND 610bn
+4.8%YoY
NET MARGIN
8.98%
+0.8ppYoY
TTM NET PROFIT
VND 55bn
+15.6%YoY
Metric Q1'26 Q4'25 Q3'25 Q2'25 Q1'25 Q4'24 Q3'24 Q2'24 Q1'24 Q4'23 Q3'23 Q2'23
Revenue 150.5 154.7 157.0 148.3 143.5 150.3 149.5 139.0 130.7 142.9 144.9 129.8
Growth -3% -1% +6% +3% -5% +1% +8% +6% -9% -1% +12%
Net Income 18.7 12.6 17.9 5.6 12.5 9.3 18.0 7.6 11.2 11.2 17.3 5.6
Net Margin 12.44% 8.12% 11.41% 3.77% 8.68% 6.16% 12.07% 5.49% 8.57% 7.85% 11.98% 4.33%

Drivers of HDW's profit

TTM

Net profit attributable to parent increased vs last year, mainly helped by lower administrative expenses. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Administrative expenses ↓ 10.0bn
Gross profit ↑ 2.3bn
Finance costs ↓ 1.5bn
Financial income ↓ 3.1bn
Tax ↑ 2.0bn
Selling expenses ↑ 1.1bn
TTM

Net profit attributable to parent increased vs prior quarter, mainly helped by lower finance costs. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Finance costs ↓ 4.2bn
Gross profit ↑ 2.7bn
Financial income ↑ 1.3bn
Tax ↑ 1.6bn
Selling expenses ↑ 0.8bn

Financial Highlights

Detailed analysis of each financial dimension

ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier

2025Q1 10.3% = 8.1% × 0.63 × 1.99
2026Q1 11.8% = 9.0% × 0.68 × 1.94

ROE rose from 10.3% to 11.8% — mainly driven by asset turnover, despite leverage moving in the opposite direction.

Net margin: 9.0% +0.8pp Asset turnover: 0.68x +0.04x Leverage: 1.94x -0.05x

Is the profit sustainable?

Margins are improving and earnings quality is solid — a durable foundation for ROE.

very positive positive stable watch under pressure

What is driving the margin?

Net margin edged up to 8.98%, rising 0.8pp. Core operating signals are improving as SG&A / Revenue fell 2.1pp are enough to offset pressure from Gross margin fell 0.9pp (with lingering pressure from Net financial result / Revenue fell 0.1pp and Other profit / Revenue fell 0.0pp).

The improvement comes from core operations — this is a high-quality margin expansion.

Profitability trend

Net Margin 8.98% +0.8pp
Gross Margin 27.11% −0.9pp
SG&A / Revenue 12.81% −2.1pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Is capital being used efficiently?

Capital efficiency for utilities should be read alongside regulated tariffs and long-cycle depreciation — ROIC of 8.2% reflects a large fixed-asset base.

Is capital being deployed efficiently?

ROIC edged up to 8.20%, rising 1.3pp. That translates to 8.20 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. Both NOPAT margin rose 0.9pp and capital turnover rose 0.07x, with invested capital holding roughly steady — capital-return quality improved from both sides.

For utilities, ROIC reflects returns on a large fixed-asset base — this is a reference signal and should be read alongside regulated tariffs.

CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

ROIC 8.20% +1.3pp
NOPAT Margin 8.97% +0.9pp
Capital Turnover 0.91x +0.07x
Average Invested Capital 668.0bn −19.6bn

Balance Sheet

ROIC for utilities reflects a large fixed-asset base and regulated tariffs — the balance sheet below adds perspective. Capital structure is conservative with low leverage — liabilities at 0.92x equity, net debt at 0.43x equity.

Over the last 12 months, working capital released 0.0bn of cash.

Working Capital Drivers

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables were broadly stable → neutral CFO:
Inventories were broadly stable → neutral CFO:
Payables were broadly stable → neutral CFO:

Working Capital Efficiency

Cash conversion cycle lengthened by 11.3 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO fell 1.8 days, DSO rose 0.1 days, and DPO fell 13.1 days.

Working capital cycle lengthened mainly due to shorter payment timing — may reflect pressure from suppliers.

For utilities, working capital cycle reflects regulated pricing mechanics and long-term settlement contracts — DSO/DIO/DPO should be treated as contextual signals rather than pure efficiency indicators.

Watchpoints

Cash conversion cycle is lengthening

CCC is up by +11.3 days, indicating weaker working-capital turnover versus the prior year.

Receivables collection is slowing

DSO increased by +0.1 days, pointing to slower receivables turnover.

Working Capital Efficiency

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables 9.6 days +0.1 days
Inventory 30.5 days −1.8 days
Payables 38.9 days −13.1 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 1.1 days +11.3 days

Is financial risk significant?

Financial risk is low — leverage is safe, both CFO and FCF are positive.

Leverage & Liquidity

Leverage is balanced for now, with net debt / equity at 0.43x and interest coverage at 3.56x.

At present, short-term debt accounts for 16.2% of total debt, cash equals 10.3% of debt, and total debt stands at 219.4bn.

Leverage for utilities reflects long-term capital needs for fixed assets and recovery through regulated pricing — elevated leverage is structural to the industry.

Watchpoints

Cash buffer is thin relative to debt

Cash / debt stands at 10.3%, leaving limited liquidity buffer to monitor.

Leverage and liquidity trend

Net Debt / Equity 0.43x −0.02x
Interest Coverage 3.56x +0.71x
Cash / Debt 10.3% +2.0pp
Short-term Debt / Total Debt 16.2% +12.7pp
CFO / NI 2.62x +0.07x

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Cash Flow

With safe leverage noted above, cash flow below shows the self-funding capacity. Operating cash flow reached 134.1bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of -71.8bn.

Post-investment cash flow was positive +62.3bn. Financing cash flow was negative +60.4bn.

CFO / net income was 2.62x.

After spending +99.0bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of +44.6bn.

For utilities, high capex and long investment cycles are structural — short-term FCF volatility does not reflect long-term cash generation through regulated pricing.

Cash Conversion

TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

CFO TTM 143.6bn +22.8bn
Cash Capex 99.0bn +38.5bn
FCF TTM +44.6bn −15.7bn

Investment Takeaway

The business is heading the right way, but the current picture is still at partial confirmation — not yet a fully clean case. The positive points have clearly improved, showing the operating base is better than before. The brighter spot is earnings conversion is confirmed, with CFO/NI at 2.62x. The next item to monitor is capital efficiency, with ROIC at 8.2%.

Improvement: earnings conversion looks more confirmed, with CFO / net income at 2.62x.

Watchpoint: Capital efficiency needs cycle context.

Statement Data

Item 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Net Revenue
603.4 569.4 543.3 523.2 510.6
Cost of Goods Sold
440.5 409.2 380.4 364.1 0.0
Gross Profit
162.8 160.3 162.8 159.1 150.5
Financial Expenses
23.6 15.0 21.7 14.6 -14.5
Selling Expenses
22.9 22.8 21.8 20.8 -21.0
General and Administrative Expenses
54.9 66.8 60.9 62.5 -58.1
Operating Profit
61.5 58.4 58.5 65.1 65.2
Profit Before Tax
61.3 58.3 57.2 66.6 65.2
Net Income
48.5 46.0 44.6 52.9 52.0
Profit Attributable to Parent
48.5 46.0 44.6 52.9 52.0
Earnings per Share
1,522.00 1,444.00 1,398.00 1,278.00 1,629.67

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