DNW
Cấp nước Đồng Nai ·UPCOM ·2026Q1
▼▼ Declining sharply
TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity
What Is Changing
On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, DNW is retaining some revenue, but margins are collapsing sharply — margins have been compressing consistently over multiple periods. Costs or the profit mix are deteriorating faster than revenue is declining — this is the factor to watch ahead of everything else.
| Metric | Q1'26 | Q4'25 | Q3'25 | Q2'25 | Q1'25 | Q4'24 | Q3'24 | Q2'24 | Q1'24 | Q4'23 | Q3'23 | Q2'23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 330.3 | 320.7 | 333.3 | 342.0 | 313.5 | 319.9 | 316.4 | 336.6 | 310.2 | 301.9 | 293.6 | 315.0 |
| Growth | +3% | -4% | -3% | +9% | -2% | +1% | -6% | +9% | +3% | +3% | -7% | — |
| Net Income | 83.3 | 78.9 | 85.3 | 38.5 | 85.2 | 72.6 | 70.0 | 126.7 | 76.7 | 63.9 | 81.4 | 114.4 |
| Net Margin | 25.23% | 24.61% | 25.59% | 11.27% | 27.19% | 22.70% | 22.12% | 37.66% | 24.74% | 21.16% | 27.73% | 36.32% |
Drivers of DNW's profit
Net profit attributable to parent increased vs last year, mainly helped by lower minority interests. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Net profit attributable to parent increased vs prior quarter, mainly helped by lower minority interests. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Financial Highlights
Detailed analysis of each financial dimension
ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier
ROE fell from 14.7% to 11.3% — leverage weakened the most, though asset turnover still provided support.
Is the profit sustainable?
Margins narrowed but earnings quality remains clean — pressure is mainly operational.
What is driving the margin?
Net margin fell to 21.57%, losing 6.0pp. The main pressure comes from Gross margin fell 1.7pp and SG&A / Revenue rose 0.6pp (in addition, Other profit / Revenue rose 0.4pp added support while Net financial result / Revenue fell 4.8pp remained a drag).
The pressure comes from non-core items while core operations hold their rhythm — margin has a basis to recover once this factor passes.
Profitability trend
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Is capital being used efficiently?
Capital efficiency for utilities should be read alongside regulated tariffs and long-cycle depreciation — ROIC of 8.9% reflects a large fixed-asset base.
Is capital being deployed efficiently?
ROIC fell to 8.86%, losing 2.1pp. That translates to 8.86 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. The main pressure came from NOPAT margin narrowed 6.4pp, outweighing the movement in capital turnover; with invested capital holding roughly steady.
For utilities, ROIC reflects returns on a large fixed-asset base — this is a reference signal and should be read alongside regulated tariffs.
CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Balance Sheet
ROIC for utilities reflects a large fixed-asset base and regulated tariffs — the balance sheet below adds perspective. Capital structure is conservative with low leverage — liabilities at 0.39x equity, net debt at 0.21x equity.
Over the last 12 months, working capital released 33.0bn of cash, mainly thanks to lower receivables and higher payables. Pressure from higher inventories only partly offset that benefit.
Working Capital Drivers
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Working Capital Efficiency
Working capital is being managed more efficiently, supporting overall capital efficiency. Cash conversion cycle improved by 3.2 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO rose 0.7 days, DSO fell 0.9 days, and DPO rose 3.0 days.
Extended payment timing is the main driver — consider whether this trades off supplier relationships.
For utilities, working capital cycle reflects regulated pricing mechanics and long-term settlement contracts — DSO/DIO/DPO should be treated as contextual signals rather than pure efficiency indicators.
Watchpoints
DIO increased by +0.7 days, suggesting more capital is being tied up in inventories.
Working Capital Efficiency
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Is financial risk significant?
Financial risk is low — leverage is safe, both CFO and FCF are positive.
Leverage & Liquidity
Leverage looks fairly comfortable, with net debt / equity at 0.21x and interest coverage at 6.14x.
At present, short-term debt accounts for 25.6% of total debt, cash equals 14.9% of debt, and total debt stands at 648.6bn.
Leverage for utilities reflects long-term capital needs for fixed assets and recovery through regulated pricing — elevated leverage is structural to the industry.
Watchpoints
Cash / debt stands at 14.9%, leaving limited liquidity buffer to monitor.
Leverage and liquidity trend
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Cash Flow
With safe leverage noted above, cash flow below shows the self-funding capacity. Operating cash flow reached 548.5bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of -154.0bn.
Post-investment cash flow was positive +394.5bn. Financing cash flow was negative +349.9bn.
CFO / net income was 2.11x.
After spending +270.3bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of +305.3bn.
For utilities, high capex and long investment cycles are structural — short-term FCF volatility does not reflect long-term cash generation through regulated pricing.
Cash Conversion
TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Investment Takeaway
The business is showing a few weaker signals, but the current magnitude is not yet clear enough to conclude that this is a broader weakening phase. The brighter spot is earnings conversion is confirmed, with CFO/NI at 2.11x. The next item to monitor is capital efficiency, with ROIC at 8.9%. The main risk still sits in core profitability, with net margin down 6.0 pp.
Improvement: earnings conversion looks more confirmed, with CFO / net income at 2.11x.
Watchpoint: Capital efficiency needs cycle context.
Key risk: profitability remains under pressure, with trailing-12M net margin at 21.57% after a 6.0pp decline versus the same period last year.
Statement Data
| Item | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Net Revenue
|
1,309.2 | 1,283.0 | 1,196.2 | 1,216.6 | 1,155.8 |
|
Cost of Goods Sold
|
823.3 | 790.5 | 748.3 | 776.5 | 0.0 |
|
Gross Profit
|
485.9 | 492.5 | 447.8 | 440.1 | 454.2 |
|
Financial Expenses
|
51.8 | 35.9 | 33.8 | 38.3 | -44.5 |
|
Selling Expenses
|
75.5 | 70.8 | 65.1 | 68.3 | -66.0 |
|
General and Administrative Expenses
|
77.9 | 80.8 | 68.6 | 66.6 | -62.3 |
|
Operating Profit
|
314.1 | 384.3 | 348.7 | 398.4 | 421.0 |
|
Profit Before Tax
|
321.1 | 386.1 | 352.4 | 401.7 | 428.5 |
|
Net Income
|
287.0 | 346.0 | 332.0 | 378.5 | 404.3 |
|
Profit Attributable to Parent
|
287.0 | 334.1 | 321.2 | 366.0 | 389.1 |
|
Earnings per Share
|
2,007.00 | 2,506.00 | 2,409.00 | 2,745.00 | 1,638.00 |
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