DNW

Cấp nước Đồng Nai ·UPCOM ·2026Q1

▼▼ Declining sharply

Margins remain under pressure Net margin 21.57%, −5.99pp YoY
Price
32,500
Latest close
03 Jun 2026
P/E 14.32x
P/B 1.52x
EPS 2,269
BVPS 21,409
ROE 10.8%
ROA 7.9%
Profit Margin 20.5%
Asset Turnover 0.39x
Equity Mult. 1.35x

TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, DNW is retaining some revenue, but margins are collapsing sharply — margins have been compressing consistently over multiple periods. Costs or the profit mix are deteriorating faster than revenue is declining — this is the factor to watch ahead of everything else.

TTM REVENUE
VND 1,326bn
+3.1%YoY
NET MARGIN
21.57%
−6.0ppYoY
TTM NET PROFIT
VND 286bn
−19.3%YoY
Metric Q1'26 Q4'25 Q3'25 Q2'25 Q1'25 Q4'24 Q3'24 Q2'24 Q1'24 Q4'23 Q3'23 Q2'23
Revenue 330.3 320.7 333.3 342.0 313.5 319.9 316.4 336.6 310.2 301.9 293.6 315.0
Growth +3% -4% -3% +9% -2% +1% -6% +9% +3% +3% -7%
Net Income 83.3 78.9 85.3 38.5 85.2 72.6 70.0 126.7 76.7 63.9 81.4 114.4
Net Margin 25.23% 24.61% 25.59% 11.27% 27.19% 22.70% 22.12% 37.66% 24.74% 21.16% 27.73% 36.32%

Drivers of DNW's profit

TTM

Net profit attributable to parent increased vs last year, mainly helped by lower minority interests. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Minority interests ↓ 76.0bn
Tax ↓ 6.8bn
Other profit ↑ 5.4bn
Financial income ↓ 48.0bn
Finance costs ↑ 14.0bn
Selling expenses ↑ 7.2bn
TTM

Net profit attributable to parent increased vs prior quarter, mainly helped by lower minority interests. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Minority interests ↓ 78.1bn

Financial Highlights

Detailed analysis of each financial dimension

ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier

2025Q1 14.7% = 27.6% × 0.37 × 1.43
2026Q1 11.3% = 21.6% × 0.39 × 1.35

ROE fell from 14.7% to 11.3% — leverage weakened the most, though asset turnover still provided support.

Net margin: 21.6% -6.0pp Asset turnover: 0.39x +0.01x Leverage: 1.35x -0.08x

Is the profit sustainable?

Margins narrowed but earnings quality remains clean — pressure is mainly operational.

very positive positive stable watch under pressure

What is driving the margin?

Net margin fell to 21.57%, losing 6.0pp. The main pressure comes from Gross margin fell 1.7pp and SG&A / Revenue rose 0.6pp (in addition, Other profit / Revenue rose 0.4pp added support while Net financial result / Revenue fell 4.8pp remained a drag).

The pressure comes from non-core items while core operations hold their rhythm — margin has a basis to recover once this factor passes.

Profitability trend

Net Margin 21.57% −6.0pp
Gross Margin 36.83% −1.7pp
SG&A / Revenue 12.12% +0.6pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Is capital being used efficiently?

Capital efficiency for utilities should be read alongside regulated tariffs and long-cycle depreciation — ROIC of 8.9% reflects a large fixed-asset base.

Is capital being deployed efficiently?

ROIC fell to 8.86%, losing 2.1pp. That translates to 8.86 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. The main pressure came from NOPAT margin narrowed 6.4pp, outweighing the movement in capital turnover; with invested capital holding roughly steady.

For utilities, ROIC reflects returns on a large fixed-asset base — this is a reference signal and should be read alongside regulated tariffs.

CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

ROIC 8.86% −2.1pp
NOPAT Margin 21.10% −6.4pp
Capital Turnover 0.42x +0.02x
Average Invested Capital 3,159.8bn −51.0bn

Balance Sheet

ROIC for utilities reflects a large fixed-asset base and regulated tariffs — the balance sheet below adds perspective. Capital structure is conservative with low leverage — liabilities at 0.39x equity, net debt at 0.21x equity.

Over the last 12 months, working capital released 33.0bn of cash, mainly thanks to lower receivables and higher payables. Pressure from higher inventories only partly offset that benefit.

Working Capital Drivers

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables decreased → higher CFO: +4.2bn
Inventories increased → lower CFO: −5.5bn
Payables increased → higher CFO: +34.3bn

Working Capital Efficiency

Working capital is being managed more efficiently, supporting overall capital efficiency. Cash conversion cycle improved by 3.2 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO rose 0.7 days, DSO fell 0.9 days, and DPO rose 3.0 days.

Extended payment timing is the main driver — consider whether this trades off supplier relationships.

For utilities, working capital cycle reflects regulated pricing mechanics and long-term settlement contracts — DSO/DIO/DPO should be treated as contextual signals rather than pure efficiency indicators.

Watchpoints

Inventory turnover is slowing

DIO increased by +0.7 days, suggesting more capital is being tied up in inventories.

Working Capital Efficiency

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables 11.4 days −0.9 days
Inventory 21.4 days +0.7 days
Payables 24.6 days +3.0 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 8.2 days −3.2 days

Is financial risk significant?

Financial risk is low — leverage is safe, both CFO and FCF are positive.

Leverage & Liquidity

Leverage looks fairly comfortable, with net debt / equity at 0.21x and interest coverage at 6.14x.

At present, short-term debt accounts for 25.6% of total debt, cash equals 14.9% of debt, and total debt stands at 648.6bn.

Leverage for utilities reflects long-term capital needs for fixed assets and recovery through regulated pricing — elevated leverage is structural to the industry.

Watchpoints

Cash buffer is thin relative to debt

Cash / debt stands at 14.9%, leaving limited liquidity buffer to monitor.

Leverage and liquidity trend

Net Debt / Equity 0.21x −0.07x
Interest Coverage 6.14x −4.49x
Cash / Debt 14.9% +9.1pp
Short-term Debt / Total Debt 25.6% −1.6pp
CFO / NI 2.11x +0.27x

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Cash Flow

With safe leverage noted above, cash flow below shows the self-funding capacity. Operating cash flow reached 548.5bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of -154.0bn.

Post-investment cash flow was positive +394.5bn. Financing cash flow was negative +349.9bn.

CFO / net income was 2.11x.

After spending +270.3bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of +305.3bn.

For utilities, high capex and long investment cycles are structural — short-term FCF volatility does not reflect long-term cash generation through regulated pricing.

Cash Conversion

TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

CFO TTM 575.6bn +86.7bn
Cash Capex 270.3bn +144.6bn
FCF TTM +305.3bn −57.9bn

Investment Takeaway

The business is showing a few weaker signals, but the current magnitude is not yet clear enough to conclude that this is a broader weakening phase. The brighter spot is earnings conversion is confirmed, with CFO/NI at 2.11x. The next item to monitor is capital efficiency, with ROIC at 8.9%. The main risk still sits in core profitability, with net margin down 6.0 pp.

Improvement: earnings conversion looks more confirmed, with CFO / net income at 2.11x.

Watchpoint: Capital efficiency needs cycle context.

Key risk: profitability remains under pressure, with trailing-12M net margin at 21.57% after a 6.0pp decline versus the same period last year.

Statement Data

Item 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Net Revenue
1,309.2 1,283.0 1,196.2 1,216.6 1,155.8
Cost of Goods Sold
823.3 790.5 748.3 776.5 0.0
Gross Profit
485.9 492.5 447.8 440.1 454.2
Financial Expenses
51.8 35.9 33.8 38.3 -44.5
Selling Expenses
75.5 70.8 65.1 68.3 -66.0
General and Administrative Expenses
77.9 80.8 68.6 66.6 -62.3
Operating Profit
314.1 384.3 348.7 398.4 421.0
Profit Before Tax
321.1 386.1 352.4 401.7 428.5
Net Income
287.0 346.0 332.0 378.5 404.3
Profit Attributable to Parent
287.0 334.1 321.2 366.0 389.1
Earnings per Share
2,007.00 2,506.00 2,409.00 2,745.00 1,638.00

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