CTW
Cấp thoát nước Cần Thơ ·UPCOM ·2026Q1
▼▼ Declining sharply
TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity
What Is Changing
On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, CTW is retaining some revenue, but margins are collapsing sharply — profit momentum has been slowing across consecutive periods. Costs or the profit mix are deteriorating faster than revenue is declining — this is the factor to watch ahead of everything else.
| Metric | Q1'26 | Q4'25 | Q3'25 | Q2'25 | Q1'25 | Q4'24 | Q3'24 | Q2'24 | Q1'24 | Q4'23 | Q3'23 | Q2'23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 110.1 | 121.8 | 110.5 | 120.4 | 105.7 | 128.3 | 115.1 | 115.2 | 136.9 | 94.2 | 81.3 | 80.8 |
| Growth | -10% | +10% | -8% | +14% | -18% | +11% | -0% | -16% | +45% | +16% | +1% | — |
| Net Income | 23.9 | 19.3 | 17.6 | 24.6 | 27.4 | 15.0 | 25.1 | 34.6 | 29.8 | 11.7 | 8.6 | 9.1 |
| Net Margin | 21.68% | 15.81% | 15.95% | 20.39% | 25.91% | 11.72% | 21.82% | 30.07% | 21.73% | 12.47% | 10.59% | 11.30% |
Drivers of CTW's profit
Net profit attributable to parent declined vs last year, mainly due to lower gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Net profit attributable to parent declined vs prior quarter, mainly due to lower gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Financial Highlights
Detailed analysis of each financial dimension
ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier
ROE fell from 18.3% to 14.0% — asset turnover weakened the most, though leverage still provided support.
Is the profit sustainable?
Margins narrowed but earnings quality remains clean — pressure is mainly operational.
What is driving the margin?
Net margin fell to 18.43%, losing 3.6pp. The main pressure is Gross margin fell 3.8pp, outweighing the improvement in SG&A / Revenue fell 0.1pp (with lingering pressure from Net financial result / Revenue fell 0.6pp and Other profit / Revenue fell 0.2pp).
The pressure comes from core operations — this is a concerning type of decline, not a one-off movement.
Profitability trend
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Is capital being used efficiently?
Capital efficiency for utilities should be read alongside regulated tariffs and long-cycle depreciation — ROIC of 11.4% reflects a large fixed-asset base.
Is capital being deployed efficiently?
ROIC fell to 11.42%, losing 4.2pp. That translates to 11.42 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. Both NOPAT margin narrowed 3.4pp and capital turnover fell 0.10x, while invested capital rose by 105bn — pressure came from both operational efficiency and asset efficiency.
For utilities, ROIC reflects returns on a large fixed-asset base — this is a reference signal and should be read alongside regulated tariffs.
CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Balance Sheet
ROIC for utilities reflects a large fixed-asset base and regulated tariffs — the balance sheet below adds perspective. Capital structure is conservative with low leverage — liabilities at 0.57x equity, net debt at 0.33x equity.
Over the last 12 months, working capital absorbed 26.7bn of cash, mainly because of higher receivables and higher inventories.
Working Capital Drivers
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Working Capital Efficiency
Cash conversion cycle lengthened by 14.7 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO rose 15.6 days, DSO rose 0.1 days, and DPO rose 1.1 days.
Working capital cycle lengthened mainly due to slower inventory turnover — more capital is being tied up in inventory.
For utilities, working capital cycle reflects regulated pricing mechanics and long-term settlement contracts — DSO/DIO/DPO should be treated as contextual signals rather than pure efficiency indicators.
Watchpoints
CCC is up by +14.7 days, indicating weaker working-capital turnover versus the prior year.
DSO increased by +0.1 days, pointing to slower receivables turnover.
Working Capital Efficiency
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Is financial risk significant?
Leverage is safe but FCF is negative at 26.0bn due to capex of 169.0bn — an investment choice, not an urgent risk.
Leverage & Liquidity
Leverage looks fairly comfortable, with net debt / equity at 0.33x and interest coverage at 8.48x.
At present, short-term debt accounts for 36.8% of total debt, cash equals 15.9% of debt, and total debt stands at 243.0bn.
Leverage for utilities reflects long-term capital needs for fixed assets and recovery through regulated pricing — elevated leverage is structural to the industry.
Watchpoints
Cash / debt stands at 15.9%, leaving limited liquidity buffer to monitor.
Leverage and liquidity trend
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Cash Flow
With safe leverage noted above, cash flow below shows the self-funding capacity. Operating cash flow reached 126.4bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of -155.6bn.
Post-investment cash flow was negative +29.2bn. Financing cash flow was positive +40.4bn.
CFO / net income was 2.02x.
After spending +169.0bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of −26.0bn.
For utilities, high capex and long investment cycles are structural — short-term FCF volatility does not reflect long-term cash generation through regulated pricing.
Cash Conversion
TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Investment Takeaway
The business is under real pressure, but the current picture has not turned broadly adverse. A notable area has clearly weakened, making the near-term outlook hard to call bright; even so, other parts of the business are still holding up, with margins remain under pressure remaining the main constraint, with net margin down 3.6 pp. The next watchpoint is capital efficiency, with ROIC at 11.4%. The main offsetting support comes from earnings conversion is confirmed, with CFO/NI at 2.02x.
Improvement: earnings conversion looks more confirmed, with CFO / net income at 2.02x.
Watchpoint: Capital efficiency needs cycle context.
Key risk: profitability remains under pressure, with trailing-12M net margin at 18.43% after a 3.6pp decline versus the same period last year.
Statement Data
| Item | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Net Revenue
|
458.4 | 495.6 | 328.6 | 317.4 | 296.7 |
|
Cost of Goods Sold
|
229.6 | 243.8 | 182.3 | 171.2 | 0.0 |
|
Gross Profit
|
228.8 | 251.8 | 146.2 | 146.2 | 130.4 |
|
Financial Expenses
|
11.7 | 9.5 | 12.6 | 10.3 | -8.6 |
|
Selling Expenses
|
47.3 | 50.5 | 37.5 | 41.2 | -33.4 |
|
General and Administrative Expenses
|
60.4 | 56.9 | 43.6 | 39.9 | -37.3 |
|
Operating Profit
|
112.2 | 136.2 | 53.4 | 55.9 | 51.8 |
|
Profit Before Tax
|
111.8 | 131.6 | 53.2 | 54.4 | 52.6 |
|
Net Income
|
88.7 | 103.3 | 41.5 | 39.9 | 46.5 |
|
Profit Attributable to Parent
|
74.0 | 88.5 | 34.3 | 33.8 | 39.2 |
|
Earnings per Share
|
2,373.00 | 2,881.00 | 1,103.00 | 1,206.00 | 1,399.00 |
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