HMC
Kim khí Thành phố Hồ Chí Minh - VNSTEEL ·HOSE ·2026Q1
▲ Slightly positive
TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity
What Is Changing
On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, HMC is maintaining revenue growth, but margins have not improved proportionally — earnings have been recovering gradually over multiple periods. However, operating cash flow is significantly negative relative to profit — this needs monitoring in coming periods.
| Metric | Q1'26 | Q4'25 | Q3'25 | Q2'25 | Q1'25 | Q4'24 | Q3'24 | Q2'24 | Q1'24 | Q4'23 | Q3'23 | Q2'23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 2,344.0 | 1,745.7 | 1,402.6 | 1,422.4 | 1,193.9 | 1,257.8 | 1,075.1 | 1,074.0 | 828.5 | 772.2 | 691.0 | 764.1 |
| Growth | +34% | +24% | -1% | +19% | -5% | +17% | +0% | +30% | +7% | +12% | -10% | — |
| Net Income | 13.2 | 7.3 | 6.9 | 9.0 | 8.0 | 10.2 | 6.2 | 5.6 | 3.6 | 13.8 | 2.0 | 2.8 |
| Net Margin | 0.56% | 0.42% | 0.49% | 0.64% | 0.67% | 0.81% | 0.58% | 0.52% | 0.44% | 1.79% | 0.29% | 0.36% |
Drivers of HMC's profit
Net profit attributable to parent increased vs last year, mainly helped by higher gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Net profit attributable to parent increased vs prior quarter, mainly helped by higher gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Financial Highlights
Detailed analysis of each financial dimension
ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier
ROE rose from 7.3% to 8.7% — mainly driven by asset turnover, despite net margin moving in the opposite direction.
Is the profit sustainable?
Margins narrowed but earnings quality remains clean — pressure is mainly operational.
What is driving the margin?
Net margin stands at 0.53%, broadly flat versus the same period. Supportive factors and pressure points are offsetting one another.
Margin is nearly flat but the underlying components are moving — this is a transitional phase, more time is needed to see the real trend.
Profitability trend
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Is capital being used efficiently?
Evaluate capital, asset, and working-capital efficiency.
Is capital being deployed efficiently?
ROIC stands at 2.91%, broadly flat versus the same period. That translates to 2.91 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. NOPAT margin steady, but capital turnover rose 1.10x, while invested capital expanded strongly by 212bn — the two factors are offsetting each other, keeping overall ROIC nearly unchanged.
Overall ROIC is flat while internal components are moving — watch which side becomes dominant in coming periods.
Watchpoints
ROIC is currently 2.91% — below the typical cost-of-capital threshold; worth tracking whether upcoming periods can rise above this level.
CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Balance Sheet
Leverage is very high, with clear pressure on the capital structure — liabilities at 3.16x equity, net debt at 2.04x equity.
Inventory ended the period at 775.0bn, roughly 44.9% of total assets.
Over the last 12 months, working capital absorbed 177.9bn of cash, mainly because of higher receivables and higher inventories. Part of that drag was offset by higher payables.
Working Capital Drivers
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Working Capital Efficiency
Working capital is being managed more efficiently, supporting overall capital efficiency. Cash conversion cycle improved by 6.9 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO fell 3.2 days, DSO fell 6.4 days, and DPO fell 2.8 days.
Improvement comes mainly from faster receivables collection — reflects the quality of receivables management.
Working Capital Efficiency
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Is financial risk significant?
High leverage combined with negative operating cash flow — this area needs close monitoring.
Leverage & Liquidity
Leverage warrants monitoring, with net debt / equity at 2.04x and interest coverage only at 0.95x.
At present, short-term debt accounts for 100.0% of total debt, cash equals 8.0% of debt, and total debt stands at 950.6bn.
Watchpoints
Net debt / equity stands at 2.04x, increasing balance-sheet pressure.
Interest coverage is 0.95x, leaving limited room to absorb financing costs.
Leverage and liquidity trend
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Cash Flow
High leverage combined with cash flow below reveals the actual liquidity pressure. Operating cash flow reached -0.7bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of -124.7bn.
Post-investment cash flow was negative +125.5bn. Financing cash flow was positive +94.0bn.
CFO / net income was -3.81x.
Track how much investment can be funded internally from operating cash flow.
Cash capex or FCF data is incomplete, so the cash-conversion view is only partial.
Cash Conversion
TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Investment Takeaway
The business is under real pressure, but the current picture has not turned broadly adverse. A notable area has clearly weakened, making the near-term outlook hard to call bright; even so, other parts of the business are still holding up, with capital efficiency remains weak remaining the main constraint, with ROIC at 2.9%. The next watchpoint is cash generation still needs confirmation. The main offsetting support comes from earnings conversion is confirmed, with CFO/NI at -3.81x.
Improvement: earnings conversion looks more confirmed, with CFO / net income at -3.81x.
Watchpoint: Cash generation still needs confirmation.
Key risk: Capital efficiency remains weak.
Statement Data
| Item | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Net Revenue
|
5,764.5 | 4,235.5 | 3,119.5 | 3,411.5 | 3,830.6 |
|
Cost of Goods Sold
|
5,621.7 | 4,143.1 | 3,036.7 | 3,337.6 | 0.0 |
|
Gross Profit
|
142.8 | 92.3 | 82.9 | 73.8 | 251.8 |
|
Financial Expenses
|
36.0 | 28.7 | 32.4 | 36.4 | -5.8 |
|
Selling Expenses
|
78.7 | 51.6 | 45.9 | 44.4 | -56.3 |
|
General and Administrative Expenses
|
32.1 | 20.1 | 15.7 | 15.1 | -32.5 |
|
Operating Profit
|
41.0 | 28.9 | 24.8 | 4.0 | 176.1 |
|
Profit Before Tax
|
41.0 | 29.8 | 25.8 | 5.5 | 177.8 |
|
Net Income
|
31.2 | 25.6 | 21.1 | 3.1 | 142.1 |
|
Profit Attributable to Parent
|
31.2 | 25.6 | 21.1 | 3.1 | 142.1 |
|
Earnings per Share
|
1,143.59 | 937.00 | 775.00 | 115.00 | 6,767.00 |
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