HMC

Kim khí Thành phố Hồ Chí Minh - VNSTEEL ·HOSE ·2026Q1

▲ Slightly positive

Earnings conversion is confirmed CFO/NPAT −3.81x
Price
11,350
Latest close
03 Jun 2026
P/E 8.50x
P/B 0.72x
EPS 1,335
BVPS 15,678
ROE 8.7%
ROA 2.3%
Profit Margin 0.5%
Asset Turnover 4.40x
Equity Mult. 3.74x

TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, HMC is maintaining revenue growth, but margins have not improved proportionally — earnings have been recovering gradually over multiple periods. However, operating cash flow is significantly negative relative to profit — this needs monitoring in coming periods.

TTM REVENUE
VND 6,915bn
+50.3%YoY
NET MARGIN
0.53%
−0.1ppYoY
TTM NET PROFIT
VND 36bn
+21.5%YoY
CFO / Net Income
-3.81x
negative cash flow vs profit
Metric Q1'26 Q4'25 Q3'25 Q2'25 Q1'25 Q4'24 Q3'24 Q2'24 Q1'24 Q4'23 Q3'23 Q2'23
Revenue 2,344.0 1,745.7 1,402.6 1,422.4 1,193.9 1,257.8 1,075.1 1,074.0 828.5 772.2 691.0 764.1
Growth +34% +24% -1% +19% -5% +17% +0% +30% +7% +12% -10%
Net Income 13.2 7.3 6.9 9.0 8.0 10.2 6.2 5.6 3.6 13.8 2.0 2.8
Net Margin 0.56% 0.42% 0.49% 0.64% 0.67% 0.81% 0.58% 0.52% 0.44% 1.79% 0.29% 0.36%

Drivers of HMC's profit

TTM

Net profit attributable to parent increased vs last year, mainly helped by higher gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Gross profit ↑ 81.2bn
Financial income ↑ 7.5bn
Selling expenses ↑ 38.9bn
Finance costs ↑ 25.1bn
Administrative expenses ↑ 11.4bn
Tax ↑ 6.8bn
TTM

Net profit attributable to parent increased vs prior quarter, mainly helped by higher gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Gross profit ↑ 43.1bn
Other profit ↑ 0.7bn
Selling expenses ↑ 20.0bn
Finance costs ↑ 14.3bn
Administrative expenses ↑ 2.7bn
Tax ↑ 2.2bn

Financial Highlights

Detailed analysis of each financial dimension

ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier

2025Q1 7.3% = 0.7% × 3.37 × 3.33
2026Q1 8.7% = 0.5% × 4.40 × 3.74

ROE rose from 7.3% to 8.7% — mainly driven by asset turnover, despite net margin moving in the opposite direction.

Net margin: 0.5% -0.1pp Asset turnover: 4.40x +1.03x Leverage: 3.74x +0.41x

Is the profit sustainable?

Margins narrowed but earnings quality remains clean — pressure is mainly operational.

very positive positive stable watch under pressure

What is driving the margin?

Net margin stands at 0.53%, broadly flat versus the same period. Supportive factors and pressure points are offsetting one another.

Margin is nearly flat but the underlying components are moving — this is a transitional phase, more time is needed to see the real trend.

Profitability trend

Net Margin 0.53% −0.1pp
Gross Margin 2.69% +0.4pp
SG&A / Revenue 1.93% +0.1pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Is capital being used efficiently?

Evaluate capital, asset, and working-capital efficiency.

Is capital being deployed efficiently?

ROIC stands at 2.91%, broadly flat versus the same period. That translates to 2.91 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. NOPAT margin steady, but capital turnover rose 1.10x, while invested capital expanded strongly by 212bn — the two factors are offsetting each other, keeping overall ROIC nearly unchanged.

Overall ROIC is flat while internal components are moving — watch which side becomes dominant in coming periods.

Watchpoints

ROIC remains low

ROIC is currently 2.91% — below the typical cost-of-capital threshold; worth tracking whether upcoming periods can rise above this level.

CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

ROIC 2.91% +0.0pp
NOPAT Margin 0.52% −0.1pp
Capital Turnover 5.62x +1.10x
Average Invested Capital 1,230.4bn +211.6bn

Balance Sheet

Leverage is very high, with clear pressure on the capital structure — liabilities at 3.16x equity, net debt at 2.04x equity.

Inventory ended the period at 775.0bn, roughly 44.9% of total assets.

Over the last 12 months, working capital absorbed 177.9bn of cash, mainly because of higher receivables and higher inventories. Part of that drag was offset by higher payables.

Working Capital Drivers

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables increased → lower CFO: −136.4bn
Inventories increased → lower CFO: −62.2bn
Payables increased → higher CFO: +20.7bn

Working Capital Efficiency

Working capital is being managed more efficiently, supporting overall capital efficiency. Cash conversion cycle improved by 6.9 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO fell 3.2 days, DSO fell 6.4 days, and DPO fell 2.8 days.

Improvement comes mainly from faster receivables collection — reflects the quality of receivables management.

Working Capital Efficiency

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables 30.8 days −6.4 days
Inventory 34.3 days −3.2 days
Payables 10.0 days −2.8 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 55.1 days −6.9 days

Is financial risk significant?

High leverage combined with negative operating cash flow — this area needs close monitoring.

Leverage & Liquidity

Leverage warrants monitoring, with net debt / equity at 2.04x and interest coverage only at 0.95x.

At present, short-term debt accounts for 100.0% of total debt, cash equals 8.0% of debt, and total debt stands at 950.6bn.

Watchpoints

Net leverage is elevated

Net debt / equity stands at 2.04x, increasing balance-sheet pressure.

Interest coverage is thin

Interest coverage is 0.95x, leaving limited room to absorb financing costs.

Leverage and liquidity trend

Net Debt / Equity 2.04x +0.24x
Interest Coverage 0.95x −0.42x
Cash / Debt 8.0% +4.2pp
Short-term Debt / Total Debt 100.0% 0.0pp
CFO / NI -3.81x +13.66x

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Cash Flow

High leverage combined with cash flow below reveals the actual liquidity pressure. Operating cash flow reached -0.7bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of -124.7bn.

Post-investment cash flow was negative +125.5bn. Financing cash flow was positive +94.0bn.

CFO / net income was -3.81x.

Track how much investment can be funded internally from operating cash flow.

Cash capex or FCF data is incomplete, so the cash-conversion view is only partial.

Cash Conversion

TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

CFO TTM 139.0bn +385.2bn
Cash Capex
FCF TTM

Investment Takeaway

The business is under real pressure, but the current picture has not turned broadly adverse. A notable area has clearly weakened, making the near-term outlook hard to call bright; even so, other parts of the business are still holding up, with capital efficiency remains weak remaining the main constraint, with ROIC at 2.9%. The next watchpoint is cash generation still needs confirmation. The main offsetting support comes from earnings conversion is confirmed, with CFO/NI at -3.81x.

Improvement: earnings conversion looks more confirmed, with CFO / net income at -3.81x.

Watchpoint: Cash generation still needs confirmation.

Key risk: Capital efficiency remains weak.

Statement Data

Item 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Net Revenue
5,764.5 4,235.5 3,119.5 3,411.5 3,830.6
Cost of Goods Sold
5,621.7 4,143.1 3,036.7 3,337.6 0.0
Gross Profit
142.8 92.3 82.9 73.8 251.8
Financial Expenses
36.0 28.7 32.4 36.4 -5.8
Selling Expenses
78.7 51.6 45.9 44.4 -56.3
General and Administrative Expenses
32.1 20.1 15.7 15.1 -32.5
Operating Profit
41.0 28.9 24.8 4.0 176.1
Profit Before Tax
41.0 29.8 25.8 5.5 177.8
Net Income
31.2 25.6 21.1 3.1 142.1
Profit Attributable to Parent
31.2 25.6 21.1 3.1 142.1
Earnings per Share
1,143.59 937.00 775.00 115.00 6,767.00

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