VGS

Ống thép Việt - Đức VG PIPE ·HNX ·2026Q1

▲ Showing improvement

Operating efficiency is improving Net margin 3.06%, +1.19pp YoY
Price
21,600
Latest close
04 Jun 2026
P/E 6.12x
P/B 0.99x
EPS 3,530
BVPS 21,797
ROE 17.9%
ROA 7.6%
Profit Margin 3.1%
Asset Turnover 2.50x
Equity Mult. 2.35x

TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, VGS has not accelerated revenue, but profitability is improving more visibly — profit is at an all-time high. The positive sign is better operations, though this signal only becomes convincing if accompanied by a revenue recovery.

TTM REVENUE
VND 7,233bn
−1.2%YoY
NET MARGIN
3.06%
+1.2ppYoY
TTM NET PROFIT
VND 221bn
+61.8%YoY
Metric Q1'26 Q4'25 Q3'25 Q2'25 Q1'25 Q4'24 Q3'24 Q2'24 Q1'24 Q4'23 Q3'23 Q2'23
Revenue 1,701.2 1,644.3 1,767.2 2,120.3 1,786.8 1,639.6 1,907.2 1,987.7 1,787.4 2,139.1 1,716.8 1,577.7
Growth +3% -7% -17% +19% +9% -14% -4% +11% -16% +25% +9%
Net Income 45.3 77.5 63.8 34.9 41.0 74.2 9.5 12.1 14.0 25.7 9.0 9.8
Net Margin 2.66% 4.71% 3.61% 1.64% 2.29% 4.52% 0.50% 0.61% 0.79% 1.20% 0.52% 0.62%

Drivers of VGS's profit

TTM

Net profit attributable to parent increased vs last year, mainly helped by higher gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Gross profit ↑ 39.4bn
Financial income ↑ 38.3bn
Associates income ↑ 29.3bn
Selling expenses ↑ 9.3bn
TTM

Net profit attributable to parent increased vs prior quarter, mainly helped by higher associates income. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Associates income ↑ 5.6bn
Financial income ↑ 4.9bn
Gross profit ↑ 2.6bn
Selling expenses ↑ 5.3bn
Finance costs ↑ 3.1bn
Administrative expenses ↑ 1.0bn

Financial Highlights

Detailed analysis of each financial dimension

ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier

2025Q1 12.9% = 1.9% × 2.89 × 2.39
2026Q1 17.9% = 3.1% × 2.50 × 2.35

ROE rose from 12.9% to 17.9% — mainly driven by net margin, despite asset turnover and leverage moving in the opposite direction.

Net margin: 3.1% +1.2pp Asset turnover: 2.50x -0.39x Leverage: 2.35x -0.05x

Is the profit sustainable?

Margins are improving and earnings quality is solid — a durable foundation for ROE.

very positive positive stable watch under pressure

What is driving the margin?

Net margin edged up to 3.06%, rising 1.2pp. Core operating signals are improving as Gross margin rose 0.6pp are enough to offset pressure from SG&A / Revenue rose 0.2pp (with additional support from Net financial result / Revenue rose 0.5pp and Other profit / Revenue rose 0.0pp).

Margin improves from both core operations and non-core items — the core foundation is positive, but the sustainability of non-core contributions needs monitoring.

Profitability trend

Net Margin 3.06% +1.2pp
Gross Margin 3.99% +0.6pp
SG&A / Revenue 1.39% +0.2pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Is capital being used efficiently?

Capital is being used more efficiently — ROIC rose and cash cycle shortened to 34.3 days.

Is capital being deployed efficiently?

ROIC expanded to 11.21%, rising 3.6pp. That translates to 11.21 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. The main driver is NOPAT margin rose 1.2pp, with capital turnover fell 0.39x; while invested capital rose by 167bn.

Capital efficiency improved through NOPAT margin — this is a quality-led improvement when operating profit leads.

CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

ROIC 11.21% +3.6pp
NOPAT Margin 3.04% +1.2pp
Capital Turnover 3.69x −0.39x
Average Invested Capital 1,961.9bn +166.9bn

Balance Sheet

ROIC is improving — the asset structure below shows how capital is being allocated. Capital structure is balanced — liabilities at 0.80x equity, net debt at 0.75x equity.

Inventory ended the period at 531.4bn, roughly 22.8% of total assets.

Over the last 12 months, working capital released 276.7bn of cash, mainly thanks to lower receivables and lower inventories. Pressure from lower payables only partly offset that benefit.

Working Capital Drivers

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables decreased → higher CFO: +162.3bn
Inventories decreased → higher CFO: +230.8bn
Payables decreased → lower CFO: −116.4bn

Working Capital Efficiency

Working capital is being managed more efficiently, supporting overall capital efficiency. Cash conversion cycle improved by 4.9 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO fell 1.8 days, DSO fell 3.7 days, and DPO fell 0.6 days.

Improvement comes mainly from faster receivables collection — reflects the quality of receivables management.

Working Capital Efficiency

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables 29.6 days −3.7 days
Inventory 34.0 days −1.8 days
Payables 29.3 days −0.6 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 34.3 days −4.9 days

Is financial risk significant?

Financial risk is low — leverage is safe, both CFO and FCF are positive.

Leverage & Liquidity

Leverage is balanced for now, with net debt / equity at 0.75x and interest coverage at 12.17x.

At present, short-term debt accounts for 100.0% of total debt, cash equals 3.4% of debt, and total debt stands at 832.0bn.

Watchpoints

Short-term refinancing pressure is meaningful

Short-term debt accounts for 100.0% of total debt, raising near-term refinancing needs.

Cash buffer is thin relative to debt

Cash / debt stands at 3.4%, leaving limited liquidity buffer to monitor.

Leverage and liquidity trend

Net Debt / Equity 0.75x +0.17x
Interest Coverage 12.17x +4.18x
Cash / Debt 3.4% −11.1pp
Short-term Debt / Total Debt 100.0% +26.4pp
CFO / NI 2.04x +0.51x

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Cash Flow

With safe leverage noted above, cash flow below shows the self-funding capacity. Operating cash flow reached 440.7bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of -305.6bn.

Post-investment cash flow was positive +135.1bn. Financing cash flow was negative +210.5bn.

CFO / net income was 2.04x.

After spending +22.3bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of +428.9bn.

Cash Conversion

TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

CFO TTM 451.2bn +242.0bn
Cash Capex 22.3bn −73.0bn
FCF TTM +428.9bn +315.0bn

Investment Takeaway

The business is heading the right way, but the current picture is still at partial confirmation — not yet a fully clean case. The positive points have clearly improved, showing the operating base is better than before. The brighter spot is operating efficiency, with net margin improving 1.2 pp. The main risk still sits in leverage and liquidity, with interest coverage at 12.17x.

Improvement: operating efficiency is getting better, with trailing-12M net margin at 3.06% after expanding 1.2pp versus the same period last year.

Key risk: leverage and liquidity remain a pressure point, with net debt / equity at 0.75x and a thin cash buffer.

Statement Data

Item 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Net Revenue
7,318.6 7,321.9 7,555.7 8,483.2 6,683.6
Cost of Goods Sold
7,032.9 7,099.9 7,364.8 8,289.6 0.0
Gross Profit
285.7 222.0 190.9 193.6 263.1
Financial Expenses
18.0 20.8 36.2 35.9 -26.1
Selling Expenses
61.8 51.4 52.1 46.1 -69.0
General and Administrative Expenses
32.2 26.8 33.1 29.6 -32.7
Operating Profit
252.6 134.9 71.5 116.5 156.5
Profit Before Tax
254.1 134.9 72.3 116.8 156.5
Net Income
217.0 109.9 58.1 100.1 128.8
Profit Attributable to Parent
217.0 109.9 58.1 100.1 128.8
Earnings per Share
3,432.00 1,845.00 1,028.00 1,929.00 3,058.00

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