HSG

Tập đoàn Hoa Sen ·HOSE ·2026Q1

● Maintaining

Price
12,250
Latest close
03 Jun 2026
P/E 12.15x
P/B 0.67x
EPS 1,009
BVPS 18,320
ROE 5.6%
ROA 3.1%
Profit Margin 1.8%
Asset Turnover 1.70x
Equity Mult. 1.82x

TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, HSG is in an offsetting state — revenue softened slightly but margins improved — margins have been expanding consistently over multiple periods. What is still missing is a signal strong enough to tilt this picture clearly in either direction.

TTM REVENUE
VND 34,701bn
−14.1%YoY
NET MARGIN
1.80%
+0.4ppYoY
TTM NET PROFIT
VND 626bn
+9.5%YoY
Metric Q1'26 Q4'25 Q3'25 Q2'25 Q1'25 Q4'24 Q3'24 Q2'24 Q1'24 Q4'23 Q3'23 Q2'23
Revenue 8,383.1 8,356.6 9,509.2 8,451.9 10,221.7 10,108.7 10,840.4 9,248.2 9,073.2 8,106.6 8,645.8 6,980.9
Growth +0% -12% +13% -17% +1% -7% +17% +2% +12% -6% +24%
Net Income 62.4 84.7 273.8 205.4 165.5 -185.9 273.4 318.9 103.4 438.4 14.2 250.6
Net Margin 0.74% 1.01% 2.88% 2.43% 1.62% -1.84% 2.52% 3.45% 1.14% 5.41% 0.16% 3.59%

Drivers of HSG's profit

TTM

Net profit attributable to parent increased vs last year, mainly helped by lower selling expenses. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Selling expenses ↓ 537.8bn
Other profit ↑ 41.6bn
Finance costs ↓ 13.7bn
Gross profit ↓ 259.6bn
Administrative expenses ↑ 157.2bn
Financial income ↓ 64.7bn
TTM

Net profit attributable to parent declined vs prior quarter, mainly due to lower gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Selling expenses ↓ 190.7bn
Gross profit ↓ 266.8bn
Administrative expenses ↑ 26.3bn
Tax ↑ 10.7bn

Financial Highlights

Detailed analysis of each financial dimension

ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier

2025Q1 5.2% = 1.4% × 2.09 × 1.76
2026Q1 5.6% = 1.8% × 1.70 × 1.82

ROE is broadly flat at 5.6% — the components are offsetting one another.

Net margin: 1.8% +0.4pp Asset turnover: 1.70x -0.40x Leverage: 1.82x +0.06x

Is the profit sustainable?

Margins are improving and earnings quality is solid — a durable foundation for ROE.

very positive positive stable watch under pressure

What is driving the margin?

Net margin edged up to 1.80%, rising 0.4pp. Core operating signals are improving as Gross margin rose 1.1pp are enough to offset pressure from SG&A / Revenue rose 0.5pp (in addition, Other profit / Revenue rose 0.1pp added support while Net financial result / Revenue fell 0.1pp remained a drag).

The improvement comes from core operations — this is a high-quality margin expansion.

Profitability trend

Net Margin 1.80% +0.4pp
Gross Margin 12.24% +1.1pp
SG&A / Revenue 10.41% +0.5pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Is capital being used efficiently?

Evaluate capital, asset, and working-capital efficiency.

Is capital being deployed efficiently?

ROIC stands at 3.42%, broadly flat versus the same period. That translates to 3.42 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. NOPAT margin rose 0.3pp, but capital turnover fell 0.58x, while invested capital rose by 1,396bn — the two factors are offsetting each other, keeping overall ROIC nearly unchanged.

Overall ROIC is flat while internal components are moving — watch which side becomes dominant in coming periods.

Watchpoints

ROIC remains low

ROIC is currently 3.42% — below the typical cost-of-capital threshold; worth tracking whether upcoming periods can rise above this level.

CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

ROIC 3.42% −0.2pp
NOPAT Margin 1.61% +0.3pp
Capital Turnover 2.12x −0.58x
Average Invested Capital 16,347.1bn +1,395.9bn

Balance Sheet

Capital structure is conservative with low leverage — liabilities at 0.67x equity, net debt at 0.46x equity.

Inventory ended the period at 8,203.7bn, roughly 43.3% of total assets.

Over the last 12 months, working capital released 1,458.5bn of cash, mainly thanks to lower inventories and higher payables. Pressure from higher receivables only partly offset that benefit.

Working Capital Drivers

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables increased → lower CFO: −95.6bn
Inventories decreased → higher CFO: +475.6bn
Payables increased → higher CFO: +1,078.5bn

Working Capital Efficiency

The inventory build-up noted above is reflected in a longer cash cycle. Cash conversion cycle lengthened by 21.5 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO rose 25.3 days, DSO rose 0.6 days, and DPO rose 4.3 days.

Working capital cycle lengthened mainly due to slower inventory turnover — more capital is being tied up in inventory.

Watchpoints

Cash conversion cycle remains stretched

CCC stands at 112.0 days, suggesting that working capital remains tied up for a relatively long operating cycle.

Receivables collection is slowing

DSO increased by +0.6 days, pointing to slower receivables turnover.

Working Capital Efficiency

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables 16.8 days +0.6 days
Inventory 117.8 days +25.3 days
Payables 22.6 days +4.3 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 112.0 days +21.5 days

Is financial risk significant?

Leverage is safe but FCF is negative at 93.3bn due to capex of 2,840.8bn — an investment choice, not an urgent risk.

Leverage & Liquidity

Leverage is balanced for now, with net debt / equity at 0.46x and interest coverage at 2.43x.

At present, short-term debt accounts for 100.0% of total debt, cash equals 14.0% of debt, and total debt stands at 6,143.2bn.

Watchpoints

Short-term refinancing pressure is meaningful

Short-term debt accounts for 100.0% of total debt, raising near-term refinancing needs.

Cash buffer is thin relative to debt

Cash / debt stands at 14.0%, leaving limited liquidity buffer to monitor.

Leverage and liquidity trend

Net Debt / Equity 0.46x +0.02x
Interest Coverage 2.43x +0.37x
Cash / Debt 14.0% −9.4pp
Short-term Debt / Total Debt 100.0% 0.0pp
CFO / NI 4.39x +5.72x

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Cash Flow

With safe leverage noted above, cash flow below shows the self-funding capacity. Operating cash flow reached 3,685.2bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of -2,616.7bn.

Post-investment cash flow was positive +1,068.5bn. Financing cash flow was negative +1,242.4bn.

CFO / net income was 4.39x.

After spending +2,840.8bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of −93.3bn.

Cash Conversion

TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

CFO TTM 2,747.6bn +3,509.8bn
Cash Capex 2,840.8bn +1,904.5bn
FCF TTM −93.3bn +1,605.3bn

Investment Takeaway

The business is balanced but not yet fully stable — some components are moving the right way while others still need monitoring. This is a state to keep watching, with not enough signal to tilt the thesis either way. The brighter spot is earnings conversion is confirmed, with CFO/NI at 4.39x. The main risk still sits in capital efficiency remains weak, with ROIC at 3.4%.

Improvement: earnings conversion looks more confirmed, with CFO / net income at 4.39x.

Key risk: Capital efficiency remains weak.

Statement Data

Item 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Net Revenue
36,537.8 39,271.9 31,650.7 49,710.6 56,560.6
Cost of Goods Sold
32,017.8 35,008.2 28,590.0 44,771.9 0.0
Gross Profit
4,520.0 4,263.7 3,060.6 4,938.7 9,504.9
Financial Expenses
272.3 254.5 314.2 520.9 -598.4
Selling Expenses
3,108.9 3,344.7 2,476.9 3,832.6 -3,975.9
General and Administrative Expenses
665.7 495.6 407.0 522.2 -454.8
Operating Profit
754.0 510.6 96.1 329.8 4,978.9
Profit Before Tax
825.3 551.2 146.0 381.1 4,979.7
Net Income
735.0 514.7 30.1 251.3 4,379.1
Profit Attributable to Parent
735.0 514.6 30.0 251.3 4,379.1
Earnings per Share
1,137.00 802.00 47.00 405.00 8,873.94

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