CTX

Tổng Công ty cổ phần Đầu tư Xây dựng và Thương mại Việt Nam ·UPCOM ·2026Q1

● Maintaining

Capital efficiency needs cycle context ROE 17.50%
Price
6,500
Latest close
04 Jun 2026
P/E 2.52x
P/B 0.53x
EPS 2,583
BVPS 12,197
ROE 18.3%
ROA 9.5%
Profit Margin 3.4%
Asset Turnover 2.76x
Equity Mult. 1.93x

TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, CTX is showing a few mildly positive signals versus the same period, though the magnitude is narrow — the growth momentum has held across consecutive periods. Notably, operating cash flow is significantly negative relative to profit — this needs monitoring in coming periods.

TTM REVENUE
VND 6,012bn
+3461.8%YoY
NET MARGIN
3.43%
−3.0ppYoY
TTM NET PROFIT
VND 206bn
+1785.6%YoY
CFO / Net Income
-0.71x
negative cash flow vs profit
Metric Q1'26 Q4'25 Q3'25 Q2'25 Q1'25 Q4'24 Q3'24 Q2'24 Q1'24 Q4'23 Q3'23 Q2'23
Revenue 42.3 54.5 5,873.2 41.9 41.5 53.8 37.6 36.0 33.3 126.7 118.6 62.5
Growth -22% -99% +13930% +1% -23% +43% +5% +8% -74% +7% +90%
Net Income 11.3 -19.8 216.2 -1.5 1.8 7.7 2.2 -0.8 2.3 6.5 19.6 10.7
Net Margin 26.73% -36.37% 3.68% -3.54% 4.42% 14.25% 5.90% -2.16% 6.80% 5.12% 16.52% 17.09%

Drivers of CTX's profit

TTM

Net profit attributable to parent increased vs last year, mainly helped by higher gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Gross profit ↑ 251.6bn
Financial income ↑ 24.9bn
Tax ↑ 73.4bn
TTM

Net profit attributable to parent increased vs prior quarter, mainly helped by higher financial income. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Financial income ↑ 9.5bn
Gross profit ↑ 3.3bn
Administrative expenses ↑ 1.3bn

Financial Highlights

Detailed analysis of each financial dimension

ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier

2025Q1 1.1% = 6.5% × 0.09 × 1.91
2026Q1 18.3% = 3.4% × 2.76 × 1.93

ROE rose from 1.1% to 18.3% — mainly driven by asset turnover, despite net margin moving in the opposite direction.

Net margin: 3.4% -3.0pp Asset turnover: 2.76x +2.67x Leverage: 1.93x +0.03x

Is the profit sustainable?

Margins narrowed but earnings quality remains clean — pressure is mainly operational.

very positive positive stable watch under pressure

What is driving the margin?

Net margin fell to 3.43%, losing 3.0pp. The main pressure is Gross margin fell 23.7pp, outweighing the improvement in SG&A / Revenue fell 27.5pp (in addition, Net financial result / Revenue rose 0.3pp added support while Other profit / Revenue fell 7.7pp remained a drag).

Margin is under pressure from multiple sides — temporary and structural components need to be separated to properly assess the risk.

Profitability trend

Net Margin 3.43% −3.0pp
Gross Margin 4.99% −23.7pp
SG&A / Revenue 0.66% −27.5pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Is capital being used efficiently?

Capital efficiency for construction contractors should be read alongside project progress and receivables collection from developers — ROIC of 17.5% fluctuates with handover cycles.

Is capital being deployed efficiently?

ROIC expanded to 17.50%, rising 17.4pp. That translates to 17.50 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. Both NOPAT margin rose 2.9pp and capital turnover rose 4.95x, while invested capital rose by 85bn — capital-return quality improved from both sides.

For construction contractors, ROIC moves with backlog and project acceptance timing — this is a reference signal and should be read alongside working-capital cycles.

CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

ROIC 17.50% +17.4pp
NOPAT Margin 3.43% +2.9pp
Capital Turnover 5.10x +4.95x
Average Invested Capital 1,178.7bn +84.9bn

Balance Sheet

ROIC for construction contractors swings with project progress and handover cycles — the balance sheet below adds perspective. Capital structure is relatively light for construction contractors — liabilities at 1.05x equity, net debt at 0.03x equity.

Over the last 12 months, working capital absorbed 117.8bn of cash, mainly because of higher receivables. Part of that drag was offset by lower inventories and higher payables.

Working Capital Drivers

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables increased → lower CFO: −137.5bn
Inventories decreased → higher CFO: +9.9bn
Payables increased → higher CFO: +9.7bn

Working Capital Efficiency

Working capital is being managed more efficiently, supporting overall capital efficiency. Cash conversion cycle improved by 196.4 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO fell 346.9 days, DSO fell 355.2 days, and DPO fell 505.7 days.

Extended payment timing is the main driver — consider whether this trades off supplier relationships.

For construction contractors, DSO/DIO/DPO/CCC can be distorted by project progress, work-in-progress receivables, and milestone acceptance timing — these metrics should be read alongside developer payment cycles.

Working Capital Efficiency

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables 10.3 days −355.2 days
Inventory 6.9 days −346.9 days
Payables 12.6 days −505.7 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 4.7 days −196.4 days

Is financial risk significant?

Leverage is safe but FCF is negative at 5,370.6bn due to capex of 5,223.7bn — an investment choice, not an urgent risk.

Leverage & Liquidity

Leverage looks fairly comfortable, with net debt / equity at 0.03x and interest coverage at 95.27x.

At present, short-term debt accounts for 100.0% of total debt, cash equals 78.6% of debt, and total debt stands at 174.7bn.

Leverage for construction contractors fluctuates with project working capital, performance guarantees, and progress receivables — should be read alongside receivables quality and developer payment cycles.

Watchpoints

Short-term refinancing pressure is meaningful

Short-term debt accounts for 100.0% of total debt, raising near-term refinancing needs.

Leverage and liquidity trend

Net Debt / Equity 0.03x −0.04x
Interest Coverage 95.27x
Cash / Debt 78.6% +24.6pp
Short-term Debt / Total Debt 100.0% 0.0pp
CFO / NI -0.71x −8.84x

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Cash Flow

With safe leverage noted above, cash flow below shows the self-funding capacity. Operating cash flow reached 39.7bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of 30.6bn.

Post-investment cash flow was positive +70.3bn. Financing cash flow was positive +98.4bn.

CFO / net income was -0.71x.

After spending +5,223.7bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of −5,370.6bn.

For construction contractors, FCF swings sharply with project progress and payment cycles — should be read alongside backlog and receivables quality.

Cash Conversion

TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

CFO TTM 146.9bn −236.3bn
Cash Capex 5,223.7bn +5,135.7bn
FCF TTM −5,370.6bn −5,371.9bn

Investment Takeaway

The business is balanced but not yet fully stable — some components are moving the right way while others still need monitoring. This is a state to keep watching, with not enough signal to tilt the thesis either way. The brighter spot is earnings conversion is confirmed, with CFO/NI at -0.71x. The next item to monitor is capital efficiency, with ROIC at 17.5%. The main risk still sits in core profitability, with net margin down 3.0 pp.

Improvement: earnings conversion looks more confirmed, with CFO / net income at -0.71x.

Watchpoint: Capital efficiency needs cycle context.

Key risk: profitability remains under pressure, with trailing-12M net margin at 3.43% after a 3.0pp decline versus the same period last year.

Statement Data

Item 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Net Revenue
5,999.2 160.6 336.6 183.9 95.2
Cost of Goods Sold
5,702.4 111.6 223.6 145.2 0.0
Gross Profit
296.8 49.0 113.0 38.8 -7.7
Financial Expenses
1.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0
Selling Expenses
6.8 13.8 18.9 7.5 -2.8
General and Administrative Expenses
31.7 34.9 50.3 27.6 -18.2
Operating Profit
273.1 1.3 45.5 5.0 -27.8
Profit Before Tax
272.7 14.2 45.2 6.5 1.4
Net Income
196.8 11.3 35.7 5.7 0.1
Profit Attributable to Parent
196.8 11.3 35.8 6.1 0.2
Earnings per Share
2,494.00 144.00 453.00 77.00 2.40

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