HU4

Đầu tư và Xây dựng HUD4 ·UPCOM ·2026Q1

▲ Slightly positive

Earnings conversion is confirmed CFO/NPAT 12.37x
Price
9,900
Latest close
04 Jun 2026
P/E 5.52x
P/B 0.67x
EPS 1,792
BVPS 14,754
ROE 12.6%
ROA 4.3%
Profit Margin 5.4%
Asset Turnover 0.79x
Equity Mult. 2.91x

TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, HU4 is showing a few mildly positive signals versus the same period, though the magnitude is narrow — profit is at an all-time high. The direction is leaning toward improvement, but the next test will be whether the magnitude widens enough to become a trend.

TTM REVENUE
VND 494bn
+173.2%YoY
NET MARGIN
5.44%
−3.2ppYoY
TTM NET PROFIT
VND 27bn
+71.9%YoY
Metric Q1'26 Q4'25 Q3'25 Q2'25 Q1'25 Q4'24 Q3'24 Q2'24 Q1'24 Q4'23 Q3'23 Q2'23
Revenue 42.8 9.9 255.8 185.1 40.5 -17.0 101.8 55.4 15.8 16.5 6.4 3.9
Growth +330% -96% +38% +357% -338% -117% +84% +251% -4% +157% +64%
Net Income 1.6 1.9 10.1 13.4 1.8 5.1 7.3 1.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Net Margin 3.71% 18.98% 3.93% 7.21% 4.56% -29.84% 7.15% 2.57% 0.62% 0.33% 0.59% 1.21%

Drivers of HU4's profit

TTM

Net profit attributable to parent increased vs last year, mainly helped by higher gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Gross profit ↑ 83.6bn
Other profit ↑ 1.4bn
Selling expenses ↑ 29.6bn
Administrative expenses ↑ 28.8bn
Finance costs ↑ 11.5bn
Tax ↑ 4.9bn
TTM

Net profit attributable to parent declined vs prior quarter, mainly due to higher selling expenses. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Finance costs ↓ 4.3bn
Financial income ↑ 0.8bn
Selling expenses ↑ 2.4bn
Administrative expenses ↑ 1.3bn
Other profit ↓ 0.8bn
Tax ↑ 0.4bn

Financial Highlights

Detailed analysis of each financial dimension

ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier

2025Q1 7.9% = 8.7% × 0.25 × 3.62
2026Q1 12.6% = 5.4% × 0.79 × 2.91

ROE rose from 7.9% to 12.6% — mainly driven by asset turnover, despite net margin and leverage moving in the opposite direction.

Net margin: 5.4% -3.2pp Asset turnover: 0.79x +0.54x Leverage: 2.91x -0.70x

Is the profit sustainable?

Margins narrowed but earnings quality remains clean — pressure is mainly operational.

very positive positive stable watch under pressure

What is driving the margin?

Net margin fell to 5.45%, losing 3.2pp. The main pressure is Gross margin fell 15.2pp, outweighing the improvement in SG&A / Revenue fell 3.6pp (with additional support from Net financial result / Revenue rose 7.2pp and Other profit / Revenue rose 0.7pp).

Margin is under pressure from multiple sides — temporary and structural components need to be separated to properly assess the risk.

Profitability trend

Net Margin 5.45% −3.2pp
Gross Margin 35.47% −15.2pp
SG&A / Revenue 20.74% −3.6pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Is capital being used efficiently?

Capital efficiency for residential developers should be read alongside project cycles and handover timing — ROIC of 6.9% fluctuates with handover cycles.

Is capital being deployed efficiently?

ROIC expanded to 6.90%, rising 3.8pp. That translates to 6.90 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. capital turnover rose 0.94x was enough to offset the contraction in NOPAT margin narrowed 3.8pp, while invested capital contracted by 148bn.

For real estate developers, ROIC moves with project cycles — this is a reference signal, and the real assessment needs upcoming handover periods.

CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

ROIC 6.90% +3.8pp
NOPAT Margin 5.42% −3.8pp
Capital Turnover 1.27x +0.94x
Average Invested Capital 388.0bn −148.5bn

Balance Sheet

ROIC for residential developers swings with project cycles and handover timing — the balance sheet below adds perspective. Capital structure is relatively light for the real estate sector — liabilities at 1.61x equity, net debt at 0.09x equity.

Development inventory ended the period at 385.5bn, about 67.1% of total assets — reflecting projects in progress awaiting handover.

Over the last 12 months, working capital released 183.0bn of cash, mainly thanks to lower inventories. Pressure from higher receivables and lower payables only partly offset that benefit.

Working Capital Drivers

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables increased → lower CFO: −4.0bn
Inventories decreased → higher CFO: +218.5bn
Payables decreased → lower CFO: −31.5bn

Is financial risk significant?

Financial risk is low — leverage is safe, both CFO and FCF are positive.

Leverage & Liquidity

Leverage warrants monitoring, with net debt / equity at 0.09x and interest coverage only at 0.94x.

At present, short-term debt accounts for 52.2% of total debt, cash equals 77.0% of debt, and total debt stands at 90.1bn.

Leverage for residential developers should be read alongside project cycles, development inventory, and handover timing.

Watchpoints

Interest coverage is thin

Interest coverage is 0.94x, leaving limited room to absorb financing costs.

Leverage and liquidity trend

Net Debt / Equity 0.09x −1.50x
Interest Coverage 0.94x +0.15x
Cash / Debt 77.0% +74.3pp
Short-term Debt / Total Debt 52.2% −40.6pp
CFO / NI 12.37x +11.11x

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Cash Flow

With safe leverage noted above, cash flow below shows the self-funding capacity. Operating cash flow reached 379.3bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of -0.7bn.

Post-investment cash flow was positive +378.6bn. Financing cash flow was negative +294.7bn.

CFO / net income was 12.37x.

After spending +2.1bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of +330.4bn.

For residential developers, FCF and CFO swing with project cycles — negative during investment phases and positive at handover — not representative of single-year efficiency.

Cash Conversion

TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

CFO TTM 332.5bn +312.8bn
Cash Capex 2.1bn
FCF TTM +330.4bn

Investment Takeaway

The business is heading the right way, but the current picture is still at partial confirmation — not yet a fully clean case. The positive points have clearly improved, showing the operating base is better than before. The brighter spot is earnings conversion is confirmed, with CFO/NI at 12.37x. The next item to monitor is capital efficiency, with ROIC at 6.9%. The main risk still sits in core profitability, with net margin down 3.2 pp.

Improvement: earnings conversion looks more confirmed, with CFO / net income at 12.37x.

Watchpoint: Capital efficiency needs cycle context.

Key risk: profitability remains under pressure, with trailing-12M net margin at 5.45% after a 3.2pp decline versus the same period last year.

Statement Data

Item 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Net Revenue
491.4 156.0 28.8 262.3 448.6
Cost of Goods Sold
316.0 70.1 20.5 172.6 0.0
Gross Profit
175.4 85.9 8.3 89.7 76.4
Financial Expenses
42.3 24.7 9.1 10.5 -4.5
Selling Expenses
40.1 12.4 -17.9 16.1 -18.6
General and Administrative Expenses
58.6 29.5 16.2 25.6 -23.9
Operating Profit
34.9 19.2 0.9 38.1 30.1
Profit Before Tax
35.8 17.8 0.2 25.1 32.0
Net Income
27.1 13.9 0.1 19.6 20.4
Profit Attributable to Parent
27.1 13.9 0.1 19.6 20.4
Earnings per Share
1,809.00 925.00 9.00 1,307.00 1,357.36

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