SSN
Xuất nhập khẩu Thủy sản Sài Gòn ·UPCOM ·2022Q2
▼▼ Declining sharply
TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity
What Is Changing
On a TTM 2022Q2 basis, SSN posted a very sharp profit drop versus the same period, showing that pressure has clearly fed through to the bottom line. More notably, most of the profit comes from non-core sources — this needs careful evaluation before concluding on growth quality.
| Metric | Q2'22 | Q1'22 | Q4'21 | Q3'21 | Q2'21 | Q1'21 | Q4'20 | Q3'20 | Q2'20 | Q1'20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 7.2 | 2.8 | 3.9 | 3.4 | 4.9 | 4.0 | 4.6 | 4.4 | 27.1 | 4.3 |
| Growth | +159% | -30% | +16% | -31% | +23% | -14% | +3% | -84% | +525% | — |
| Net Income | 0.1 | 0.0 | -0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | -0.4 | 0.2 | -0.0 | 0.3 |
| Net Margin | 1.17% | 0.76% | -11.41% | 4.96% | 1.00% | 4.69% | -8.24% | 3.69% | -0.10% | 5.99% |
Drivers of SSN's profit
Net profit attributable to parent declined vs last year, mainly due to higher administrative expenses. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Net profit attributable to parent increased vs prior quarter, mainly helped by higher gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Financial Highlights
Detailed analysis of each financial dimension
ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier
ROE is broadly flat at -0.0% — the components are offsetting one another.
Is the profit sustainable?
Margins are under pressure while earnings still rely significantly on non-core sources.
What is driving the margin?
Net margin narrowed to -1.02%, falling 1.1pp. The main pressure comes from SG&A / Revenue rose 63.1pp and Gross margin fell 17.6pp (with additional support from Net financial result / Revenue rose 18.0pp and Other profit / Revenue rose 9.0pp).
Margin is under pressure from multiple sides — temporary and structural components need to be separated to properly assess the risk.
Profitability trend
TTM YoY · 2021Q2 -> 2022Q2
Watchpoints
Financial result accounts for 13587.2% of PBT and lifted net margin by 26.9pp — separate the operating contribution from this source.
Is capital being used efficiently?
Evaluate capital, asset, and working-capital efficiency.
Is capital being deployed efficiently?
ROIC stands at 0.11%, broadly flat versus the same period. That translates to 0.11 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. NOPAT margin rose 1.4pp, but capital turnover broadly stable, with invested capital holding roughly steady — the two factors are offsetting each other, keeping overall ROIC nearly unchanged.
Overall ROIC is flat while internal components are moving — watch which side becomes dominant in coming periods.
Watchpoints
ROIC is currently 0.11% — below the typical cost-of-capital threshold; worth tracking whether upcoming periods can rise above this level.
CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND
TTM YoY · 2021Q2 -> 2022Q2
Balance Sheet
Balance sheet is exceptionally sound — liabilities at 1.40x equity, with a net cash position equivalent to 0.00x equity.
Over the last 12 months, working capital absorbed 1.0bn of cash, mainly because of lower payables. Part of that drag was offset by lower receivables and lower inventories.
Working Capital Drivers
TTM YoY · 2021Q2 -> 2022Q2
Working Capital Efficiency
Track receivable, inventory, and payable turns to judge working-capital efficiency.
Track DSO, DIO, DPO components to evaluate working capital turnover efficiency.
Watchpoints
CCC stands at 2502.0 days, suggesting that working capital remains tied up for a relatively long operating cycle.
Working Capital Efficiency
TTM YoY · 2021Q2 -> 2022Q2
Is financial risk significant?
Leverage is safe but FCF is negative at 10.3bn due to capex of 0.0bn — an investment choice, not an urgent risk.
Leverage & Liquidity
Leverage warrants monitoring, with net debt / equity at -0.00x and interest coverage only at 1.66x.
At present, short-term debt accounts for 0.0% of total debt, cash equals 3028.3% of debt, and total debt stands at 0.0bn.
Watchpoints
Interest coverage is 1.66x, leaving limited room to absorb financing costs.
Leverage and liquidity trend
TTM YoY · 2021Q2 -> 2022Q2
Cash Flow
Operating cash flow reached -6.4bn in 2021, against investing cash flow of 7.5bn.
Post-investment cash flow was positive +1.1bn. Financing cash flow was negative +1.2bn.
CFO / net income was 58.50x.
After spending 0.0bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of −10.3bn.
Cash Conversion
TTM Cash Conversion · 2021Q2 -> 2022Q2
Investment Takeaway
The business is under real pressure, but the current picture has not turned broadly adverse. A notable area has clearly weakened, making the near-term outlook hard to call bright; even so, other parts of the business are still holding up, with capital efficiency remains weak remaining the main constraint, with ROIC at 0.1%. The next watchpoint is the earnings mix, when non-core contribution is 10818.2%.
Watchpoint: cash flow is currently keeping pace with accounting earnings, with CFO / net income at 58.50x. Even so, net financial result still accounts for 10818.2% of PBT, so the earnings mix still needs monitoring.
Key risk: Capital efficiency remains weak.
Statement Data
| Item | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|
|
Net Revenue
|
16.1 | 40.4 |
|
Cost of Goods Sold
|
0.0 | 0.0 |
|
Gross Profit
|
5.2 | 9.3 |
|
Financial Expenses
|
1.1 | -0.1 |
|
Selling Expenses
|
0.0 | 0.0 |
|
General and Administrative Expenses
|
-9.6 | -10.2 |
|
Operating Profit
|
1.5 | 7.4 |
|
Profit Before Tax
|
0.2 | 0.3 |
|
Net Income
|
-0.0 | 0.0 |
|
Profit Attributable to Parent
|
-0.0 | 0.0 |
|
Earnings per Share
|
-1.17 | 0.45 |
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