SSN

Xuất nhập khẩu Thủy sản Sài Gòn ·UPCOM ·2022Q2

▼▼ Declining sharply

Capital efficiency remains weak ROE 0.11%, +0.05pp YoY
Price
Latest close
P/E
P/B
EPS -4
BVPS 11,411
ROE -0.0%
ROA -0.0%
Profit Margin -1.0%
Asset Turnover 0.02x
Equity Mult. 2.38x

TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2022Q2 basis, SSN posted a very sharp profit drop versus the same period, showing that pressure has clearly fed through to the bottom line. More notably, most of the profit comes from non-core sources — this needs careful evaluation before concluding on growth quality.

TTM REVENUE
VND 17bn
−3.3%YoY
NET MARGIN
−1.02%
−1.1ppYoY
TTM NET PROFIT
−VND 0bn
−940.9%YoY
Net financial result / PBT
10818.2%
affects earnings quality
Metric Q2'22 Q1'22 Q4'21 Q3'21 Q2'21 Q1'21 Q4'20 Q3'20 Q2'20 Q1'20
Revenue 7.2 2.8 3.9 3.4 4.9 4.0 4.6 4.4 27.1 4.3
Growth +159% -30% +16% -31% +23% -14% +3% -84% +525%
Net Income 0.1 0.0 -0.4 0.2 0.0 0.2 -0.4 0.2 -0.0 0.3
Net Margin 1.17% 0.76% -11.41% 4.96% 1.00% 4.69% -8.24% 3.69% -0.10% 5.99%

Drivers of SSN's profit

TTM

Net profit attributable to parent declined vs last year, mainly due to higher administrative expenses. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Financial income ↑ 2.9bn
Other profit ↑ 1.7bn
Finance costs ↓ 0.1bn
Administrative expenses ↑ 11.2bn
Gross profit ↓ 3.3bn
Tax ↑ 0.3bn
TTM

Net profit attributable to parent increased vs prior quarter, mainly helped by higher gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Gross profit ↑ 1.3bn
Other profit ↑ 0.3bn
Administrative expenses ↑ 5.4bn
Financial income ↓ 0.2bn
Tax ↑ 0.1bn
Finance costs ↑ 0.1bn

Financial Highlights

Detailed analysis of each financial dimension

ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier

2021Q2 0.0% = 0.1% × 0.02 × 2.41
2022Q2 -0.0% = -1.0% × 0.02 × 2.38

ROE is broadly flat at -0.0% — the components are offsetting one another.

Net margin: -1.0% -1.1pp Asset turnover: 0.02x -0.00x Leverage: 2.38x -0.03x

Is the profit sustainable?

Margins are under pressure while earnings still rely significantly on non-core sources.

very positive positive stable watch under pressure

What is driving the margin?

Net margin narrowed to -1.02%, falling 1.1pp. The main pressure comes from SG&A / Revenue rose 63.1pp and Gross margin fell 17.6pp (with additional support from Net financial result / Revenue rose 18.0pp and Other profit / Revenue rose 9.0pp).

Margin is under pressure from multiple sides — temporary and structural components need to be separated to properly assess the risk.

Profitability trend

Net Margin -1.02% −1.1pp
Gross Margin 31.03% −17.6pp
SG&A / Revenue 5.03% +63.1pp
Non-core / Revenue 25.83% +26.9pp

TTM YoY · 2021Q2 -> 2022Q2

Watchpoints

Financial result is supporting margin

Financial result accounts for 13587.2% of PBT and lifted net margin by 26.9pp — separate the operating contribution from this source.

Is capital being used efficiently?

Evaluate capital, asset, and working-capital efficiency.

Is capital being deployed efficiently?

ROIC stands at 0.11%, broadly flat versus the same period. That translates to 0.11 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. NOPAT margin rose 1.4pp, but capital turnover broadly stable, with invested capital holding roughly steady — the two factors are offsetting each other, keeping overall ROIC nearly unchanged.

Overall ROIC is flat while internal components are moving — watch which side becomes dominant in coming periods.

Watchpoints

ROIC remains low

ROIC is currently 0.11% — below the typical cost-of-capital threshold; worth tracking whether upcoming periods can rise above this level.

CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND

TTM YoY · 2021Q2 -> 2022Q2

ROIC 0.11% +0.1pp
NOPAT Margin 2.81% +1.4pp
Capital Turnover 0.04x −0.00x
Average Invested Capital 451.9bn −1.5bn

Balance Sheet

Balance sheet is exceptionally sound — liabilities at 1.40x equity, with a net cash position equivalent to 0.00x equity.

Over the last 12 months, working capital absorbed 1.0bn of cash, mainly because of lower payables. Part of that drag was offset by lower receivables and lower inventories.

Working Capital Drivers

TTM YoY · 2021Q2 -> 2022Q2

Receivables decreased → higher CFO: +17.5bn
Inventories decreased → higher CFO: +2.9bn
Payables decreased → lower CFO: −21.5bn

Working Capital Efficiency

Track receivable, inventory, and payable turns to judge working-capital efficiency.

Track DSO, DIO, DPO components to evaluate working capital turnover efficiency.

Watchpoints

Cash conversion cycle remains stretched

CCC stands at 2502.0 days, suggesting that working capital remains tied up for a relatively long operating cycle.

Working Capital Efficiency

TTM YoY · 2021Q2 -> 2022Q2

Receivables 3083.9 days −1725.7 days
Inventory 0.0 days
Payables 581.9 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 2502.0 days

Is financial risk significant?

Leverage is safe but FCF is negative at 10.3bn due to capex of 0.0bn — an investment choice, not an urgent risk.

Leverage & Liquidity

Leverage warrants monitoring, with net debt / equity at -0.00x and interest coverage only at 1.66x.

At present, short-term debt accounts for 0.0% of total debt, cash equals 3028.3% of debt, and total debt stands at 0.0bn.

Watchpoints

Interest coverage is thin

Interest coverage is 1.66x, leaving limited room to absorb financing costs.

Leverage and liquidity trend

Net Debt / Equity -0.00x −0.00x
Interest Coverage 1.66x −1.54x
Cash / Debt 3028.3% +2997.2pp
Short-term Debt / Total Debt 0.0% −93.9pp
CFO / NI 58.50x −387.08x

TTM YoY · 2021Q2 -> 2022Q2

Cash Flow

Operating cash flow reached -6.4bn in 2021, against investing cash flow of 7.5bn.

Post-investment cash flow was positive +1.1bn. Financing cash flow was negative +1.2bn.

CFO / net income was 58.50x.

After spending 0.0bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of −10.3bn.

Cash Conversion

TTM Cash Conversion · 2021Q2 -> 2022Q2

CFO TTM 10.3bn −19.5bn
Cash Capex 0.0bn 0.0bn
FCF TTM −10.3bn −19.5bn

Investment Takeaway

The business is under real pressure, but the current picture has not turned broadly adverse. A notable area has clearly weakened, making the near-term outlook hard to call bright; even so, other parts of the business are still holding up, with capital efficiency remains weak remaining the main constraint, with ROIC at 0.1%. The next watchpoint is the earnings mix, when non-core contribution is 10818.2%.

Watchpoint: cash flow is currently keeping pace with accounting earnings, with CFO / net income at 58.50x. Even so, net financial result still accounts for 10818.2% of PBT, so the earnings mix still needs monitoring.

Key risk: Capital efficiency remains weak.

Statement Data

Item 2021 2020
Net Revenue
16.1 40.4
Cost of Goods Sold
0.0 0.0
Gross Profit
5.2 9.3
Financial Expenses
1.1 -0.1
Selling Expenses
0.0 0.0
General and Administrative Expenses
-9.6 -10.2
Operating Profit
1.5 7.4
Profit Before Tax
0.2 0.3
Net Income
-0.0 0.0
Profit Attributable to Parent
-0.0 0.0
Earnings per Share
-1.17 0.45

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