PGD

Phân phối khí thấp áp Dầu khí Việt Nam ·HOSE ·2026Q1

● Maintaining

Price
22,950
Latest close
04 Jun 2026
P/E 8.04x
P/B 1.48x
EPS 2,855
BVPS 15,500
ROE 15.5%
ROA 6.7%
Profit Margin 2.0%
Asset Turnover 3.25x
Equity Mult. 2.33x

TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, PGD shows mild improvement in both revenue and margins, but the magnitude of change is narrow — profit is at an all-time high. Notably, operating cash flow is significantly negative relative to profit — this needs monitoring in coming periods.

TTM REVENUE
VND 11,384bn
+1.6%YoY
NET MARGIN
2.05%
+0.2ppYoY
TTM NET PROFIT
VND 233bn
+9.8%YoY
CFO / Net Income
-0.61x
negative cash flow vs profit
Metric Q1'26 Q4'25 Q3'25 Q2'25 Q1'25 Q4'24 Q3'24 Q2'24 Q1'24 Q4'23 Q3'23 Q2'23
Revenue 2,489.9 2,828.6 3,091.3 2,974.0 2,558.8 2,839.8 2,906.5 2,899.0 2,292.3 2,479.6 2,456.5 2,663.3
Growth -12% -8% +4% +16% -10% -2% +0% +26% -8% +1% -8%
Net Income 65.0 29.8 74.2 64.3 0.0 -2.2 97.6 117.0 36.8 68.3 23.0 63.0
Net Margin 2.61% 1.05% 2.40% 2.16% 0.00% -0.08% 3.36% 4.04% 1.60% 2.75% 0.94% 2.37%

Drivers of PGD's profit

TTM

Net profit attributable to parent increased vs last year, mainly helped by higher gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Gross profit ↑ 75.0bn
Financial income ↑ 11.3bn
Selling expenses ↑ 56.3bn
Tax ↑ 12.3bn
TTM

Net profit attributable to parent increased vs prior quarter, mainly helped by higher gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Gross profit ↑ 126.0bn
Selling expenses ↑ 38.6bn
Tax ↑ 21.7bn

Financial Highlights

Detailed analysis of each financial dimension

ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier

2025Q1 14.6% = 1.9% × 3.25 × 2.37
2026Q1 15.5% = 2.0% × 3.25 × 2.33

ROE rose from 14.6% to 15.5% — mainly driven by net margin, despite leverage moving in the opposite direction.

Net margin: 2.0% +0.2pp Asset turnover: 3.25x +0.00x Leverage: 2.33x -0.04x

Is the profit sustainable?

Accounting profit is positive but operating cash flow has not caught up — needs more time to confirm.

very positive positive stable watch under pressure

What is driving the margin?

Net margin stands at 2.05%, broadly flat versus the same period. Supportive factors and pressure points are offsetting one another.

Margin is nearly flat but the underlying components are moving — this is a transitional phase, more time is needed to see the real trend.

Profitability trend

Net Margin 2.05% +0.2pp
Gross Margin 6.97% +0.6pp
SG&A / Revenue 4.73% +0.4pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Is capital being used efficiently?

Capital efficiency for utilities should be read alongside regulated tariffs and long-cycle depreciation — ROIC reflects a large fixed-asset base.

Is capital being deployed efficiently?

Track how much operating profit the business generates on invested capital.

For utilities, ROIC reflects returns on a large fixed-asset base — this is a reference signal and should be read alongside regulated tariffs.

CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

ROIC
NOPAT Margin 2.05% +0.1pp
Capital Turnover
Average Invested Capital

Balance Sheet

ROIC for utilities reflects a large fixed-asset base and regulated tariffs — the balance sheet below adds perspective. Balance sheet is exceptionally sound — liabilities at 1.42x equity, with a net cash position equivalent to 0.52x equity.

Over the last 12 months, working capital absorbed 378.2bn of cash, mainly because of higher inventories and lower payables. Part of that drag was offset by lower receivables.

Working Capital Drivers

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables decreased → higher CFO: +59.3bn
Inventories increased → lower CFO: −56.1bn
Payables decreased → lower CFO: −381.3bn

Working Capital Efficiency

Cash conversion cycle lengthened by 13.5 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO rose 1.0 days, DSO fell 0.7 days, and DPO fell 13.3 days.

Working capital cycle lengthened mainly due to shorter payment timing — may reflect pressure from suppliers.

For utilities, working capital cycle reflects regulated pricing mechanics and long-term settlement contracts — DSO/DIO/DPO should be treated as contextual signals rather than pure efficiency indicators.

Watchpoints

Cash conversion cycle is lengthening

CCC is up by +13.5 days, indicating weaker working-capital turnover versus the prior year.

Inventory turnover is slowing

DIO increased by +1.0 days, suggesting more capital is being tied up in inventories.

Working Capital Efficiency

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables 21.1 days −0.7 days
Inventory 2.6 days +1.0 days
Payables 44.0 days −13.3 days
Cash Conversion Cycle -20.2 days +13.5 days

Is financial risk significant?

Leverage is safe but FCF is negative at 161.3bn due to capex of 18.3bn — an investment choice, not an urgent risk.

Leverage & Liquidity

Leverage looks fairly comfortable, with net debt / equity at -0.52x and interest coverage at 110.31x.

At present, short-term debt accounts for 100.0% of total debt, cash equals 1672.9% of debt, and total debt stands at 50.6bn.

Leverage for utilities reflects long-term capital needs for fixed assets and recovery through regulated pricing — elevated leverage is structural to the industry.

Watchpoints

Short-term refinancing pressure is meaningful

Short-term debt accounts for 100.0% of total debt, raising near-term refinancing needs.

Leverage and liquidity trend

Net Debt / Equity -0.52x
Interest Coverage 110.31x +23.09x
Cash / Debt 1672.9%
Short-term Debt / Total Debt 100.0%
CFO / NI -0.61x −2.73x

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Cash Flow

Operating cash flow reached -47.6bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of -101.1bn.

Post-investment cash flow was negative +148.7bn. Financing cash flow was negative +118.0bn.

CFO / net income was -0.61x.

After spending +18.3bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of −161.3bn.

For utilities, high capex and long investment cycles are structural — short-term FCF volatility does not reflect long-term cash generation through regulated pricing.

Cash Conversion

TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

CFO TTM 143.0bn −593.1bn
Cash Capex 18.3bn −1.1bn
FCF TTM −161.3bn −592.0bn

Investment Takeaway

The business does not yet provide a clear enough conclusion — not due to lack of data, but because the industry's nature makes many indicators prone to cyclical distortion. The reasonable reading is to keep the thesis in wait-for-confirmation mode. The brighter spot is earnings conversion is confirmed, with CFO/NI at -0.61x. The next item to monitor is capital efficiency.

Improvement: earnings conversion looks more confirmed, with CFO / net income at -0.61x.

Watchpoint: Capital efficiency needs cycle context.

Statement Data

Item 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Net Revenue
11,452.6 10,937.6 9,890.7 11,274.4 8,996.1
Cost of Goods Sold
10,784.8 10,169.5 9,125.3 10,320.8 0.0
Gross Profit
667.8 768.1 765.4 953.7 691.1
Financial Expenses
1.7 3.2 7.4 4.0 -5.8
Selling Expenses
407.7 385.5 367.2 349.1 -314.8
General and Administrative Expenses
91.3 96.0 106.6 99.0 -60.2
Operating Profit
210.0 314.4 335.9 521.4 321.9
Profit Before Tax
209.8 312.9 335.4 519.7 323.2
Net Income
168.4 249.2 265.8 412.7 254.0
Profit Attributable to Parent
168.4 249.2 265.8 412.7 254.0
Earnings per Share
1,579.00 2,365.00 2,555.00 4,452.00 2,822.47

Explore Other Stocks In The Same Sector

GAS, PGC, PGS, CNG, PMG, PVG, TDG, MTG, PCG, VMG, DDG

Need support? If you need support with content lookup or want to provide feedback about content on the website, please contact us below.