PMG

Đầu tư và Sản xuất Petro Miền Trung ·HOSE ·2026Q1

▼ Slightly negative

Capital efficiency remains weak ROE 2.43%, +0.00pp YoY
Price
6,490
Latest close
04 Jun 2026
P/E 12.06x
P/B 0.43x
EPS 538
BVPS 15,225
ROE 3.6%
ROA 1.5%
Profit Margin 1.5%
Asset Turnover 1.03x
Equity Mult. 2.41x

TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, PMG posted slightly lower profit versus the same period — an early signal that some factors are becoming less favorable. What still needs to be determined is whether this is a temporary adjustment or an early sign of a weaker trend.

TTM REVENUE
VND 1,707bn
−15.0%YoY
NET MARGIN
2.01%
+0.2ppYoY
TTM NET PROFIT
VND 34bn
−3.4%YoY
Metric Q1'26 Q4'25 Q3'25 Q2'25 Q1'25 Q4'24 Q3'24 Q2'24 Q1'24 Q4'23 Q3'23 Q2'23
Revenue 433.0 394.9 422.7 456.7 483.2 527.9 509.2 487.4 500.1 464.2 414.0 434.4
Growth +10% -7% -7% -5% -8% +4% +4% -3% +8% +12% -5%
Net Income 14.4 8.1 8.0 3.7 4.8 6.1 13.7 10.9 0.8 -10.6 10.7 -26.5
Net Margin 3.33% 2.05% 1.89% 0.82% 0.99% 1.15% 2.69% 2.23% 0.17% -2.28% 2.57% -6.11%

Drivers of PMG's profit

TTM

Net profit attributable to parent declined vs last year, mainly due to lower gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Selling expenses ↓ 10.3bn
Finance costs ↓ 3.5bn
Other profit ↑ 0.8bn
Deferred tax ↓ 0.7bn
Gross profit ↓ 6.3bn
Financial income ↓ 5.3bn
TTM

Net profit attributable to parent increased vs prior quarter, mainly helped by higher gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Gross profit ↑ 14.3bn
Selling expenses ↓ 1.1bn
Finance costs ↓ 0.5bn
Minority interests ↑ 5.3bn
Tax ↑ 3.2bn
Financial income ↓ 1.1bn

Financial Highlights

Detailed analysis of each financial dimension

ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier

2025Q1 5.4% = 1.8% × 1.09 × 2.80
2026Q1 5.0% = 2.0% × 1.03 × 2.41

ROE is broadly flat at 5.0% — the components are offsetting one another.

Net margin: 2.0% +0.2pp Asset turnover: 1.03x -0.07x Leverage: 2.41x -0.39x

Is the profit sustainable?

Margins are improving and earnings quality is solid — a durable foundation for ROE.

very positive positive stable watch under pressure

What is driving the margin?

Net margin stands at 2.01%, broadly flat versus the same period. Supportive factors and pressure points are offsetting one another.

Margin is nearly flat but the underlying components are moving — this is a transitional phase, more time is needed to see the real trend.

Profitability trend

Net Margin 2.01% +0.2pp
Gross Margin 17.41% +2.3pp
SG&A / Revenue 15.19% +1.9pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Is capital being used efficiently?

Evaluate capital, asset, and working-capital efficiency.

Is capital being deployed efficiently?

ROIC stands at 2.43%, broadly flat versus the same period. That translates to 2.43 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. NOPAT margin steady, but capital turnover fell 0.18x, with invested capital easing slightly by 63bn — the two factors are offsetting each other, keeping overall ROIC nearly unchanged.

Overall ROIC is flat while internal components are moving — watch which side becomes dominant in coming periods.

Watchpoints

ROIC remains low

ROIC is currently 2.43% — below the typical cost-of-capital threshold; worth tracking whether upcoming periods can rise above this level.

CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

ROIC 2.43% +0.0pp
NOPAT Margin 1.45% +0.1pp
Capital Turnover 1.68x −0.18x
Average Invested Capital 1,014.8bn −62.6bn

Balance Sheet

Capital structure is conservative with low leverage — liabilities at 1.20x equity, net debt at 0.35x equity.

Over the last 12 months, working capital absorbed 57.0bn of cash, mainly because of lower payables. Part of that drag was offset by lower receivables and lower inventories.

Working Capital Drivers

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables decreased → higher CFO: +58.2bn
Inventories decreased → higher CFO: +15.8bn
Payables decreased → lower CFO: −130.9bn

Working Capital Efficiency

Working capital is being managed more efficiently, supporting overall capital efficiency. Cash conversion cycle improved by 9.9 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO rose 3.7 days, DSO rose 7.9 days, and DPO rose 21.5 days.

Extended payment timing is the main driver — consider whether this trades off supplier relationships.

Watchpoints

Receivables collection is slowing

DSO increased by +7.9 days, pointing to slower receivables turnover.

Inventory turnover is slowing

DIO increased by +3.7 days, suggesting more capital is being tied up in inventories.

Working Capital Efficiency

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables 68.5 days +7.9 days
Inventory 16.5 days +3.7 days
Payables 126.7 days +21.5 days
Cash Conversion Cycle -41.7 days −9.9 days

Is financial risk significant?

Check leverage, liquidity, and cash-flow conversion.

Leverage & Liquidity

Leverage warrants monitoring, with net debt / equity at 0.35x and interest coverage only at 1.50x.

At present, short-term debt accounts for 100.0% of total debt, cash equals 31.7% of debt, and total debt stands at 359.2bn.

Watchpoints

Interest coverage is thin

Interest coverage is 1.50x, leaving limited room to absorb financing costs.

Short-term refinancing pressure is meaningful

Short-term debt accounts for 100.0% of total debt, raising near-term refinancing needs.

Leverage and liquidity trend

Net Debt / Equity 0.35x −0.25x
Interest Coverage 1.50x +0.18x
Cash / Debt 31.7% +20.8pp
Short-term Debt / Total Debt 100.0% 0.0pp
CFO / NI 2.90x −0.18x

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Cash Flow

Operating cash flow reached -12.5bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of 42.2bn.

Post-investment cash flow was positive +29.7bn. Financing cash flow was negative +87.1bn.

CFO / net income was 2.90x.

After spending +39.1bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of +33.4bn.

Cash Conversion

TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

CFO TTM 72.4bn −9.0bn
Cash Capex 39.1bn +8.3bn
FCF TTM +33.4bn −17.3bn

Investment Takeaway

The business is under real pressure, but the current picture has not turned broadly adverse. A notable area has clearly weakened, making the near-term outlook hard to call bright; even so, other parts of the business are still holding up, with capital efficiency remains weak remaining the main constraint, with ROIC at 2.4%. The next watchpoint is the earnings mix, when non-core contribution is 27.9%.

Watchpoint: cash flow is currently keeping pace with accounting earnings, with CFO / net income at 2.90x. Even so, net financial result still accounts for 27.9% of PBT, so the earnings mix still needs monitoring.

Key risk: Capital efficiency remains weak.

Statement Data

Item 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Net Revenue
1,757.6 2,024.7 1,832.2 2,021.5 1,566.8
Cost of Goods Sold
1,474.6 1,728.5 1,581.7 1,798.0 0.0
Gross Profit
283.0 296.2 250.5 223.5 236.4
Financial Expenses
21.4 24.3 41.5 38.3 -27.9
Selling Expenses
214.8 220.5 207.5 198.4 -180.5
General and Administrative Expenses
44.8 42.0 45.2 43.9 -160.4
Operating Profit
17.5 28.5 -26.4 -17.5 -68.9
Profit Before Tax
30.7 40.1 -12.9 -1.7 -55.8
Net Income
24.6 31.5 -24.0 -13.3 -66.2
Profit Attributable to Parent
20.7 24.8 2.4 8.3 -28.6
Earnings per Share
446.00 535.00 52.00 180.00 -617.00

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