PGS

Kinh doanh Khí Miền Nam ·HNX ·2026Q1

▼ Slightly negative

Capital efficiency needs cycle context ROE 13.09%
Price
51,000
Latest close
02 Jun 2026
P/E 24.48x
P/B 2.43x
EPS 2,083
BVPS 20,954
ROE 11.1%
ROA 4.6%
Profit Margin 1.9%
Asset Turnover 2.39x
Equity Mult. 2.41x

TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, PGS posted slightly lower profit versus the same period — an early signal that some factors are becoming less favorable — profit momentum has been slowing across consecutive periods. What still needs to be determined is whether this is a temporary adjustment or an early sign of a weaker trend.

TTM REVENUE
VND 6,023bn
−7.6%YoY
NET MARGIN
1.93%
+0.1ppYoY
TTM NET PROFIT
VND 116bn
−0.4%YoY
Metric Q1'26 Q4'25 Q3'25 Q2'25 Q1'25 Q4'24 Q3'24 Q2'24 Q1'24 Q4'23 Q3'23 Q2'23
Revenue 1,417.6 1,433.9 1,493.5 1,677.8 1,557.1 1,709.9 1,641.7 1,612.0 1,475.1 1,511.4 1,379.7 1,322.9
Growth -1% -4% -11% +8% -9% +4% +2% +9% -2% +10% +4%
Net Income 30.5 14.1 36.4 35.3 29.2 18.4 35.4 33.6 28.5 19.1 27.1 26.9
Net Margin 2.15% 0.98% 2.43% 2.11% 1.88% 1.08% 2.16% 2.09% 1.93% 1.26% 1.96% 2.03%

Drivers of PGS's profit

TTM

Net profit attributable to parent declined vs last year, mainly due to lower gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Administrative expenses ↓ 14.4bn
Tax ↓ 10.9bn
Financial income ↑ 9.4bn
Other profit ↑ 1.5bn
Gross profit ↓ 25.6bn
Finance costs ↑ 6.3bn
TTM

Net profit attributable to parent increased vs prior quarter, mainly helped by higher gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Gross profit ↑ 15.2bn
Other profit ↑ 3.1bn
Administrative expenses ↓ 0.9bn
Selling expenses ↑ 17.4bn
Finance costs ↑ 0.3bn

Financial Highlights

Detailed analysis of each financial dimension

ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier

2025Q1 11.6% = 1.8% × 2.54 × 2.56
2026Q1 11.1% = 1.9% × 2.39 × 2.41

ROE fell from 11.6% to 11.1% — asset turnover weakened the most, though net margin still provided support.

Net margin: 1.9% +0.1pp Asset turnover: 2.39x -0.15x Leverage: 2.41x -0.15x

Is the profit sustainable?

Margins are improving and earnings quality is solid — a durable foundation for ROE.

very positive positive stable watch under pressure

What is driving the margin?

Net margin stands at 1.93%, broadly flat versus the same period. Supportive factors and pressure points are offsetting one another.

Margin is nearly flat but the underlying components are moving — this is a transitional phase, more time is needed to see the real trend.

Profitability trend

Net Margin 1.93% +0.1pp
Gross Margin 15.56% +0.8pp
SG&A / Revenue 13.51% +0.8pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Is capital being used efficiently?

Capital efficiency for utilities should be read alongside regulated tariffs and long-cycle depreciation — ROIC of 13.1% reflects a large fixed-asset base.

Is capital being deployed efficiently?

ROIC narrowed to 13.09%, falling 1.4pp. That translates to 13.09 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. The main pressure came from capital turnover fell 1.30x — capital is being absorbed faster than revenue is being generated; while invested capital rose by 68bn.

For utilities, ROIC reflects returns on a large fixed-asset base — this is a reference signal and should be read alongside regulated tariffs.

CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

ROIC 13.09% −1.4pp
NOPAT Margin 1.80% +0.1pp
Capital Turnover 7.25x −1.30x
Average Invested Capital 830.7bn +68.2bn

Balance Sheet

ROIC for utilities reflects a large fixed-asset base and regulated tariffs — the balance sheet below adds perspective. Balance sheet is exceptionally sound — liabilities at 1.51x equity, with a net cash position equivalent to 0.05x equity.

Over the last 12 months, working capital absorbed 148.8bn of cash, mainly because of higher inventories and lower payables. Part of that drag was offset by lower receivables.

Working Capital Drivers

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables decreased → higher CFO: +67.5bn
Inventories increased → lower CFO: −11.0bn
Payables decreased → lower CFO: −205.2bn

Working Capital Efficiency

Cash conversion cycle lengthened by 0.6 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO rose 1.9 days, DSO rose 3.6 days, and DPO rose 4.9 days.

Working capital cycle is flat — components are offsetting each other.

For utilities, working capital cycle reflects regulated pricing mechanics and long-term settlement contracts — DSO/DIO/DPO should be treated as contextual signals rather than pure efficiency indicators.

Watchpoints

Cash conversion cycle is lengthening

CCC is up by +0.6 days, indicating weaker working-capital turnover versus the prior year.

Receivables collection is slowing

DSO increased by +3.6 days, pointing to slower receivables turnover.

Working Capital Efficiency

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables 40.7 days +3.6 days
Inventory 10.4 days +1.9 days
Payables 57.0 days +4.9 days
Cash Conversion Cycle -5.8 days +0.6 days

Is financial risk significant?

Financial risk is low — the company has net cash and CFO reached 20.2bn.

Leverage & Liquidity

Leverage looks fairly comfortable, with net debt / equity at -0.05x and interest coverage at 7.79x.

At present, short-term debt accounts for 100.0% of total debt, cash equals 123.9% of debt, and total debt stands at 251.1bn.

Leverage for utilities reflects long-term capital needs for fixed assets and recovery through regulated pricing — elevated leverage is structural to the industry.

Watchpoints

Short-term refinancing pressure is meaningful

Short-term debt accounts for 100.0% of total debt, raising near-term refinancing needs.

Leverage and liquidity trend

Net Debt / Equity -0.05x +0.31x
Interest Coverage 7.79x −5.28x
Cash / Debt 123.9% −119.8pp
Short-term Debt / Total Debt 100.0% 0.0pp
CFO / NI 0.22x −2.60x

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Cash Flow

With safe leverage noted above, cash flow below shows the self-funding capacity. Operating cash flow reached 20.2bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of -125.4bn.

Post-investment cash flow was negative +105.2bn. Financing cash flow was negative +189.3bn.

CFO / net income was 0.22x.

After spending +29.1bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of −3.3bn.

For utilities, high capex and long investment cycles are structural — short-term FCF volatility does not reflect long-term cash generation through regulated pricing.

Cash Conversion

TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

CFO TTM 25.7bn −303.3bn
Cash Capex 29.1bn +0.2bn
FCF TTM −3.3bn −303.5bn

Investment Takeaway

The business is showing a few weaker signals, but the current magnitude is not yet clear enough to conclude that this is a broader weakening phase. The brighter spot is earnings conversion is confirmed, with CFO/NI at 0.22x. The next item to monitor is capital efficiency, with ROIC at 13.1%.

Improvement: earnings conversion looks more confirmed, with CFO / net income at 0.22x.

Watchpoint: Capital efficiency needs cycle context.

Statement Data

Item 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Net Revenue
6,162.3 6,438.7 5,677.4 6,820.7 5,614.8
Cost of Goods Sold
5,240.4 5,495.1 4,792.2 5,973.5 0.0
Gross Profit
921.9 943.6 885.2 847.2 774.6
Financial Expenses
16.9 9.2 12.8 10.4 -12.2
Selling Expenses
702.1 684.5 655.8 632.6 -595.3
General and Administrative Expenses
94.9 123.5 86.5 96.1 -73.4
Operating Profit
135.5 140.9 140.5 118.7 98.0
Profit Before Tax
141.7 148.9 145.6 124.1 99.7
Net Income
115.0 116.0 106.2 98.9 79.4
Profit Attributable to Parent
115.0 116.0 106.2 98.9 79.4
Earnings per Share
2,080.00 2,099.00 1,903.00 1,717.00 1,306.00

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