PVM

Máy - Thiết bị Dầu khí ·UPCOM ·2026Q1

▼▼ Declining sharply

Capital efficiency remains weak ROE 2.35%, −2.16pp YoY
Price
19,400
Latest close
02 Jun 2026
P/E 22.82x
P/B 1.06x
EPS 850
BVPS 18,272
ROE 4.7%
ROA 2.5%
Profit Margin 1.7%
Asset Turnover 1.48x
Equity Mult. 1.86x

TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, PVM posted a sharp profit decline versus the same period — margins have been compressing consistently over multiple periods. More notably, profit relies heavily on non-core sources while operating cash flow is negative — these two factors together suggest earnings quality needs cautious evaluation.

TTM REVENUE
VND 1,930bn
+1.0%YoY
NET MARGIN
1.69%
−0.8ppYoY
TTM NET PROFIT
VND 33bn
−31.5%YoY
Net financial result / PBT
143.9%
affects earnings quality
Metric Q1'26 Q4'25 Q3'25 Q2'25 Q1'25 Q4'24 Q3'24 Q2'24 Q1'24 Q4'23 Q3'23 Q2'23
Revenue 432.8 553.7 432.5 510.5 403.9 528.8 517.4 460.1 400.5 339.8 401.7 314.5
Growth -22% +28% -15% +26% -24% +2% +12% +15% +18% -15% +28%
Net Income 0.5 1.1 2.6 28.3 0.9 12.2 5.2 29.2 8.6 -13.4 -5.6 93.2
Net Margin 0.12% 0.20% 0.61% 5.54% 0.23% 2.30% 1.00% 6.36% 2.15% -3.95% -1.38% 29.64%

Drivers of PVM's profit

TTM

Net profit attributable to parent declined vs last year, mainly due to higher selling expenses. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Gross profit ↑ 35.5bn
Tax ↓ 3.3bn
Minority interests ↓ 2.2bn
Selling expenses ↑ 31.9bn
Financial income ↓ 20.3bn
TTM

Net profit attributable to parent declined vs prior quarter, mainly due to lower financial income. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Gross profit ↑ 16.5bn
Administrative expenses ↓ 2.8bn
Other profit ↑ 2.0bn
Financial income ↓ 11.5bn
Selling expenses ↑ 10.3bn
Minority interests ↑ 0.7bn

Financial Highlights

Detailed analysis of each financial dimension

ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier

2025Q1 7.0% = 2.5% × 1.77 × 1.58
2026Q1 4.7% = 1.7% × 1.48 × 1.86

ROE fell from 7.0% to 4.7% — asset turnover weakened the most, though leverage still provided support.

Net margin: 1.7% -0.8pp Asset turnover: 1.48x -0.28x Leverage: 1.86x +0.28x

Is the profit sustainable?

Margins are under pressure while earnings still rely significantly on non-core sources.

very positive positive stable watch under pressure

What is driving the margin?

Net margin narrowed to 1.69%, falling 0.8pp. The main pressure is SG&A / Revenue rose 1.6pp, outweighing the improvement in Gross margin rose 1.8pp (with lingering pressure from Net financial result / Revenue fell 1.1pp and Other profit / Revenue fell 0.1pp).

The pressure comes from non-core items while core operations hold their rhythm — margin has a basis to recover once this factor passes.

Profitability trend

Net Margin 1.69% −0.8pp
Gross Margin 6.25% +1.8pp
SG&A / Revenue 7.29% +1.6pp
Non-core / Revenue 2.73% −1.1pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Watchpoints

Financial result share remains high

Even though contribution decreased by 1.1pp, financial result still accounts for 161.4% of PBT — earnings durability should be monitored in coming periods.

Is capital being used efficiently?

Capital efficiency is declining — check whether the drag is from margins or turnover.

Is capital being deployed efficiently?

ROIC fell to 2.35%, losing 2.2pp. That translates to 2.35 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. Both NOPAT margin narrowed 0.8pp and capital turnover fell 0.39x, while invested capital expanded strongly by 225bn — pressure came from both operational efficiency and asset efficiency.

Both margin and turnover weakened — this is a broad-based decline, and cyclical versus structural components need to be separated.

Watchpoints

ROIC remains low

ROIC is currently 2.35% — below the typical cost-of-capital threshold; worth tracking whether upcoming periods can rise above this level.

CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

ROIC 2.35% −2.2pp
NOPAT Margin 1.39% −0.8pp
Capital Turnover 1.69x −0.39x
Average Invested Capital 1,141.3bn +225.1bn

Balance Sheet

ROIC declined — the balance sheet shows how capital is being deployed. Capital structure is balanced — liabilities at 0.76x equity, net debt at 0.89x equity.

Over the last 12 months, working capital absorbed 378.8bn of cash, mainly because of higher receivables and higher inventories. Part of that drag was offset by higher payables.

Working Capital Drivers

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables increased → lower CFO: −12.7bn
Inventories increased → lower CFO: −384.1bn
Payables increased → higher CFO: +17.9bn

Working Capital Efficiency

Cash conversion cycle lengthened by 1.5 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO rose 3.2 days, DSO fell 2.7 days, and DPO fell 1.1 days.

Working capital cycle is flat — components are offsetting each other.

Watchpoints

Cash conversion cycle is lengthening

CCC is up by +1.5 days, indicating weaker working-capital turnover versus the prior year.

Inventory turnover is slowing

DIO increased by +3.2 days, suggesting more capital is being tied up in inventories.

Working Capital Efficiency

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables 69.0 days −2.7 days
Inventory 17.8 days +3.2 days
Payables 5.0 days −1.1 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 81.8 days +1.5 days

Is financial risk significant?

Leverage is safe but FCF is negative at 419.5bn due to capex of 5.8bn — an investment choice, not an urgent risk.

Leverage & Liquidity

Leverage warrants monitoring, with net debt / equity at 0.89x and interest coverage only at 1.37x.

At present, short-term debt accounts for 56.3% of total debt, cash equals 1.7% of debt, and total debt stands at 642.1bn.

Watchpoints

Interest coverage is thin

Interest coverage is 1.37x, leaving limited room to absorb financing costs.

Cash buffer is thin relative to debt

Cash / debt stands at 1.7%, leaving limited liquidity buffer to monitor.

Leverage and liquidity trend

Net Debt / Equity 0.89x +0.52x
Interest Coverage 1.37x −0.86x
Cash / Debt 1.7% −9.8pp
Short-term Debt / Total Debt 56.3% −39.7pp
CFO / NI -12.59x −9.25x

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Cash Flow

With safe leverage noted above, cash flow below shows the self-funding capacity. Operating cash flow reached 71.5bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of 112.6bn.

Post-investment cash flow was positive +184.0bn. Financing cash flow was negative +4.2bn.

CFO / net income was -12.59x.

After spending +5.8bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of −419.5bn.

Cash Conversion

TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

CFO TTM 413.7bn −260.9bn
Cash Capex 5.8bn −13.4bn
FCF TTM −419.5bn −247.5bn

Investment Takeaway

The business is showing a few weaker signals, but the current magnitude is not yet clear enough to conclude that this is a broader weakening phase. Even so, earnings quality still needs closer monitoring because net financial result remains elevated. The main risk still sits in capital efficiency remains weak, with ROIC at 2.4%.

Watchpoint: the earnings mix still needs monitoring, with net financial result still accounting for 143.9% of PBT and CFO / net income currently at -12.59x.

Key risk: Capital efficiency remains weak.

Statement Data

Item 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Net Revenue
1,900.6 1,906.8 1,439.1 1,035.7 840.0
Cost of Goods Sold
1,796.4 1,819.6 1,380.5 981.7 0.0
Gross Profit
104.3 87.2 58.6 54.0 35.6
Financial Expenses
19.7 17.6 27.7 19.6 -7.3
Selling Expenses
90.5 68.2 64.4 41.3 -37.3
General and Administrative Expenses
42.2 37.4 91.8 31.1 -31.4
Operating Profit
30.0 43.3 232.8 30.7 31.4
Profit Before Tax
33.7 60.8 156.8 42.6 55.1
Net Income
33.6 56.4 145.1 41.4 55.0
Profit Attributable to Parent
34.3 53.0 141.4 39.2 54.6
Earnings per Share
889.00 1,371.00 3,660.00 1,016.00 1,426.00

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