SAP
In Sách giáo khoa Thành phố Hồ Chí Minh ·UPCOM ·2023Q4
▼▼ Declining sharply
TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity
What Is Changing
On a Năm 2024 basis, SAP posted a very sharp profit drop versus the same period, showing that pressure has clearly fed through to the bottom line — margins have been compressing consistently over multiple periods. More notably, profit relies heavily on non-core sources while operating cash flow is negative — these two factors together suggest earnings quality needs cautious evaluation.
| Metric | Q4'23 | Q4'22 | Q4'21 | Q1'21 | Q4'20 | Q2'20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 1.6 | 0.8 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 2.2 | 1.8 |
| Growth | +95% | -51% | +77% | -57% | +24% | — |
| Net Income | 0.2 | -0.6 | -0.1 | -0.2 | -0.2 | -0.1 |
| Net Margin | 10.68% | -77.74% | -3.27% | -18.22% | -8.15% | -7.85% |
Drivers of SAP's profit
Net profit attributable to parent increased vs prior quarter, mainly helped by better other profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Financial Highlights
Detailed analysis of each financial dimension
ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier
ROE rose from -14.5% to -9.7% — mainly driven by leverage, despite asset turnover moving in the opposite direction.
Is the profit sustainable?
Margins are broadly flat — earnings quality is the factor to watch.
What is driving the margin?
Track net margin changes and the operating components against the same period last year.
Profitability trend
TTM YoY · 2020Q4 -> 2023Q4
Watchpoints
Margin support from other income remains high (118.0% of PBT) — sustainability should be monitored.
Is capital being used efficiently?
Evaluate capital, asset, and working-capital efficiency.
Is capital being deployed efficiently?
ROIC currently stands at -21.29%. Track NOPAT margin and capital turnover to assess capital efficiency.
Watchpoints
ROIC is currently -21.29% — below the typical cost-of-capital threshold; worth tracking whether upcoming periods can rise above this level.
CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND
TTM YoY · 2020Q4 -> 2023Q4
Balance Sheet
Balance sheet is exceptionally sound — liabilities at 1.74x equity, with a net cash position equivalent to 0.09x equity.
Over the last 12 months, working capital released 0.0bn of cash.
Working Capital Drivers
TTM YoY · 2020Q4 -> 2023Q4
Working Capital Efficiency
Track receivable, inventory, and payable turns to judge working-capital efficiency.
Track DSO, DIO, DPO components to evaluate working capital turnover efficiency.
Working Capital Efficiency
TTM YoY · 2020Q4 -> 2023Q4
Is financial risk significant?
Check leverage, liquidity, and cash-flow conversion.
Leverage & Liquidity
Leverage warrants monitoring, with net debt / equity at -0.09x and interest coverage only at -105.29x.
At present, short-term debt accounts for 100.0% of total debt, cash equals 281.6% of debt, and total debt stands at 0.3bn.
Watchpoints
Interest coverage is -105.29x, leaving limited room to absorb financing costs.
Short-term debt accounts for 100.0% of total debt, raising near-term refinancing needs.
Leverage and liquidity trend
TTM YoY · 2020Q4 -> 2023Q4
Cash Flow
Operating cash flow reached -0.2bn in 2024, against investing cash flow of 0.6bn.
Post-investment cash flow was positive +0.4bn. Financing cash flow was negative +0.3bn.
CFO / net income was -1.61x.
After spending +0.7bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of +0.5bn.
Cash Conversion
TTM Cash Conversion · 2020Q4 -> 2023Q4
Investment Takeaway
The business is under real pressure, but the current picture has not turned broadly adverse. A notable area has clearly weakened, making the near-term outlook hard to call bright; even so, other parts of the business are still holding up, with capital efficiency remains weak remaining the main constraint, with ROIC at -21.3%. The next watchpoint is the earnings mix, when non-core contribution is -0.8%.
Watchpoint: the earnings mix still needs monitoring, with net financial result still accounting for -0.8% of PBT and CFO / net income currently at -1.61x.
Key risk: Capital efficiency remains weak.
Statement Data
| Item | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Net Revenue
|
7.7 | 8.9 | 7.7 | 2.7 | 6.3 |
|
Cost of Goods Sold
|
6.9 | 6.9 | 6.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
|
Gross Profit
|
0.8 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 1.1 |
|
Financial Expenses
|
0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | -0.0 | -0.0 |
|
Selling Expenses
|
0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | -0.1 | -0.1 |
|
General and Administrative Expenses
|
4.0 | 2.1 | 1.8 | -1.1 | -1.5 |
|
Operating Profit
|
-3.4 | -0.3 | -0.4 | -0.4 | -0.6 |
|
Profit Before Tax
|
-2.7 | 0.2 | -0.3 | -0.2 | -0.6 |
|
Net Income
|
-2.7 | 0.2 | -0.3 | -0.2 | -0.6 |
|
Profit Attributable to Parent
|
-2.7 | 0.2 | -0.3 | -0.2 | -0.6 |
|
Earnings per Share
|
-2,077.00 | 142.00 | -238.00 | -179.96 | -435.89 |
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