SAP

In Sách giáo khoa Thành phố Hồ Chí Minh ·UPCOM ·2023Q4

▼▼ Declining sharply

Capital efficiency remains weak ROE −21.29%
Price
Latest close
P/E
P/B
EPS -671
BVPS 5,396
ROE -9.7%
ROA -6.3%
Profit Margin -13.8%
Asset Turnover 0.46x
Equity Mult. 1.53x

TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity

What Is Changing

On a Năm 2024 basis, SAP posted a very sharp profit drop versus the same period, showing that pressure has clearly fed through to the bottom line — margins have been compressing consistently over multiple periods. More notably, profit relies heavily on non-core sources while operating cash flow is negative — these two factors together suggest earnings quality needs cautious evaluation.

TTM REVENUE
VND 8bn
−13.7%YoY
NET MARGIN
−34.88%
−36.9ppYoY
TTM NET PROFIT
−VND 3bn
−1559.9%YoY
Non-core income / PBT
118.0%
Metric Q4'23 Q4'22 Q4'21 Q1'21 Q4'20 Q2'20
Revenue 1.6 0.8 1.7 1.0 2.2 1.8
Growth +95% -51% +77% -57% +24%
Net Income 0.2 -0.6 -0.1 -0.2 -0.2 -0.1
Net Margin 10.68% -77.74% -3.27% -18.22% -8.15% -7.85%

Drivers of SAP's profit

TTM

Net profit attributable to parent increased vs prior quarter, mainly helped by better other profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Other profit ↑ 0.5bn
Administrative expenses ↑ 0.9bn
Gross profit ↓ 0.3bn
Selling expenses ↑ 0.1bn
Finance costs ↑ 0.0bn

Financial Highlights

Detailed analysis of each financial dimension

ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier

2022Q4 -14.5% = -18.5% × 0.53 × 1.47
2023Q4 -9.7% = -13.8% × 0.46 × 1.53

ROE rose from -14.5% to -9.7% — mainly driven by leverage, despite asset turnover moving in the opposite direction.

Net margin: -13.8% +4.7pp Asset turnover: 0.46x -0.07x Leverage: 1.53x +0.06x

Is the profit sustainable?

Margins are broadly flat — earnings quality is the factor to watch.

very positive positive stable watch under pressure

What is driving the margin?

Track net margin changes and the operating components against the same period last year.

Profitability trend

Net Margin -13.76% −36.9pp
Gross Margin 10.96%
SG&A / Revenue -5.01%
Non-core / Revenue 16.35%

TTM YoY · 2020Q4 -> 2023Q4

Watchpoints

Other income is supporting margin

Margin support from other income remains high (118.0% of PBT) — sustainability should be monitored.

Is capital being used efficiently?

Evaluate capital, asset, and working-capital efficiency.

Is capital being deployed efficiently?

ROIC currently stands at -21.29%. Track NOPAT margin and capital turnover to assess capital efficiency.

Watchpoints

ROIC remains low

ROIC is currently -21.29% — below the typical cost-of-capital threshold; worth tracking whether upcoming periods can rise above this level.

CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND

TTM YoY · 2020Q4 -> 2023Q4

ROIC -21.29%
NOPAT Margin -30.00%
Capital Turnover 0.71x
Average Invested Capital 7.2bn

Balance Sheet

Balance sheet is exceptionally sound — liabilities at 1.74x equity, with a net cash position equivalent to 0.09x equity.

Over the last 12 months, working capital released 0.0bn of cash.

Working Capital Drivers

TTM YoY · 2020Q4 -> 2023Q4

Receivables were broadly stable → neutral CFO: 0.0bn
Inventories were broadly stable → neutral CFO: 0.0bn
Payables were broadly stable → neutral CFO: 0.0bn

Working Capital Efficiency

Track receivable, inventory, and payable turns to judge working-capital efficiency.

Track DSO, DIO, DPO components to evaluate working capital turnover efficiency.

Working Capital Efficiency

TTM YoY · 2020Q4 -> 2023Q4

Receivables
Inventory
Payables
Cash Conversion Cycle

Is financial risk significant?

Check leverage, liquidity, and cash-flow conversion.

Leverage & Liquidity

Leverage warrants monitoring, with net debt / equity at -0.09x and interest coverage only at -105.29x.

At present, short-term debt accounts for 100.0% of total debt, cash equals 281.6% of debt, and total debt stands at 0.3bn.

Watchpoints

Interest coverage is thin

Interest coverage is -105.29x, leaving limited room to absorb financing costs.

Short-term refinancing pressure is meaningful

Short-term debt accounts for 100.0% of total debt, raising near-term refinancing needs.

Leverage and liquidity trend

Net Debt / Equity -0.09x −0.16x
Interest Coverage -105.29x
Cash / Debt 281.6% +234.6pp
Short-term Debt / Total Debt 100.0% 0.0pp
CFO / NI -1.61x

TTM YoY · 2020Q4 -> 2023Q4

Cash Flow

Operating cash flow reached -0.2bn in 2024, against investing cash flow of 0.6bn.

Post-investment cash flow was positive +0.4bn. Financing cash flow was negative +0.3bn.

CFO / net income was -1.61x.

After spending +0.7bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of +0.5bn.

Cash Conversion

TTM Cash Conversion · 2020Q4 -> 2023Q4

CFO TTM 1.1bn
Cash Capex 0.7bn
FCF TTM +0.5bn

Investment Takeaway

The business is under real pressure, but the current picture has not turned broadly adverse. A notable area has clearly weakened, making the near-term outlook hard to call bright; even so, other parts of the business are still holding up, with capital efficiency remains weak remaining the main constraint, with ROIC at -21.3%. The next watchpoint is the earnings mix, when non-core contribution is -0.8%.

Watchpoint: the earnings mix still needs monitoring, with net financial result still accounting for -0.8% of PBT and CFO / net income currently at -1.61x.

Key risk: Capital efficiency remains weak.

Statement Data

Item 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020
Net Revenue
7.7 8.9 7.7 2.7 6.3
Cost of Goods Sold
6.9 6.9 6.1 0.0 0.0
Gross Profit
0.8 2.0 1.7 0.8 1.1
Financial Expenses
0.0 0.1 0.1 -0.0 -0.0
Selling Expenses
0.1 0.2 0.2 -0.1 -0.1
General and Administrative Expenses
4.0 2.1 1.8 -1.1 -1.5
Operating Profit
-3.4 -0.3 -0.4 -0.4 -0.6
Profit Before Tax
-2.7 0.2 -0.3 -0.2 -0.6
Net Income
-2.7 0.2 -0.3 -0.2 -0.6
Profit Attributable to Parent
-2.7 0.2 -0.3 -0.2 -0.6
Earnings per Share
-2,077.00 142.00 -238.00 -179.96 -435.89

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