TLG

Tập đoàn Thiên Long ·HOSE ·2026Q1

▲ Slightly positive

Earnings conversion is confirmed CFO/NPAT 0.81x
Price
48,600
Latest close
05 Jun 2026
P/E 9.28x
P/B 1.96x
EPS 5,235
BVPS 24,808
ROE 20.3%
ROA 14.4%
Profit Margin 11.1%
Asset Turnover 1.29x
Equity Mult. 1.41x

TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, TLG posted slightly higher profit versus the same period, but the increase is thin and not yet paired with clear improvement in revenue or margins — profit momentum has been slowing across consecutive periods. The point still to be proven is whether this profit level holds without further revenue momentum.

TTM REVENUE
VND 4,380bn
+17.0%YoY
NET MARGIN
11.13%
−0.9ppYoY
TTM NET PROFIT
VND 487bn
+8.3%YoY
Metric Q1'26 Q4'25 Q3'25 Q2'25 Q1'25 Q4'24 Q3'24 Q2'24 Q1'24 Q4'23 Q3'23 Q2'23
Revenue 1,000.1 949.1 1,184.5 1,245.9 794.4 846.8 896.0 1,207.2 808.6 689.0 785.0 1,069.3
Growth +5% -20% -5% +57% -6% -5% -26% +49% +17% -12% -27%
Net Income 116.0 73.9 75.7 221.9 78.4 39.0 91.4 241.5 88.3 28.5 59.5 168.2
Net Margin 11.60% 7.78% 6.39% 17.81% 9.87% 4.60% 10.20% 20.00% 10.92% 4.13% 7.58% 15.73%

Drivers of TLG's profit

TTM

Net profit attributable to parent increased vs last year, mainly helped by higher gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Gross profit ↑ 538.8bn
Other profit ↑ 49.0bn
Administrative expenses ↓ 19.9bn
Tax ↓ 7.0bn
Selling expenses ↑ 548.3bn
Finance costs ↑ 13.7bn
TTM

Net profit attributable to parent increased vs prior quarter, mainly helped by higher gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Gross profit ↑ 141.9bn
Selling expenses ↑ 87.6bn
Finance costs ↑ 7.0bn
Deferred tax ↑ 6.6bn
Administrative expenses ↑ 3.7bn

Financial Highlights

Detailed analysis of each financial dimension

ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier

2025Q1 19.6% = 12.0% × 1.20 × 1.35
2026Q1 20.2% = 11.1% × 1.29 × 1.41

ROE rose from 19.6% to 20.2% — mainly driven by asset turnover, despite net margin moving in the opposite direction.

Net margin: 11.1% -0.9pp Asset turnover: 1.29x +0.09x Leverage: 1.41x +0.06x

Is the profit sustainable?

Margins narrowed but earnings quality remains clean — pressure is mainly operational.

very positive positive stable watch under pressure

What is driving the margin?

Net margin narrowed to 11.13%, falling 0.9pp. The main pressure is SG&A / Revenue rose 7.7pp, outweighing the improvement in Gross margin rose 5.8pp (in addition, Other profit / Revenue rose 1.1pp added support while Net financial result / Revenue fell 0.5pp remained a drag).

The pressure comes from core operations — this is a concerning type of decline, not a one-off movement.

Profitability trend

Net Margin 11.13% −0.9pp
Gross Margin 50.47% +5.8pp
SG&A / Revenue 37.91% +7.7pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Is capital being used efficiently?

Evaluate capital, asset, and working-capital efficiency.

Is capital being deployed efficiently?

ROIC narrowed to 19.41%, falling 0.4pp. That translates to 19.41 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. Although capital turnover rose 0.25x, NOPAT margin narrowed 1.8pp still pulled ROIC lower, with invested capital holding roughly steady.

Pressure came from the margin side — core operations are weakening, not just a temporary asset-management issue.

CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

ROIC 19.41% −0.4pp
NOPAT Margin 10.17% −1.8pp
Capital Turnover 1.91x +0.25x
Average Invested Capital 2,294.4bn +38.4bn

Balance Sheet

Balance sheet is exceptionally sound — liabilities at 0.41x equity, with a net cash position equivalent to 0.01x equity.

Inventory ended the period at 814.5bn, roughly 22.8% of total assets.

Over the last 12 months, working capital absorbed 36.6bn of cash, mainly because of higher receivables and higher inventories. Part of that drag was offset by higher payables.

Working Capital Drivers

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables increased → lower CFO: −48.7bn
Inventories increased → lower CFO: −66.3bn
Payables increased → higher CFO: +78.4bn

Working Capital Efficiency

Working capital is being managed more efficiently, supporting overall capital efficiency. Cash conversion cycle improved by 1.9 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO rose 1.8 days, DSO rose 2.2 days, and DPO rose 6.0 days.

Working capital cycle is flat — components are offsetting each other.

Watchpoints

Cash conversion cycle remains stretched

CCC stands at 168.1 days, suggesting that working capital remains tied up for a relatively long operating cycle.

Receivables collection is slowing

DSO increased by +2.2 days, pointing to slower receivables turnover.

Working Capital Efficiency

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables 62.3 days +2.2 days
Inventory 157.6 days +1.8 days
Payables 51.8 days +6.0 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 168.1 days −1.9 days

Is financial risk significant?

Financial risk is low — the company has net cash and CFO reached 219.8bn.

Leverage & Liquidity

Leverage looks fairly comfortable, with net debt / equity at -0.01x and interest coverage at 13.28x.

At present, short-term debt accounts for 98.7% of total debt, cash equals 103.6% of debt, and total debt stands at 464.1bn.

Watchpoints

Short-term refinancing pressure is meaningful

Short-term debt accounts for 98.7% of total debt, raising near-term refinancing needs.

Leverage and liquidity trend

Net Debt / Equity -0.01x +0.08x
Interest Coverage 13.28x −6.45x
Cash / Debt 103.6% −46.7pp
Short-term Debt / Total Debt 98.7% +0.1pp
CFO / NI 0.81x +0.03x

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Cash Flow

With safe leverage noted above, cash flow below shows the self-funding capacity. Operating cash flow reached 219.8bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of -191.8bn.

Post-investment cash flow was positive +28.0bn. Financing cash flow was negative +251.8bn.

CFO / net income was 0.81x.

After spending +143.5bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of +251.4bn.

Cash Conversion

TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

CFO TTM 394.9bn +44.1bn
Cash Capex 143.5bn +63.1bn
FCF TTM +251.4bn −19.0bn

Investment Takeaway

The business is heading the right way, but the current picture is still at partial confirmation — not yet a fully clean case. The positive points have clearly improved, showing the operating base is better than before. The brighter spot is earnings conversion is confirmed, with CFO/NI at 0.81x. The main risk still sits in working capital is tied up too long in the operating cycle, with CCC extended to 168 days.

Improvement: earnings conversion looks more confirmed, with CFO / net income at 0.81x.

Key risk: working capital remains tied up for too long, with cash cycle at 168.1 days.

Statement Data

Item 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Net Revenue
4,173.9 3,758.6 3,461.9 3,520.9 2,668.3
Cost of Goods Sold
2,105.4 2,083.2 1,949.3 1,996.8 0.0
Gross Profit
2,068.6 1,675.4 1,512.5 1,524.1 1,127.2
Financial Expenses
35.6 28.1 25.6 29.1 -6.9
Selling Expenses
1,238.9 769.7 740.5 738.5 -504.7
General and Administrative Expenses
330.2 357.2 346.8 319.4 -292.4
Operating Profit
523.0 580.0 444.0 499.2 355.3
Profit Before Tax
572.0 586.9 452.0 506.7 358.6
Net Income
445.1 460.2 356.2 400.9 276.7
Profit Attributable to Parent
446.5 461.7 358.9 401.4 276.7
Earnings per Share
3,993.00 4,806.00 4,147.00 4,643.00 3,201.00

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