SVI

Bao bì Biên Hòa ·HOSE ·2024Q4

▼▼ Declining sharply

Margins remain under pressure Net margin 5.04%, −3.75pp YoY
Price
Latest close
P/E
P/B
EPS 5,917
BVPS 67,978
ROE 8.9%
ROA 5.9%
Profit Margin 5.0%
Asset Turnover 1.17x
Equity Mult. 1.51x

TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2024Q4 basis, SVI is retaining some revenue, but margins are collapsing sharply — profit is at an all-time high. Costs or the profit mix are deteriorating faster than revenue is declining — this is the factor to watch ahead of everything else.

TTM REVENUE
VND 1,506bn
+0.0%YoY
NET MARGIN
5.04%
−3.8ppYoY
TTM NET PROFIT
VND 76bn
−42.7%YoY
Metric Q4'24 Q3'24 Q2'24 Q1'24 Q4'23 Q3'23 Q2'23 Q1'23 Q4'22 Q3'22 Q2'22 Q1'22
Revenue 420.5 374.5 354.4 356.6 410.5 359.0 387.1 349.0 424.7 462.6 514.5 476.3
Growth +12% +6% -1% -13% +14% -7% +11% -18% -8% -10% +8%
Net Income 27.8 14.0 13.1 21.0 32.9 31.2 38.5 29.8 33.3 22.7 32.5 28.0
Net Margin 6.62% 3.75% 3.70% 5.88% 8.02% 8.69% 9.94% 8.55% 7.84% 4.92% 6.33% 5.88%

Drivers of SVI's profit

TTM

Net profit attributable to parent declined vs last year, mainly due to lower gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Tax ↓ 11.3bn
Gross profit ↓ 42.4bn
Selling expenses ↑ 23.8bn
Financial income ↓ 6.5bn
TTM

Net profit attributable to parent declined vs prior quarter, mainly due to higher selling expenses. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Administrative expenses ↓ 4.2bn
Selling expenses ↑ 4.6bn
Finance costs ↑ 1.9bn
Other profit ↓ 1.3bn
Tax ↑ 1.1bn

Financial Highlights

Detailed analysis of each financial dimension

ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier

2023Q4 17.0% = 8.8% × 1.23 × 1.57
2024Q4 8.9% = 5.0% × 1.17 × 1.51

ROE fell from 17.0% to 8.9% — all three components weakened, with asset turnover being the main drag.

Net margin: 5.0% -3.8pp Asset turnover: 1.17x -0.06x Leverage: 1.51x -0.05x

Is the profit sustainable?

Margins narrowed but earnings quality remains clean — pressure is mainly operational.

very positive positive stable watch under pressure

What is driving the margin?

Net margin fell to 5.04%, losing 3.8pp. The main pressure comes from Gross margin fell 2.8pp and SG&A / Revenue rose 1.4pp (in addition, Other profit / Revenue rose 0.0pp added support while Net financial result / Revenue fell 0.4pp remained a drag).

The pressure comes from core operations — this is a concerning type of decline, not a one-off movement.

Profitability trend

Net Margin 5.04% −3.8pp
Gross Margin 14.52% −2.8pp
SG&A / Revenue 9.19% +1.4pp

TTM YoY · 2023Q4 -> 2024Q4

Is capital being used efficiently?

Capital efficiency is declining — check whether the drag is from margins or turnover.

Is capital being deployed efficiently?

ROIC fell to 8.56%, losing 8.0pp. That translates to 8.56 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. Both NOPAT margin narrowed 3.8pp and capital turnover fell 0.18x, while invested capital rose by 84bn — pressure came from both operational efficiency and asset efficiency.

Pressure came from the margin side — core operations are weakening, not just a temporary asset-management issue.

CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND

TTM YoY · 2023Q4 -> 2024Q4

ROIC 8.56% −8.0pp
NOPAT Margin 5.04% −3.8pp
Capital Turnover 1.70x −0.18x
Average Invested Capital 887.0bn +83.5bn

Balance Sheet

ROIC declined — the balance sheet shows how capital is being deployed. Capital structure is conservative with low leverage — liabilities at 0.55x equity, net debt at 0.10x equity.

Over the last 12 months, working capital absorbed 37.5bn of cash, mainly because of higher receivables and lower payables. Part of that drag was offset by lower inventories.

Working Capital Drivers

TTM YoY · 2023Q4 -> 2024Q4

Receivables increased → lower CFO: −25.7bn
Inventories decreased → higher CFO: +21.3bn
Payables decreased → lower CFO: −33.2bn

Working Capital Efficiency

Working capital is being managed more efficiently, supporting overall capital efficiency. Cash conversion cycle improved by 2.4 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO fell 7.1 days, DSO fell 0.1 days, and DPO fell 4.8 days.

Improvement comes mainly from faster inventory turnover — watch whether this trend persists in coming periods.

Working Capital Efficiency

TTM YoY · 2023Q4 -> 2024Q4

Receivables 79.3 days −0.1 days
Inventory 41.6 days −7.1 days
Payables 82.9 days −4.8 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 38.0 days −2.4 days

Is financial risk significant?

Leverage is safe but FCF is negative at 2.8bn due to capex of 52.1bn — an investment choice, not an urgent risk.

Leverage & Liquidity

Leverage looks fairly comfortable, with net debt / equity at 0.10x and interest coverage at 18.55x.

At present, short-term debt accounts for 100.0% of total debt, cash equals 37.1% of debt, and total debt stands at 145.1bn.

Watchpoints

Short-term refinancing pressure is meaningful

Short-term debt accounts for 100.0% of total debt, raising near-term refinancing needs.

Leverage and liquidity trend

Net Debt / Equity 0.10x +0.13x
Interest Coverage 18.55x −7.86x
Cash / Debt 37.1% −120.5pp
Short-term Debt / Total Debt 100.0% 0.0pp
CFO / NI 0.65x −0.81x

TTM YoY · 2023Q4 -> 2024Q4

Cash Flow

With safe leverage noted above, cash flow below shows the self-funding capacity. Operating cash flow reached 51.9bn in 2024, against investing cash flow of -129.3bn.

Post-investment cash flow was negative +77.5bn. Financing cash flow was positive +78.1bn.

CFO / net income was 0.65x.

After spending +52.1bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of −2.8bn.

Cash Conversion

TTM Cash Conversion · 2023Q4 -> 2024Q4

CFO TTM 49.3bn −144.3bn
Cash Capex 52.1bn +36.5bn
FCF TTM −2.8bn −180.8bn

Investment Takeaway

The business is heading the right way, but the current picture is still at partial confirmation — not yet a fully clean case. The positive points have clearly improved, showing the operating base is better than before. The next item to monitor is the earnings mix, when non-core contribution is 18.6%. The main risk still sits in core profitability, with net margin down 3.8 pp.

Watchpoint: the earnings mix still needs monitoring, with net financial result still accounting for 18.6% of PBT and CFO / net income currently at 0.65x.

Key risk: profitability remains under pressure, with trailing-12M net margin at 5.04% after a 3.8pp decline versus the same period last year.

Statement Data

Item 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020
Net Revenue
1,506.0 1,505.5 1,878.1 1,837.2 1,687.4
Cost of Goods Sold
1,287.3 1,244.5 1,611.2 0.0 0.0
Gross Profit
218.6 261.0 266.9 232.5 292.5
Financial Expenses
5.3 6.3 5.5 -6.3 -10.6
Selling Expenses
95.8 72.0 82.9 -79.7 -74.2
General and Administrative Expenses
42.5 45.8 43.5 -40.5 -30.0
Operating Profit
98.7 167.2 150.3 114.9 183.1
Profit Before Tax
98.8 166.8 148.4 115.3 183.1
Net Income
75.9 132.4 116.6 92.1 146.3
Profit Attributable to Parent
75.9 132.4 116.6 92.1 146.3
Earnings per Share
5,918.00 10,319.00 9,086.00 6,688.00 10,032.00

Explore Other Stocks In The Same Sector

INN, TDP, VBC, RDP, ALT, TKA, PMP, HPB, PBP, STP, TPC, BBS, HBD, TB8, BPC, BXH, BBH, BTG, SDG, VKP

Need support? If you need support with content lookup or want to provide feedback about content on the website, please contact us below.