VBC

Nhựa - Bao bì Vinh ·HNX ·2026Q1

▲ Slightly positive

Earnings conversion is confirmed CFO/NPAT 8.04x
Price
20,100
Latest close
27 May 2026
P/E 5.11x
P/B 0.82x
EPS 3,933
BVPS 24,588
ROE 16.5%
ROA 7.2%
Profit Margin 3.4%
Asset Turnover 2.08x
Equity Mult. 2.30x

TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, VBC shows mild improvement in both revenue and margins, but the magnitude of change is narrow — the growth momentum has held across consecutive periods. This signal only becomes convincing if the improvement widens in coming periods.

TTM REVENUE
VND 856bn
+4.9%YoY
NET MARGIN
3.45%
+0.0ppYoY
TTM NET PROFIT
VND 29bn
+5.3%YoY
Metric Q1'26 Q4'25 Q3'25 Q2'25 Q1'25 Q4'24 Q3'24 Q2'24 Q1'24 Q4'23 Q3'23 Q2'23
Revenue 197.8 226.3 199.8 231.6 186.7 232.0 206.8 190.2 193.0 232.7 212.3 228.3
Growth -13% +13% -14% +24% -20% +12% +9% -1% -17% +10% -7%
Net Income 8.5 6.8 6.5 7.6 7.0 6.8 7.3 6.8 6.9 6.3 7.4 7.6
Net Margin 4.29% 3.03% 3.26% 3.30% 3.77% 2.94% 3.55% 3.58% 3.60% 2.71% 3.49% 3.35%

Drivers of VBC's profit

TTM

Net profit attributable to parent increased vs last year, mainly helped by lower administrative expenses. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Administrative expenses ↓ 2.5bn
Selling expenses ↓ 0.8bn
Finance costs ↓ 0.7bn
Other profit ↑ 0.2bn
Financial income ↓ 1.4bn
Gross profit ↓ 1.1bn
TTM

Net profit attributable to parent increased vs prior quarter, mainly helped by higher gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Gross profit ↑ 1.8bn
Administrative expenses ↓ 0.5bn
Other profit ↑ 0.2bn
Financial income ↓ 0.4bn
Tax ↑ 0.4bn
Selling expenses ↑ 0.2bn

Financial Highlights

Detailed analysis of each financial dimension

ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier

2025Q1 16.6% = 3.4% × 2.00 × 2.41
2026Q1 16.5% = 3.4% × 2.08 × 2.30

ROE is broadly flat at 16.5% — the components are offsetting one another.

Net margin: 3.4% +0.0pp Asset turnover: 2.08x +0.07x Leverage: 2.30x -0.11x

Is the profit sustainable?

Margins are improving and earnings quality is solid — a durable foundation for ROE.

very positive positive stable watch under pressure

What is driving the margin?

Net margin stands at 3.45%, broadly flat versus the same period. Supportive factors and pressure points are offsetting one another.

Margin is nearly flat but the underlying components are moving — this is a transitional phase, more time is needed to see the real trend.

Profitability trend

Net Margin 3.45% +0.0pp
Gross Margin 8.81% −0.6pp
SG&A / Revenue 4.10% −0.6pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Is capital being used efficiently?

Evaluate capital, asset, and working-capital efficiency.

Is capital being deployed efficiently?

ROIC edged up to 10.19%, rising 0.3pp. That translates to 10.19 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. The main driver is capital turnover rose 0.10x — the business is generating more revenue per unit of capital, with NOPAT margin steady; with invested capital holding roughly steady.

Capital efficiency improved through turnover — a positive sign for asset efficiency, but this momentum needs to hold as capital expands.

CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

ROIC 10.19% +0.3pp
NOPAT Margin 3.45% −0.0pp
Capital Turnover 2.96x +0.10x
Average Invested Capital 289.5bn +4.3bn

Balance Sheet

Capital structure is balanced — liabilities at 1.18x equity, net debt at 0.52x equity.

Inventory ended the period at 110.3bn, roughly 28.8% of total assets.

Over the last 12 months, working capital released 0.0bn of cash.

Working Capital Drivers

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables were broadly stable → neutral CFO:
Inventories were broadly stable → neutral CFO:
Payables were broadly stable → neutral CFO:

Working Capital Efficiency

Working capital is being managed more efficiently, supporting overall capital efficiency. Cash conversion cycle improved by 5.4 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO rose 4.1 days, DSO fell 14.5 days, and DPO fell 5.0 days.

Improvement comes mainly from faster receivables collection — reflects the quality of receivables management.

Watchpoints

Cash conversion cycle remains stretched

CCC stands at 93.9 days, suggesting that working capital remains tied up for a relatively long operating cycle.

Inventory turnover is slowing

DIO increased by +4.1 days, suggesting more capital is being tied up in inventories.

Working Capital Efficiency

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables 82.0 days −14.5 days
Inventory 53.5 days +4.1 days
Payables 41.6 days −5.0 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 93.9 days −5.4 days

Is financial risk significant?

Financial risk is low — leverage is safe, both CFO and FCF are positive.

Leverage & Liquidity

Leverage is balanced for now, with net debt / equity at 0.52x and interest coverage at 7.40x.

At present, short-term debt accounts for 100.0% of total debt, cash equals 9.7% of debt, and total debt stands at 105.7bn.

Watchpoints

Short-term refinancing pressure is meaningful

Short-term debt accounts for 100.0% of total debt, raising near-term refinancing needs.

Cash buffer is thin relative to debt

Cash / debt stands at 9.7%, leaving limited liquidity buffer to monitor.

Leverage and liquidity trend

Net Debt / Equity 0.52x −0.20x
Interest Coverage 7.40x +1.18x
Cash / Debt 9.7% +8.9pp
Short-term Debt / Total Debt 100.0% 0.0pp
CFO / NI 8.04x +13.98x

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Cash Flow

With safe leverage noted above, cash flow below shows the self-funding capacity. Operating cash flow reached 59.4bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of -36.5bn.

Post-investment cash flow was positive +22.9bn. Financing cash flow was negative +25.6bn.

CFO / net income was 8.04x.

After spending +8.5bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of +228.7bn.

Cash Conversion

TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

CFO TTM 237.2bn +403.4bn
Cash Capex 8.5bn −12.7bn
FCF TTM +228.7bn +416.2bn

Investment Takeaway

The business is heading the right way, but the current picture is still at partial confirmation — not yet a fully clean case. The positive points have clearly improved, showing the operating base is better than before. The brighter spot is earnings conversion is confirmed, with CFO/NI at 8.04x. The main risk still sits in leverage and liquidity, with interest coverage at 7.40x.

Improvement: earnings conversion looks more confirmed, with CFO / net income at 8.04x.

Key risk: leverage and liquidity remain a pressure point, with net debt / equity at 0.52x and a thin cash buffer.

Statement Data

Item 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Net Revenue
844.4 822.0 874.5 994.5 1,026.9
Cost of Goods Sold
767.7 746.7 788.1 901.9 0.0
Gross Profit
76.7 75.3 86.5 92.6 86.5
Financial Expenses
5.4 5.6 12.3 14.0 -12.4
Selling Expenses
20.3 19.5 22.5 29.1 -23.5
General and Administrative Expenses
18.0 18.1 19.0 18.5 -17.8
Operating Profit
35.4 35.2 35.6 35.5 35.5
Profit Before Tax
35.3 35.2 35.4 35.4 35.3
Net Income
28.1 27.9 28.1 27.3 28.1
Profit Attributable to Parent
28.1 27.9 28.1 27.3 28.1
Earnings per Share
2,923.00 2,882.00 2,970.00 2,886.00 3,330.46

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