ICT

Viễn thông - Tin học Bưu điện ·HOSE ·2026Q1

▼ Under pressure

Capital efficiency remains weak ROE −0.72%, −5.43pp YoY
Price
18,000
Latest close
03 Jun 2026
P/E 18.02x
P/B 0.88x
EPS 999
BVPS 20,405
ROE 4.9%
ROA 2.2%
Profit Margin 1.3%
Asset Turnover 1.64x
Equity Mult. 2.26x

TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, ICT posted slightly higher revenue but margins narrowed — the two forces offset each other, leaving the overall picture largely unchanged — the growth momentum has held across consecutive periods. More notably, profit relies heavily on non-core sources while operating cash flow is negative — these two factors together suggest earnings quality needs cautious evaluation.

TTM REVENUE
VND 2,444bn
+47.2%YoY
NET MARGIN
1.31%
−0.8ppYoY
TTM NET PROFIT
VND 32bn
−6.9%YoY
Non-core income / PBT
109.0%
Metric Q1'26 Q4'25 Q3'25 Q2'25 Q1'25 Q4'24 Q3'24 Q2'24 Q1'24 Q4'23 Q3'23 Q2'23
Revenue 519.6 932.7 705.3 286.6 188.7 297.3 485.8 689.0 100.4 631.6 200.4 588.4
Growth -44% +32% +146% +52% -37% -39% -29% +586% -84% +215% -66%
Net Income 4.8 12.1 1.8 13.4 4.7 13.7 1.6 14.5 2.3 15.6 0.9 20.3
Net Margin 0.92% 1.30% 0.25% 4.69% 2.49% 4.59% 0.34% 2.11% 2.28% 2.47% 0.47% 3.45%

Drivers of ICT's profit

TTM

Net profit attributable to parent declined vs last year, mainly due to lower gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Other profit ↑ 33.2bn
Finance costs ↓ 20.0bn
Gross profit ↓ 34.6bn
Financial income ↓ 9.1bn
Selling expenses ↑ 7.4bn
Tax ↑ 3.3bn
TTM

Net profit attributable to parent increased vs prior quarter, mainly helped by lower finance costs. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Finance costs ↓ 8.8bn
Financial income ↑ 5.2bn
Other profit ↑ 0.7bn
Administrative expenses ↓ 0.3bn
Gross profit ↓ 12.3bn
Selling expenses ↑ 1.8bn

Financial Highlights

Detailed analysis of each financial dimension

ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier

2025Q1 5.3% = 2.1% × 1.28 × 1.99
2026Q1 4.9% = 1.3% × 1.64 × 2.26

ROE is broadly flat at 4.9% — the components are offsetting one another.

Net margin: 1.3% -0.8pp Asset turnover: 1.64x +0.36x Leverage: 2.26x +0.27x

Is the profit sustainable?

Margins are under pressure while earnings still rely significantly on non-core sources.

very positive positive stable watch under pressure

What is driving the margin?

Net margin narrowed to 1.31%, falling 0.8pp. The main pressure is Gross margin fell 4.2pp, outweighing the improvement in SG&A / Revenue fell 1.8pp (with additional support from Other profit / Revenue rose 1.1pp and Net financial result / Revenue rose 0.5pp).

Margin is under pressure from multiple sides — temporary and structural components need to be separated to properly assess the risk.

Profitability trend

Net Margin 1.31% −0.8pp
Gross Margin 4.40% −4.2pp
SG&A / Revenue 4.93% −1.8pp
Non-core / Revenue 2.25% +1.6pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Watchpoints

Other income is supporting margin

Other income accounts for 131.1% of PBT and lifted net margin by 1.6pp — separate the operating contribution from this source.

Is capital being used efficiently?

Capital efficiency is declining — check whether the drag is from margins or turnover.

Is capital being deployed efficiently?

ROIC fell to -0.72%, losing 5.4pp. That translates to -0.72 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. The main pressure came from NOPAT margin narrowed 1.6pp, outweighing the movement in capital turnover; while invested capital contracted by 107bn.

Pressure came from the margin side — core operations are weakening, not just a temporary asset-management issue.

Watchpoints

ROIC remains low

ROIC is currently -0.72% — below the typical cost-of-capital threshold; worth tracking whether upcoming periods can rise above this level.

CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

ROIC -0.72% −5.4pp
NOPAT Margin -0.12% −1.6pp
Capital Turnover 6.08x +2.82x
Average Invested Capital 401.8bn −106.7bn

Balance Sheet

ROIC declined — the balance sheet shows how capital is being deployed. Balance sheet is exceptionally sound — liabilities at 1.56x equity, with a net cash position equivalent to 0.28x equity.

Over the last 12 months, working capital absorbed 181.7bn of cash, mainly because of higher receivables. Part of that drag was offset by lower inventories and higher payables.

Working Capital Drivers

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables increased → lower CFO: −649.0bn
Inventories decreased → higher CFO: +163.1bn
Payables increased → higher CFO: +304.3bn

Working Capital Efficiency

Working capital is being managed more efficiently, supporting overall capital efficiency. Cash conversion cycle improved by 31.8 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO fell 32.0 days, DSO fell 14.3 days, and DPO fell 14.5 days.

Improvement comes mainly from faster inventory turnover — watch whether this trend persists in coming periods.

Working Capital Efficiency

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables 77.1 days −14.3 days
Inventory 29.2 days −32.0 days
Payables 77.7 days −14.5 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 28.6 days −31.8 days

Is financial risk significant?

Financial risk is low — the company has net cash and CFO reached 72.4bn.

Leverage & Liquidity

Leverage warrants monitoring, with net debt / equity at -0.28x and interest coverage only at -0.36x.

At present, short-term debt accounts for 100.0% of total debt, cash equals 205.7% of debt, and total debt stands at 174.2bn.

Watchpoints

Interest coverage is thin

Interest coverage is -0.36x, leaving limited room to absorb financing costs.

Short-term refinancing pressure is meaningful

Short-term debt accounts for 100.0% of total debt, raising near-term refinancing needs.

Leverage and liquidity trend

Net Debt / Equity -0.28x +0.22x
Interest Coverage -0.36x −1.30x
Cash / Debt 205.7% −500.5pp
Short-term Debt / Total Debt 100.0% 0.0pp
CFO / NI -3.94x −15.00x

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Cash Flow

With safe leverage noted above, cash flow below shows the self-funding capacity. Operating cash flow reached 72.4bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of 9.5bn.

Post-investment cash flow was positive +81.9bn. Financing cash flow was positive +13.6bn.

CFO / net income was -3.94x.

After spending +11.1bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of −137.8bn.

Cash Conversion

TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

CFO TTM 126.7bn −508.3bn
Cash Capex 11.1bn +9.4bn
FCF TTM −137.8bn −517.7bn

Investment Takeaway

The business is showing a few weaker signals, but the current magnitude is not yet clear enough to conclude that this is a broader weakening phase. The next item to monitor is the earnings mix, when non-core contribution is 22.1%. The main risk still sits in capital efficiency remains weak, with ROIC at -0.7%.

Watchpoint: the earnings mix still needs monitoring, with net financial result still accounting for 22.1% of PBT and CFO / net income currently at -3.94x.

Key risk: Capital efficiency remains weak.

Statement Data

Item 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Net Revenue
2,113.2 1,572.5 1,495.9 1,293.3 2,094.1
Cost of Goods Sold
1,994.2 1,444.3 1,381.5 1,212.3 0.0
Gross Profit
119.0 128.2 114.4 80.9 163.4
Financial Expenses
19.5 22.0 34.0 32.4 -42.3
Selling Expenses
63.5 54.8 42.0 32.1 -16.4
General and Administrative Expenses
55.5 51.6 42.6 49.5 -44.2
Operating Profit
-5.0 24.5 10.0 32.4 79.7
Profit Before Tax
40.1 37.2 20.0 14.2 70.1
Net Income
31.8 31.1 14.9 10.2 57.9
Profit Attributable to Parent
31.8 31.1 14.9 10.2 57.9
Earnings per Share
988.00 966.00 464.00 316.00 1,798.00

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