PPC

Nhiệt điện Phả Lại ·HOSE ·2026Q1

▼▼ Declining sharply

Pre-tax profit relies materially on non-core sources Net financial result/PBT 50.49%
Price
9,740
Latest close
04 Jun 2026
P/E
P/B 0.70x
EPS
BVPS 13,984
ROE 4.7%
ROA 3.8%
Profit Margin 3.1%
Asset Turnover 1.21x
Equity Mult. 1.23x

TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, PPC is going through a period of clear decline across multiple metrics at once — margins have been compressing consistently over multiple periods. More notably, a significant portion of profit is supported by non-core sources, further affecting earnings quality.

TTM REVENUE
VND 6,828bn
−5.4%YoY
NET MARGIN
3.12%
−1.3ppYoY
TTM NET PROFIT
VND 213bn
−33.1%YoY
Net financial result / PBT
50.5%
affects earnings quality
Metric Q1'26 Q4'25 Q3'25 Q2'25 Q1'25 Q4'24 Q3'24 Q2'24 Q1'24 Q4'23 Q3'23 Q2'23
Revenue 1,798.2 1,592.7 1,496.7 1,940.2 1,536.1 1,750.3 1,465.5 2,469.2 1,996.1 1,769.6 1,336.7 1,404.4
Growth +13% +6% -23% +26% -12% +19% -41% +24% +13% +32% -5%
Net Income 95.7 125.7 -14.3 6.1 52.3 178.2 -5.3 93.8 157.4 150.0 84.1 167.4
Net Margin 5.32% 7.89% -0.95% 0.31% 3.41% 10.18% -0.36% 3.80% 7.89% 8.48% 6.29% 11.92%

Drivers of PPC's profit

TTM

Net profit attributable to parent declined vs last year, mainly due to lower financial income. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Administrative expenses ↓ 47.0bn
Financial income ↓ 109.7bn
Other profit ↓ 25.5bn
Gross profit ↓ 16.2bn
TTM

Net profit attributable to parent increased vs prior quarter, mainly helped by higher financial income. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Financial income ↑ 75.2bn
Tax ↓ 7.4bn
Administrative expenses ↓ 4.8bn
Gross profit ↓ 43.9bn

Financial Highlights

Detailed analysis of each financial dimension

ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier

2025Q1 7.0% = 4.4% × 1.13 × 1.39
2026Q1 4.7% = 3.1% × 1.21 × 1.23

ROE fell from 7.0% to 4.7% — leverage weakened the most, though asset turnover still provided support.

Net margin: 3.1% -1.3pp Asset turnover: 1.21x +0.08x Leverage: 1.23x -0.16x

Is the profit sustainable?

Margins are under pressure while earnings still rely significantly on non-core sources.

very positive positive stable watch under pressure

What is driving the margin?

Net margin narrowed to 3.12%, falling 1.3pp. The main pressure is Gross margin fell 0.1pp, outweighing the improvement in SG&A / Revenue fell 0.6pp (with lingering pressure from Net financial result / Revenue fell 1.4pp and Other profit / Revenue fell 0.4pp).

The pressure comes from non-core items while core operations hold their rhythm — margin has a basis to recover once this factor passes.

Profitability trend

Net Margin 3.12% −1.3pp
Gross Margin 3.12% −0.1pp
SG&A / Revenue 1.42% −0.6pp
Non-core / Revenue 1.77% −1.8pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Watchpoints

Financial result share remains high

Even though contribution decreased by 1.8pp, financial result still accounts for 50.9% of PBT — earnings durability should be monitored in coming periods.

Is capital being used efficiently?

Capital efficiency for utilities should be read alongside regulated tariffs and long-cycle depreciation — ROIC reflects a large fixed-asset base.

Is capital being deployed efficiently?

Track how much operating profit the business generates on invested capital.

For utilities, ROIC reflects returns on a large fixed-asset base — this is a reference signal and should be read alongside regulated tariffs.

CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

ROIC
NOPAT Margin 3.11% −1.0pp
Capital Turnover
Average Invested Capital

Balance Sheet

ROIC for utilities reflects a large fixed-asset base and regulated tariffs — the balance sheet below adds perspective. Balance sheet is exceptionally sound — liabilities at 0.17x equity, with a net cash position equivalent to 0.02x equity.

Inventory ended the period at 725.5bn, roughly 13.8% of total assets.

Over the last 12 months, working capital released 84.1bn of cash, mainly thanks to lower receivables. Pressure from higher inventories and lower payables only partly offset that benefit.

Working Capital Drivers

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables decreased → higher CFO: +358.8bn
Inventories increased → lower CFO: −28.6bn
Payables decreased → lower CFO: −246.1bn

Working Capital Efficiency

Working capital is being managed more efficiently, supporting overall capital efficiency. Cash conversion cycle improved by 16.8 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO rose 2.3 days, DSO fell 33.4 days, and DPO fell 14.4 days.

Improvement comes mainly from faster receivables collection — reflects the quality of receivables management.

For utilities, working capital cycle reflects regulated pricing mechanics and long-term settlement contracts — DSO/DIO/DPO should be treated as contextual signals rather than pure efficiency indicators.

Watchpoints

Inventory turnover is slowing

DIO increased by +2.3 days, suggesting more capital is being tied up in inventories.

Working Capital Efficiency

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables 90.1 days −33.4 days
Inventory 49.3 days +2.3 days
Payables 53.3 days −14.4 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 86.0 days −16.8 days

Is financial risk significant?

Financial risk is low — the company has net cash and CFO reached 467.0bn.

Leverage & Liquidity

Leverage looks fairly comfortable, with net debt / equity at -0.02x and interest coverage at 115.17x.

Debt maturity and the cash buffer remain the two key areas to monitor.

Leverage for utilities reflects long-term capital needs for fixed assets and recovery through regulated pricing — elevated leverage is structural to the industry.

Leverage and liquidity trend

Net Debt / Equity -0.02x −0.02x
Interest Coverage 115.17x +11.64x
Cash / Debt
Short-term Debt / Total Debt
CFO / NI 0.81x −1.74x

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Cash Flow

With safe leverage noted above, cash flow below shows the self-funding capacity. Operating cash flow reached 467.0bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of 127.3bn.

Post-investment cash flow was positive +594.2bn. Financing cash flow was negative +224.3bn.

CFO / net income was 0.81x.

After spending +7.6bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of +164.9bn.

For utilities, high capex and long investment cycles are structural — short-term FCF volatility does not reflect long-term cash generation through regulated pricing.

Cash Conversion

TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

CFO TTM 172.6bn −639.5bn
Cash Capex 7.6bn −2.2bn
FCF TTM +164.9bn −637.3bn

Investment Takeaway

The business is showing a few weaker signals, but the current magnitude is not yet clear enough to conclude that this is a broader weakening phase. The brighter spot is balance-sheet flexibility, with net cash/equity at about -0.02x. Even so, earnings quality still needs closer monitoring because net financial result remains elevated.

Improvement: the balance sheet remains flexible, with a net cash position equivalent to 0.02x of equity.

Watchpoint: the earnings mix still needs monitoring, with net financial result still accounting for 50.5% of PBT and CFO / net income currently at 0.81x.

Statement Data

Item 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Net Revenue
6,565.8 7,681.1 5,813.8 5,277.8 3,884.8
Cost of Goods Sold
6,312.9 7,453.1 5,777.3 4,892.9 0.0
Gross Profit
252.9 228.0 36.5 384.9 -112.3
Financial Expenses
2.0 3.1 -0.8 2.6 24.1
Selling Expenses
0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
General and Administrative Expenses
103.2 140.2 116.8 119.5 -90.9
Operating Profit
194.1 411.3 384.8 558.0 273.3
Profit Before Tax
195.1 438.1 382.4 558.6 294.3
Net Income
165.2 427.1 380.1 497.2 287.3
Profit Attributable to Parent
165.2 427.1 380.1 497.2 287.3
Earnings per Share
515.00 1,332.00 1,186.00 1,551.00 880.55

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