BFC

Phân bón Bình Điền ·HOSE ·2026Q1

▼ Under pressure

Self-funded cash generation remains weak CFO/NPAT −323 bn, −1258 bn YoY
Price
58,200
Latest close
02 Jun 2026
P/E 10.83x
P/B 1.86x
EPS 5,375
BVPS 31,218
ROE 20.2%
ROA 8.6%
Profit Margin 3.0%
Asset Turnover 2.88x
Equity Mult. 2.35x

TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, BFC is maintaining revenue, but margins are compressing slightly — profit momentum has been slowing across consecutive periods. More notably, operating cash flow is significantly negative relative to profit — this is pressure that needs close monitoring.

TTM REVENUE
VND 11,406bn
+14.4%YoY
NET MARGIN
3.78%
−0.9ppYoY
TTM NET PROFIT
VND 431bn
−7.4%YoY
CFO / Net Income
-0.72x
negative cash flow vs profit
Metric Q1'26 Q4'25 Q3'25 Q2'25 Q1'25 Q4'24 Q3'24 Q2'24 Q1'24 Q4'23 Q3'23 Q2'23
Revenue 3,345.4 2,466.2 2,059.5 3,534.6 2,554.3 2,470.8 2,031.0 2,916.0 1,940.4 2,202.9 2,708.9 2,334.6
Growth +36% +20% -42% +38% +3% +22% -30% +50% -12% -19% +16%
Net Income 142.2 68.3 73.3 147.5 111.1 99.9 64.3 190.3 73.5 50.7 58.7 65.8
Net Margin 4.25% 2.77% 3.56% 4.17% 4.35% 4.04% 3.17% 6.53% 3.79% 2.30% 2.17% 2.82%

Drivers of BFC's profit

TTM

Net profit attributable to parent declined vs last year, mainly due to lower gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Selling expenses ↓ 92.9bn
Tax ↓ 8.5bn
Gross profit ↓ 115.6bn
Minority interests ↑ 10.3bn
Finance costs ↑ 7.8bn
Administrative expenses ↑ 6.4bn
TTM

Net profit attributable to parent increased vs prior quarter, mainly helped by higher gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Gross profit ↑ 62.8bn
Selling expenses ↓ 6.5bn
Finance costs ↑ 15.5bn
Administrative expenses ↑ 13.5bn

Financial Highlights

Detailed analysis of each financial dimension

ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier

2025Q1 31.7% = 4.7% × 2.79 × 2.43
2026Q1 25.6% = 3.8% × 2.88 × 2.35

ROE fell from 31.7% to 25.6% — leverage weakened the most, though asset turnover still provided support.

Net margin: 3.8% -0.9pp Asset turnover: 2.88x +0.09x Leverage: 2.35x -0.08x

Is the profit sustainable?

Margins narrowed but earnings quality remains clean — pressure is mainly operational.

very positive positive stable watch under pressure

What is driving the margin?

Net margin narrowed to 3.78%, falling 0.9pp. The main pressure is Gross margin fell 2.9pp, outweighing the improvement in SG&A / Revenue fell 1.9pp (with lingering pressure from Net financial result / Revenue fell 0.1pp and Other profit / Revenue fell 0.0pp).

The pressure comes from core operations — this is a concerning type of decline, not a one-off movement.

Profitability trend

Net Margin 3.78% −0.9pp
Gross Margin 12.17% −2.9pp
SG&A / Revenue 6.92% −1.9pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Is capital being used efficiently?

Capital efficiency is declining — check whether the drag is from margins or turnover.

Is capital being deployed efficiently?

ROIC fell to 17.87%, losing 1.9pp. That translates to 17.87 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. Although capital turnover rose 0.49x, NOPAT margin narrowed 0.9pp still pulled ROIC lower, with invested capital holding roughly steady.

Pressure came from the margin side — core operations are weakening, not just a temporary asset-management issue.

CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

ROIC 17.87% −1.9pp
NOPAT Margin 3.77% −0.9pp
Capital Turnover 4.74x +0.49x
Average Invested Capital 2,406.9bn +60.4bn

Balance Sheet

ROIC declined — the balance sheet shows how capital is being deployed. Capital structure is balanced — liabilities at 1.34x equity, net debt at 0.55x equity.

Inventory ended the period at 2,283.0bn, roughly 57.5% of total assets.

Over the last 12 months, working capital absorbed 746.5bn of cash, mainly because of higher receivables and higher inventories. Part of that drag was offset by higher payables.

Working Capital Drivers

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables increased → lower CFO: −304.4bn
Inventories increased → lower CFO: −565.6bn
Payables increased → higher CFO: +123.5bn

Working Capital Efficiency

Working capital is being managed more efficiently, supporting overall capital efficiency. Cash conversion cycle improved by 8.7 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO fell 8.6 days, DSO rose 0.5 days, and DPO rose 0.6 days.

Improvement comes mainly from faster inventory turnover — watch whether this trend persists in coming periods.

Watchpoints

Receivables collection is slowing

DSO increased by +0.5 days, pointing to slower receivables turnover.

Working Capital Efficiency

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables 29.8 days +0.5 days
Inventory 68.2 days −8.6 days
Payables 25.3 days +0.6 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 72.7 days −8.7 days

Is financial risk significant?

Leverage is safe but FCF is negative at 322.9bn due to capex of 77.1bn — an investment choice, not an urgent risk.

Leverage & Liquidity

Leverage is balanced for now, with net debt / equity at 0.55x and interest coverage at 6.03x.

At present, short-term debt accounts for 99.7% of total debt, cash equals 25.6% of debt, and total debt stands at 1,311.8bn.

Watchpoints

Short-term refinancing pressure is meaningful

Short-term debt accounts for 99.7% of total debt, raising near-term refinancing needs.

Leverage and liquidity trend

Net Debt / Equity 0.55x +0.26x
Interest Coverage 6.03x −1.11x
Cash / Debt 25.6% −18.1pp
Short-term Debt / Total Debt 99.7% +0.7pp
CFO / NI -0.72x −3.32x

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Cash Flow

Operating cash flow reached -731.6bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of -69.8bn.

Post-investment cash flow was negative +801.5bn. Financing cash flow was positive +425.0bn.

CFO / net income was -0.72x.

After spending +77.1bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of −322.9bn.

Cash Conversion

TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

CFO TTM 245.8bn −1,248.7bn
Cash Capex 77.1bn +9.7bn
FCF TTM −322.9bn −1,258.4bn

Investment Takeaway

The business is showing a few weaker signals, but the current magnitude is not yet clear enough to conclude that this is a broader weakening phase. The brighter spot is earnings conversion is confirmed, with CFO/NI at -0.72x. The main risk still sits in self-funded cash generation remains weak.

Improvement: earnings conversion looks more confirmed, with CFO / net income at -0.72x.

Key risk: self-funded cash generation remains weak, with trailing-12M FCF still at 322.9bn.

Statement Data

Item 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Net Revenue
10,616.5 9,358.2 8,588.3 8,581.4 7,708.1
Cost of Goods Sold
9,291.2 7,964.8 7,680.2 7,693.2 0.0
Gross Profit
1,325.3 1,393.5 908.1 888.1 898.3
Financial Expenses
72.8 88.8 140.4 145.4 -87.2
Selling Expenses
565.7 589.7 423.7 346.2 -285.1
General and Administrative Expenses
217.5 211.7 165.6 164.3 -164.4
Operating Profit
492.9 531.2 199.3 246.2 368.8
Profit Before Tax
494.8 530.6 196.2 245.6 371.4
Net Income
400.2 425.6 134.8 193.5 296.7
Profit Attributable to Parent
309.9 357.0 148.2 149.8 219.7
Earnings per Share
4,878.00 5,620.00 2,334.00 2,358.00 3,458.00

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