SFG

Phân Bón Miền Nam ·HOSE ·2026Q1

▲ Slightly positive

Earnings conversion is confirmed CFO/NPAT −4.67x
Price
10,300
Latest close
03 Jun 2026
P/E 14.49x
P/B 0.74x
EPS 711
BVPS 13,956
ROE 5.1%
ROA 2.0%
Profit Margin 1.3%
Asset Turnover 1.50x
Equity Mult. 2.62x

TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, SFG is maintaining revenue growth, but margins have not improved proportionally — earnings have been recovering gradually over multiple periods. However, operating cash flow is significantly negative relative to profit — this needs monitoring in coming periods.

TTM REVENUE
VND 2,597bn
+49.0%YoY
NET MARGIN
1.31%
−0.2ppYoY
TTM NET PROFIT
VND 34bn
+28.1%YoY
CFO / Net Income
-4.67x
negative cash flow vs profit
Metric Q1'26 Q4'25 Q3'25 Q2'25 Q1'25 Q4'24 Q3'24 Q2'24 Q1'24 Q4'23 Q3'23 Q2'23
Revenue 1,018.9 327.6 678.3 572.5 487.2 509.7 298.8 447.7 344.0 419.3 421.2 407.3
Growth +211% -52% +18% +17% -4% +71% -33% +30% -18% -0% +3%
Net Income 9.7 2.8 9.6 12.0 6.4 4.4 7.9 7.9 4.1 12.0 19.1 -8.3
Net Margin 0.95% 0.85% 1.41% 2.10% 1.32% 0.86% 2.65% 1.76% 1.19% 2.87% 4.54% -2.04%

Drivers of SFG's profit

TTM

Net profit attributable to parent increased vs last year, mainly helped by higher gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Gross profit ↑ 55.0bn
Financial income ↑ 1.9bn
Finance costs ↑ 21.9bn
Administrative expenses ↑ 11.0bn
Selling expenses ↑ 10.5bn
Other profit ↓ 4.5bn
TTM

Net profit attributable to parent increased vs prior quarter, mainly helped by higher gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Gross profit ↑ 29.2bn
Financial income ↑ 1.3bn
Selling expenses ↑ 13.9bn
Administrative expenses ↑ 6.7bn
Finance costs ↑ 5.8bn
Tax ↑ 0.8bn

Financial Highlights

Detailed analysis of each financial dimension

ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier

2025Q1 4.1% = 1.5% × 1.27 × 2.09
2026Q1 5.1% = 1.3% × 1.50 × 2.62

ROE rose from 4.1% to 5.1% — mainly driven by leverage, despite net margin moving in the opposite direction.

Net margin: 1.3% -0.2pp Asset turnover: 1.50x +0.23x Leverage: 2.62x +0.53x

Is the profit sustainable?

Margins narrowed but earnings quality remains clean — pressure is mainly operational.

very positive positive stable watch under pressure

What is driving the margin?

Net margin stands at 1.31%, broadly flat versus the same period. Supportive factors and pressure points are offsetting one another.

Margin is nearly flat but the underlying components are moving — this is a transitional phase, more time is needed to see the real trend.

Profitability trend

Net Margin 1.31% −0.2pp
Gross Margin 7.48% −0.5pp
SG&A / Revenue 4.81% −1.1pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Is capital being used efficiently?

Evaluate capital, asset, and working-capital efficiency.

Is capital being deployed efficiently?

ROIC edged up to 2.24%, rising 0.6pp. That translates to 2.24 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. The main driver is capital turnover rose 0.37x — the business is generating more revenue per unit of capital, with NOPAT margin steady; while invested capital rose by 225bn.

Capital turnover improved — a positive signal on asset efficiency, but with ROIC still low, NOPAT margin also needs to lift in coming periods to produce meaningful returns.

Watchpoints

ROIC remains low

ROIC is currently 2.24% — below the typical cost-of-capital threshold; worth tracking whether upcoming periods can rise above this level.

CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

ROIC 2.24% +0.6pp
NOPAT Margin 1.28% +0.1pp
Capital Turnover 1.75x +0.37x
Average Invested Capital 1,483.1bn +225.1bn

Balance Sheet

Leverage is elevated, requiring monitoring — liabilities at 1.69x equity, net debt at 1.37x equity.

Inventory ended the period at 1,035.5bn, roughly 58.3% of total assets.

Over the last 12 months, working capital absorbed 210.8bn of cash, mainly because of higher receivables and higher inventories. Part of that drag was offset by higher payables.

Working Capital Drivers

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables increased → lower CFO: −16.2bn
Inventories increased → lower CFO: −312.9bn
Payables increased → higher CFO: +118.3bn

Working Capital Efficiency

Working capital is being managed more efficiently, supporting overall capital efficiency. Cash conversion cycle improved by 1.0 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO rose 2.3 days, DSO fell 8.5 days, and DPO fell 5.1 days.

Working capital cycle is flat — components are offsetting each other.

Watchpoints

Cash conversion cycle remains stretched

CCC stands at 116.7 days, suggesting that working capital remains tied up for a relatively long operating cycle.

Inventory turnover is slowing

DIO increased by +2.3 days, suggesting more capital is being tied up in inventories.

Working Capital Efficiency

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables 41.1 days −8.5 days
Inventory 82.7 days +2.3 days
Payables 7.1 days −5.1 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 116.7 days −1.0 days

Is financial risk significant?

Leverage is safe but FCF is negative at 185.9bn due to capex of 26.7bn — an investment choice, not an urgent risk.

Leverage & Liquidity

Leverage warrants monitoring, with net debt / equity at 1.37x and interest coverage only at 0.78x.

At present, short-term debt accounts for 100.0% of total debt, cash equals 16.9% of debt, and total debt stands at 1,102.0bn.

Watchpoints

Net leverage is elevated

Net debt / equity stands at 1.37x, increasing balance-sheet pressure.

Interest coverage is thin

Interest coverage is 0.78x, leaving limited room to absorb financing costs.

Leverage and liquidity trend

Net Debt / Equity 1.37x +0.26x
Interest Coverage 0.78x −0.12x
Cash / Debt 16.9% +13.9pp
Short-term Debt / Total Debt 100.0% 0.0pp
CFO / NI -4.67x +8.34x

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Cash Flow

High leverage combined with cash flow below reveals the actual liquidity pressure. Operating cash flow reached -465.9bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of 146.4bn.

Post-investment cash flow was negative +319.5bn. Financing cash flow was positive +322.0bn.

CFO / net income was -4.67x.

After spending +26.7bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of −185.9bn.

Cash Conversion

TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

CFO TTM 159.2bn +186.8bn
Cash Capex 26.7bn +18.0bn
FCF TTM −185.9bn +168.8bn

Investment Takeaway

The business is under real pressure, but the current picture has not turned broadly adverse. A notable area has clearly weakened, making the near-term outlook hard to call bright; even so, other parts of the business are still holding up, with capital efficiency remains weak remaining the main constraint, with ROIC at 2.2%. The main offsetting support comes from earnings conversion is confirmed, with CFO/NI at -4.67x.

Improvement: earnings conversion looks more confirmed, with CFO / net income at -4.67x.

Key risk: Capital efficiency remains weak.

Statement Data

Item 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Net Revenue
2,065.6 1,600.2 1,559.0 2,008.5 2,109.7
Cost of Goods Sold
1,898.7 1,460.6 1,471.1 1,864.4 0.0
Gross Profit
166.9 139.5 87.9 144.1 164.2
Financial Expenses
47.2 29.7 33.0 36.8 -25.1
Selling Expenses
54.2 61.5 47.8 50.2 -76.2
General and Administrative Expenses
52.2 49.2 40.6 36.5 -36.2
Operating Profit
37.7 26.0 49.3 56.6 37.1
Profit Before Tax
40.2 32.1 57.0 55.0 43.2
Net Income
32.0 25.7 56.8 45.0 34.5
Profit Attributable to Parent
32.0 25.7 56.8 45.0 34.5
Earnings per Share
669.00 536.00 1,186.00 940.00 720.00

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