DCM

Tổng công ty Phân bón Dầu khí Cà Mau ·HOSE ·2026Q1

▲▲ Improving positively

Operating efficiency is improving Net margin 12.27%, +2.44pp YoY
Price
38,900
Latest close
03 Jun 2026
P/E 10.22x
P/B 1.79x
EPS 3,808
BVPS 21,789
ROE 20.9%
ROA 12.9%
Profit Margin 12.3%
Asset Turnover 1.05x
Equity Mult. 1.62x

TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, DCM is improving on both revenue and margins, suggesting current growth is backed by both scale and operating efficiency — the growth momentum has held across consecutive periods. The next test will be whether this pace holds as the comparison base gets tougher.

TTM REVENUE
VND 18,840bn
+33.4%YoY
NET MARGIN
12.27%
+2.4ppYoY
TTM NET PROFIT
VND 2,312bn
+66.6%YoY
Metric Q1'26 Q4'25 Q3'25 Q2'25 Q1'25 Q4'24 Q3'24 Q2'24 Q1'24 Q4'23 Q3'23 Q2'23
Revenue 5,286.0 4,528.4 2,988.2 6,037.3 3,406.7 4,213.7 2,634.4 3,863.4 2,744.0 3,565.6 3,010.6 3,290.9
Growth +17% +52% -51% +77% -19% +60% -32% +41% -23% +18% -9%
Net Income 788.6 389.5 328.0 806.4 412.1 285.5 120.6 569.8 349.6 491.8 74.1 289.8
Net Margin 14.92% 8.60% 10.98% 13.36% 12.10% 6.78% 4.58% 14.75% 12.74% 13.79% 2.46% 8.81%

Drivers of DCM's profit

TTM

Net profit attributable to parent increased vs last year, mainly helped by higher gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Gross profit ↑ 1,907.7bn
Administrative expenses ↑ 454.2bn
Tax ↑ 172.9bn
Selling expenses ↑ 171.5bn
Other profit ↓ 168.0bn
TTM

Net profit attributable to parent increased vs prior quarter, mainly helped by higher gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Gross profit ↑ 461.3bn

Financial Highlights

Detailed analysis of each financial dimension

ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier

2025Q1 13.3% = 9.8% × 0.87 × 1.56
2026Q1 20.9% = 12.3% × 1.05 × 1.62

ROE rose from 13.3% to 20.9% — all three components improved, with asset turnover contributing the most.

Net margin: 12.3% +2.4pp Asset turnover: 1.05x +0.19x Leverage: 1.62x +0.05x

Is the profit sustainable?

Accounting profit is positive but operating cash flow has not caught up — needs more time to confirm.

very positive positive stable watch under pressure

What is driving the margin?

Net margin expanded to 12.27%, rising 2.4pp. Core operating signals are improving as Gross margin rose 5.6pp are enough to offset pressure from SG&A / Revenue rose 0.6pp (with lingering pressure from Other profit / Revenue fell 1.2pp and Net financial result / Revenue fell 0.6pp).

The improvement comes from core operations — this is a high-quality margin expansion.

Profitability trend

Net Margin 12.27% +2.4pp
Gross Margin 23.66% +5.6pp
SG&A / Revenue 11.50% +0.6pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Is capital being used efficiently?

Return on capital rose, but cash cycle lengthened by 22.2 days — working capital needs watching.

Is capital being deployed efficiently?

ROIC expanded to 22.43%, rising 9.7pp. That translates to 22.43 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. Both NOPAT margin rose 3.6pp and capital turnover rose 0.36x, while invested capital rose by 730bn — capital-return quality improved from both sides.

Capital efficiency improved through NOPAT margin — this is a quality-led improvement when operating profit leads.

CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

ROIC 22.43% +9.7pp
NOPAT Margin 12.16% +3.6pp
Capital Turnover 1.85x +0.36x
Average Invested Capital 10,210.9bn +730.1bn

Balance Sheet

ROIC is improving — the asset structure below shows how capital is being allocated. Balance sheet is exceptionally sound — liabilities at 0.63x equity, with a net cash position equivalent to 0.13x equity.

Inventory ended the period at 4,808.9bn, roughly 27.3% of total assets.

Over the last 12 months, working capital absorbed 1,884.9bn of cash, mainly because of higher receivables and higher inventories. Part of that drag was offset by higher payables.

Working Capital Drivers

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables increased → lower CFO: −553.5bn
Inventories increased → lower CFO: −1,440.6bn
Payables increased → higher CFO: +109.2bn

Working Capital Efficiency

Cash conversion cycle lengthened by 22.2 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO rose 13.6 days, DSO rose 3.5 days, and DPO fell 5.2 days.

All 3 drivers are deteriorating — working capital is becoming more deeply tied up in the operating cycle.

Watchpoints

Cash conversion cycle is lengthening

CCC is up by +22.2 days, indicating weaker working-capital turnover versus the prior year.

Receivables collection is slowing

DSO increased by +3.5 days, pointing to slower receivables turnover.

Working Capital Efficiency

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables 17.2 days +3.5 days
Inventory 101.4 days +13.6 days
Payables 39.8 days −5.2 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 78.8 days +22.2 days

Is financial risk significant?

Leverage is safe but FCF is negative at 643.4bn due to capex of 550.1bn — an investment choice, not an urgent risk.

Leverage & Liquidity

Leverage looks fairly comfortable, with net debt / equity at -0.13x and interest coverage at 22.32x.

At present, short-term debt accounts for 98.4% of total debt, cash equals 157.7% of debt, and total debt stands at 2,581.8bn.

Watchpoints

Short-term refinancing pressure is meaningful

Short-term debt accounts for 98.4% of total debt, raising near-term refinancing needs.

Leverage and liquidity trend

Net Debt / Equity -0.13x −0.11x
Interest Coverage 22.32x +4.58x
Cash / Debt 157.7% +47.3pp
Short-term Debt / Total Debt 98.4% +4.1pp
CFO / NI -0.04x −0.07x

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Cash Flow

Operating cash flow reached -775.8bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of 2,590.1bn.

Post-investment cash flow was positive +1,814.3bn. Financing cash flow was negative +127.4bn.

CFO / net income was -0.04x.

After spending +550.1bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of −643.4bn.

Cash Conversion

TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

CFO TTM 93.3bn −139.6bn
Cash Capex 550.1bn −414.1bn
FCF TTM −643.4bn +274.5bn

Investment Takeaway

The business is heading the right way, but the current picture is still at partial confirmation — not yet a fully clean case. The positive points have clearly improved, showing the operating base is better than before. The brighter spot is operating efficiency, with net margin improving 2.4 pp. Warning and risk signals are not yet decisive enough to shift the picture.

Improvement: operating efficiency is getting better, with trailing-12M net margin at 12.27% after expanding 2.4pp versus the same period last year.

Statement Data

Item 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Net Revenue
16,630.9 13,455.6 12,570.5 15,924.5 9,954.9
Cost of Goods Sold
12,582.3 10,942.1 10,538.7 10,221.1 0.0
Gross Profit
4,048.7 2,513.5 2,031.8 5,703.4 2,853.6
Financial Expenses
97.4 76.6 27.4 60.4 -34.2
Selling Expenses
1,176.0 1,014.4 800.6 698.3 -411.4
General and Administrative Expenses
968.0 481.0 548.6 652.6 -522.2
Operating Profit
2,202.2 1,323.3 1,232.3 4,593.1 2,051.4
Profit Before Tax
2,207.4 1,522.1 1,254.8 4,596.3 2,053.5
Net Income
1,961.8 1,428.0 1,110.1 4,321.1 1,917.9
Profit Attributable to Parent
1,959.8 1,419.7 1,108.9 4,316.0 1,917.2
Earnings per Share
3,203.00 2,394.00 1,797.00 7,701.00 3,306.00

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