NSH

Tập Đoàn Nhôm Sông Hồng Shalumi ·HNX ·2026Q1

▲ Showing improvement

Price
4,800
Latest close
05 Jun 2026
P/E 24.20x
P/B 0.41x
EPS 198
BVPS 11,719
ROE 1.7%
ROA 0.5%
Profit Margin 0.3%
Asset Turnover 1.33x
Equity Mult. 3.74x

TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, NSH is improving on both growth and profitability, painting a notably more positive picture versus the same period — the growth momentum has held across consecutive periods. However, profit is significantly supported by non-core sources and operating cash flow is not yet positive — the improvement signal needs more time to confirm.

TTM REVENUE
VND 1,200bn
+13.0%YoY
NET MARGIN
0.34%
+0.1ppYoY
TTM NET PROFIT
VND 4bn
+89.5%YoY
Non-core income / PBT
59.7%
Metric Q1'26 Q4'25 Q3'25 Q2'25 Q1'25 Q4'24 Q3'24 Q2'24 Q1'24 Q4'23 Q3'23 Q2'23
Revenue 242.4 332.5 299.3 326.0 185.0 366.1 281.4 229.2 136.3 329.0 228.9 294.7
Growth -27% +11% -8% +76% -49% +30% +23% +68% -59% +44% -22%
Net Income 1.2 1.8 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.4 0.8 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.5
Net Margin 0.51% 0.53% 0.13% 0.22% 0.35% 0.09% 0.14% 0.35% 0.25% 0.14% 0.19% 0.16%

Drivers of NSH's profit

TTM

Net profit attributable to parent increased vs last year, mainly helped by higher gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Gross profit ↑ 6.3bn
Other profit ↑ 2.9bn
Selling expenses ↓ 1.4bn
Financial income ↑ 0.3bn
Administrative expenses ↑ 5.8bn
Finance costs ↑ 3.0bn
TTM

Net profit attributable to parent increased vs prior quarter, mainly helped by higher gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Gross profit ↑ 1.6bn
Administrative expenses ↓ 1.4bn
Selling expenses ↓ 0.3bn
Financial income ↑ 0.1bn
Finance costs ↑ 2.3bn
Other profit ↓ 0.3bn

Financial Highlights

Detailed analysis of each financial dimension

ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier

2025Q1 0.9% = 0.2% × 1.22 × 3.65
2026Q1 1.7% = 0.3% × 1.33 × 3.74

ROE rose from 0.9% to 1.7% — all three components improved, with asset turnover contributing the most.

Net margin: 0.3% +0.1pp Asset turnover: 1.33x +0.11x Leverage: 3.74x +0.09x

Is the profit sustainable?

Accounting profit is positive but operating cash flow has not caught up — needs more time to confirm.

very positive positive stable watch under pressure

What is driving the margin?

Net margin stands at 0.34%, broadly flat versus the same period. Supportive factors and pressure points are offsetting one another.

Margin is nearly flat but the underlying components are moving — this is a transitional phase, more time is needed to see the real trend.

Profitability trend

Net Margin 0.34% +0.1pp
Gross Margin 4.30% +0.0pp
SG&A / Revenue 1.36% +0.2pp
Non-core / Revenue -2.50% +0.4pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Watchpoints

Financial result is supporting margin

Financial result accounts for 59.7% of PBT and lifted net margin by 0.4pp — separate the operating contribution from this source.

Is capital being used efficiently?

Evaluate capital, asset, and working-capital efficiency.

Is capital being deployed efficiently?

ROIC stands at 0.23%, broadly flat versus the same period. That translates to 0.23 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. NOPAT margin steady, but capital turnover rose 0.20x, with invested capital holding roughly steady — the two factors are offsetting each other, keeping overall ROIC nearly unchanged.

Overall ROIC is flat while internal components are moving — watch which side becomes dominant in coming periods.

Watchpoints

ROIC remains low

ROIC is currently 0.23% — below the typical cost-of-capital threshold; worth tracking whether upcoming periods can rise above this level.

CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

ROIC 0.23% −0.1pp
NOPAT Margin 0.14% −0.1pp
Capital Turnover 1.63x +0.20x
Average Invested Capital 734.1bn −4.2bn

Balance Sheet

Leverage is very high, with clear pressure on the capital structure — liabilities at 2.86x equity, net debt at 2.06x equity.

Inventory ended the period at 602.4bn, roughly 64.6% of total assets.

Over the last 12 months, working capital absorbed 33.1bn of cash, mainly because of higher receivables and higher inventories. Part of that drag was offset by higher payables.

Working Capital Drivers

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables increased → lower CFO: −53.6bn
Inventories increased → lower CFO: −33.3bn
Payables increased → higher CFO: +53.8bn

Working Capital Efficiency

Working capital is being managed more efficiently, supporting overall capital efficiency. Cash conversion cycle improved by 25.1 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO fell 31.0 days, DSO rose 12.4 days, and DPO rose 6.5 days.

Improvement comes mainly from faster inventory turnover — watch whether this trend persists in coming periods.

Watchpoints

Cash conversion cycle remains stretched

CCC stands at 192.5 days, suggesting that working capital remains tied up for a relatively long operating cycle.

Receivables collection is slowing

DSO increased by +12.4 days, pointing to slower receivables turnover.

Working Capital Efficiency

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables 44.6 days +12.4 days
Inventory 190.9 days −31.0 days
Payables 43.0 days +6.5 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 192.5 days −25.1 days

Is financial risk significant?

High leverage combined with negative operating cash flow — this area needs close monitoring.

Leverage & Liquidity

Leverage warrants monitoring, with net debt / equity at 2.06x and interest coverage only at 0.06x.

At present, short-term debt accounts for 99.8% of total debt, cash equals 1.8% of debt, and total debt stands at 509.2bn.

Watchpoints

Net leverage is elevated

Net debt / equity stands at 2.06x, increasing balance-sheet pressure.

Interest coverage is thin

Interest coverage is 0.06x, leaving limited room to absorb financing costs.

Leverage and liquidity trend

Net Debt / Equity 2.06x +0.02x
Interest Coverage 0.06x −0.03x
Cash / Debt 1.8% +1.0pp
Short-term Debt / Total Debt 99.8% +0.1pp
CFO / NI -2.53x −16.47x

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Cash Flow

High leverage combined with cash flow below reveals the actual liquidity pressure. Operating cash flow reached -18.6bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of -3.4bn.

Post-investment cash flow was negative +22.0bn. Financing cash flow was positive +17.0bn.

CFO / net income was -2.53x.

Track how much investment can be funded internally from operating cash flow.

Cash capex or FCF data is incomplete, so the cash-conversion view is only partial.

Cash Conversion

TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

CFO TTM 10.4bn −40.6bn
Cash Capex
FCF TTM

Investment Takeaway

The business is under real pressure, but the current picture has not turned broadly adverse. A notable area has clearly weakened, making the near-term outlook hard to call bright; even so, other parts of the business are still holding up, with capital efficiency remains weak remaining the main constraint, with ROIC at 0.2%. The next watchpoint is the earnings mix, when non-core contribution is -632.9%.

Watchpoint: the earnings mix still needs monitoring, with net financial result still accounting for -632.9% of PBT and CFO / net income currently at -2.53x.

Key risk: Capital efficiency remains weak.

Statement Data

Item 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Net Revenue
1,145.7 1,013.0 1,068.6 1,101.1 1,039.9
Cost of Goods Sold
1,092.7 966.2 1,003.4 1,043.1 0.0
Gross Profit
53.0 46.8 65.2 58.0 65.8
Financial Expenses
31.7 34.0 41.0 34.5 -32.0
Selling Expenses
5.1 5.9 5.6 5.6 -5.8
General and Administrative Expenses
13.0 4.7 16.4 13.9 -22.4
Operating Profit
4.0 2.8 2.5 4.3 6.4
Profit Before Tax
4.5 2.7 2.5 4.3 6.1
Net Income
3.5 1.9 0.9 3.4 3.5
Profit Attributable to Parent
3.5 1.9 0.9 3.4 3.5
Earnings per Share
169.00 91.00 44.00 165.00 170.58

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