VFC
Vinafco ·UPCOM ·2026Q1
▼▼ Declining sharply
TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity
What Is Changing
On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, VFC is holding revenue at an acceptable level, but margins are eroding visibly — margins have been compressing consistently over multiple periods. More notably, a significant portion of profit is supported by non-core sources, further affecting earnings quality.
| Metric | Q1'26 | Q4'25 | Q3'25 | Q2'25 | Q1'25 | Q4'24 | Q3'24 | Q2'24 | Q1'24 | Q4'23 | Q3'23 | Q2'23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 375.2 | 402.3 | 355.6 | 311.6 | 285.0 | 332.9 | 266.5 | 277.6 | 286.4 | 349.6 | 310.6 | 320.1 |
| Growth | -7% | +13% | +14% | +9% | -14% | +25% | -4% | -3% | -18% | +13% | -3% | — |
| Net Income | 6.5 | -6.7 | 10.6 | 3.1 | 9.4 | 15.2 | 7.2 | 7.8 | -4.9 | 10.2 | 4.2 | 21.7 |
| Net Margin | 1.73% | -1.67% | 2.97% | 1.01% | 3.31% | 4.58% | 2.71% | 2.80% | -1.71% | 2.92% | 1.34% | 6.79% |
Drivers of VFC's profit
Net profit attributable to parent declined vs last year, mainly due to higher administrative expenses. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Net profit attributable to parent declined vs prior quarter, mainly due to higher administrative expenses. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Financial Highlights
Detailed analysis of each financial dimension
ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier
ROE fell from 5.5% to 1.9% — net margin weakened the most, though asset turnover and leverage still provided support.
Is the profit sustainable?
Margins are under pressure while earnings still rely significantly on non-core sources.
What is driving the margin?
Net margin fell to 0.93%, losing 2.5pp. The main pressure comes from SG&A / Revenue rose 1.4pp and Gross margin fell 1.0pp (with lingering pressure from Net financial result / Revenue fell 0.3pp).
The pressure comes from core operations — this is a concerning type of decline, not a one-off movement.
Profitability trend
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Watchpoints
Even though contribution decreased by 0.4pp, financial result still accounts for 68.8% of PBT — earnings durability should be monitored in coming periods.
Is capital being used efficiently?
Capital efficiency is declining — check whether the drag is from margins or turnover.
Is capital being deployed efficiently?
ROIC fell to 1.70%, losing 3.7pp. That translates to 1.70 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. The main pressure came from NOPAT margin narrowed 2.5pp, outweighing the movement in capital turnover; with invested capital holding roughly steady.
Pressure came from the margin side — core operations are weakening, not just a temporary asset-management issue.
Watchpoints
ROIC is currently 1.70% — below the typical cost-of-capital threshold; worth tracking whether upcoming periods can rise above this level.
CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Balance Sheet
ROIC declined — the balance sheet shows how capital is being deployed. Capital structure is conservative with low leverage — liabilities at 0.64x equity, net debt at 0.14x equity.
Over the last 12 months, working capital absorbed 32.5bn of cash, mainly because of higher receivables and higher inventories. Part of that drag was offset by higher payables.
Working Capital Drivers
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Working Capital Efficiency
Working capital is being managed more efficiently, supporting overall capital efficiency. Cash conversion cycle improved by 2.4 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO fell 0.2 days, DSO fell 9.2 days, and DPO fell 7.1 days.
Improvement comes mainly from faster receivables collection — reflects the quality of receivables management.
Working Capital Efficiency
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Is financial risk significant?
Leverage is safe but FCF is negative at 110.1bn due to capex of 117.5bn — an investment choice, not an urgent risk.
Leverage & Liquidity
Leverage looks fairly comfortable, with net debt / equity at 0.14x and interest coverage at 4.18x.
At present, short-term debt accounts for 72.4% of total debt, cash equals 36.6% of debt, and total debt stands at 152.6bn.
Watchpoints
Short-term debt accounts for 72.4% of total debt, raising near-term refinancing needs.
Leverage and liquidity trend
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Cash Flow
With safe leverage noted above, cash flow below shows the self-funding capacity. Operating cash flow reached 24.3bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of -66.9bn.
Post-investment cash flow was negative +42.6bn. Financing cash flow was positive +45.8bn.
CFO / net income was 0.71x.
After spending +117.5bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of −110.1bn.
Cash Conversion
TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Investment Takeaway
The business is heading the right way, but the current picture is still at partial confirmation — not yet a fully clean case. The positive points have clearly improved, showing the operating base is better than before. Even so, earnings quality still needs closer monitoring because net financial result remains elevated. The main risk still sits in core profitability, with net margin down 2.5 pp.
Watchpoint: the earnings mix still needs monitoring, with net financial result still accounting for 65.4% of PBT and CFO / net income currently at 0.71x.
Key risk: profitability remains under pressure, with trailing-12M net margin at 93.35% after a 2.5pp decline versus the same period last year.
Statement Data
| Item | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Net Revenue
|
1,354.6 | 1,163.4 | 1,272.4 | 1,619.7 | 1,245.2 |
|
Cost of Goods Sold
|
1,253.1 | 1,085.7 | 1,180.0 | 1,346.4 | 0.0 |
|
Gross Profit
|
101.5 | 77.7 | 92.4 | 273.3 | 129.9 |
|
Financial Expenses
|
4.0 | 3.1 | 4.5 | 8.1 | -12.1 |
|
Selling Expenses
|
— | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -0.0 |
|
General and Administrative Expenses
|
91.4 | 58.8 | 59.2 | 72.4 | -61.1 |
|
Operating Profit
|
27.0 | 35.5 | 59.9 | 209.8 | 60.4 |
|
Profit Before Tax
|
26.8 | 36.9 | 57.9 | 236.3 | 58.9 |
|
Net Income
|
16.3 | 25.3 | 43.9 | 187.0 | 47.4 |
|
Profit Attributable to Parent
|
13.6 | 25.3 | 43.3 | 145.1 | 34.6 |
|
Earnings per Share
|
403.00 | 749.00 | 1,281.00 | 4,294.00 | 1,024.00 |
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