VSA

Đại lý Hàng hải Việt Nam ·HNX ·2026Q1

▼▼ Declining sharply

Self-funded cash generation remains weak CFO/NPAT −14 bn, −109 bn YoY
Price
19,400
Latest close
04 Jun 2026
P/E 12.18x
P/B 0.80x
EPS 1,593
BVPS 24,181
ROE 6.5%
ROA 3.4%
Profit Margin 2.1%
Asset Turnover 1.66x
Equity Mult. 1.89x

TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, VSA is declining across multiple metrics versus the same period, suggesting current pressure is not coming from just one side — earnings have been recovering gradually over multiple periods. More notably, profit is significantly supported by non-core sources and operating cash flow is not yet positive — the earnings quality picture needs close monitoring.

TTM REVENUE
VND 1,085bn
−3.5%YoY
NET MARGIN
2.07%
−0.1ppYoY
TTM NET PROFIT
VND 22bn
−7.4%YoY
Net financial result / PBT
56.1%
affects earnings quality
Metric Q1'26 Q4'25 Q3'25 Q2'25 Q1'25 Q4'24 Q3'24 Q2'24 Q1'24 Q4'23 Q3'23 Q2'23
Revenue 279.6 284.2 242.0 279.1 274.3 300.5 287.6 261.5 251.6 267.0 286.5 260.2
Growth -2% +17% -13% +2% -9% +5% +10% +4% -6% -7% +10%
Net Income 7.1 1.6 8.2 5.6 7.9 6.1 1.7 8.6 5.6 6.5 17.6 9.9
Net Margin 2.54% 0.57% 3.38% 1.99% 2.87% 2.02% 0.60% 3.29% 2.24% 2.44% 6.13% 3.81%

Drivers of VSA's profit

TTM

Net profit attributable to parent declined vs last year, mainly due to higher administrative expenses. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Gross profit ↑ 5.7bn
Finance costs ↓ 1.7bn
Administrative expenses ↑ 8.2bn
Other profit ↓ 0.7bn
TTM

Net profit attributable to parent declined vs prior quarter, mainly due to lower gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Administrative expenses ↓ 0.6bn
Gross profit ↓ 0.8bn
Financial income ↓ 0.5bn

Financial Highlights

Detailed analysis of each financial dimension

ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier

2025Q1 6.7% = 2.2% × 1.72 × 1.80
2026Q1 6.5% = 2.1% × 1.66 × 1.89

ROE is broadly flat at 6.5% — the components are offsetting one another.

Net margin: 2.1% -0.1pp Asset turnover: 1.66x -0.06x Leverage: 1.89x +0.10x

Is the profit sustainable?

Margins are under pressure while earnings still rely significantly on non-core sources.

very positive positive stable watch under pressure

What is driving the margin?

Net margin stands at 2.07%, broadly flat versus the same period. Supportive factors and pressure points are offsetting one another.

Margin is nearly flat but the underlying components are moving — this is a transitional phase, more time is needed to see the real trend.

Profitability trend

Net Margin 2.07% −0.1pp
Gross Margin 8.80% +0.8pp
SG&A / Revenue 7.67% +1.0pp
Non-core / Revenue 1.54% +0.1pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Watchpoints

Financial result is supporting margin

Margin support from financial result remains high (57.7% of PBT) — sustainability should be monitored.

Is capital being used efficiently?

Capital efficiency should be read in industry context — ROIC may fluctuate with business specifics.

Is capital being deployed efficiently?

Track how much operating profit the business generates on invested capital.

Industry characteristics make ROIC cyclical — this is a reference signal and should be read with the business context.

CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

ROIC
NOPAT Margin 2.04% −0.0pp
Capital Turnover
Average Invested Capital

Balance Sheet

ROIC above should be read with industry context — the balance sheet below adds perspective. Balance sheet is exceptionally sound — liabilities at 0.89x equity, with a net cash position equivalent to 0.55x equity.

Over the last 12 months, working capital absorbed 28.2bn of cash, mainly because of lower payables. Part of that drag was offset by lower receivables.

Working Capital Drivers

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables decreased → higher CFO: +0.4bn
Inventories were broadly stable → neutral CFO:
Payables decreased → lower CFO: −28.6bn

Working Capital Efficiency

Track receivable, inventory, and payable turns to judge working-capital efficiency.

Track DSO, DIO, DPO components to evaluate working capital turnover efficiency.

Watchpoints

Receivables collection is slowing

DSO increased by +0.7 days, pointing to slower receivables turnover.

Working Capital Efficiency

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables 56.0 days +0.7 days
Inventory
Payables 39.1 days +8.1 days
Cash Conversion Cycle

Is financial risk significant?

Financial risk is low — the company has net cash and CFO reached 62.7bn.

Leverage & Liquidity

Leverage looks fairly comfortable, with net debt / equity at -0.55x and interest coverage at 7.60x.

Debt maturity and the cash buffer remain the two key areas to monitor.

Some leverage signals are missing, so the current read should be treated as contextual.

Leverage and liquidity trend

Net Debt / Equity -0.55x
Interest Coverage 7.60x +2.25x
Cash / Debt
Short-term Debt / Total Debt
CFO / NI -0.53x −4.60x

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Cash Flow

With safe leverage noted above, cash flow below shows the self-funding capacity. Operating cash flow reached 62.7bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of -34.9bn.

Post-investment cash flow was positive +27.8bn. Financing cash flow was negative +19.5bn.

CFO / net income was -0.53x.

After spending +2.1bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of −14.0bn.

Cash Conversion

TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

CFO TTM 11.9bn −110.6bn
Cash Capex 2.1bn −1.2bn
FCF TTM −14.0bn −109.3bn

Investment Takeaway

The business is under real pressure, but the current picture has not turned broadly adverse. A notable area has clearly weakened, making the near-term outlook hard to call bright; even so, other parts of the business are still holding up, with self-funded cash generation remains weak remaining the main constraint. The next watchpoint is the earnings mix, when non-core contribution is 56.1%. The main offsetting support comes from balance-sheet flexibility, with net cash/equity at about -0.55x.

Improvement: the balance sheet remains flexible, with a net cash position equivalent to 0.55x of equity.

Watchpoint: the earnings mix still needs monitoring, with net financial result still accounting for 56.1% of PBT and CFO / net income currently at -0.53x.

Key risk: self-funded cash generation remains weak, with trailing-12M FCF still at 14.0bn.

Statement Data

Item 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Net Revenue
1,079.6 1,101.2 1,083.7 1,640.6 1,607.6
Cost of Goods Sold
982.7 1,015.4 999.6 1,534.9 0.0
Gross Profit
96.9 85.8 84.0 105.7 96.3
Financial Expenses
3.0 4.1 3.1 6.0 -2.1
Selling Expenses
0.0 0.0 0.0 -0.0
General and Administrative Expenses
81.2 73.3 73.8 74.0 -61.2
Operating Profit
32.5 26.5 40.4 46.6 47.9
Profit Before Tax
30.4 27.8 54.0 53.1 46.2
Net Income
23.7 21.9 42.8 42.6 37.0
Profit Attributable to Parent
23.7 21.9 42.8 42.6 37.0
Earnings per Share
1,684.00 1,555.00 3,033.00 3,020.00 2,625.00

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