SD3

Sông Đà 3 ·UPCOM ·2026Q1

▼ Slightly negative

Margins remain under pressure Net margin 19.84%, −3.25pp YoY
Price
8,900
Latest close
02 Jun 2026
P/E 4.35x
P/B 2.13x
EPS 2,045
BVPS 4,169
ROE 47.3%
ROA 3.3%
Profit Margin 19.4%
Asset Turnover 0.17x
Equity Mult. 14.16x

TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, SD3 is showing a few mildly negative signals versus the same period, though nothing alarming at current levels — the growth momentum has held across consecutive periods. The point still to be proven is whether this is a short adjustment or the beginning of a weaker trend.

TTM REVENUE
VND 167bn
+21.7%YoY
NET MARGIN
19.84%
−3.3ppYoY
TTM NET PROFIT
VND 33bn
+4.6%YoY
Metric Q1'26 Q4'25 Q3'25 Q2'25 Q1'25 Q4'24 Q3'24 Q2'24 Q1'24 Q4'23 Q3'23 Q2'23
Revenue 49.0 45.7 26.2 46.4 51.1 42.2 11.8 32.3 39.3 32.9 21.0 45.1
Growth +7% +75% -44% -9% +21% +257% -63% -18% +20% +57% -54%
Net Income 20.4 26.3 -6.2 -7.4 17.2 34.9 -11.8 -8.5 9.0 -3.1 2.0 -6.0
Net Margin 41.56% 57.61% -23.52% -15.87% 33.64% 82.60% -99.75% -26.41% 22.97% -9.46% 9.56% -13.31%

Drivers of SD3's profit

TTM

Net profit attributable to parent increased vs last year, mainly helped by higher gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Gross profit ↑ 36.8bn
Finance costs ↑ 22.4bn
Other profit ↓ 9.9bn
Administrative expenses ↑ 1.5bn
Tax ↑ 1.5bn
TTM

Net profit attributable to parent increased vs prior quarter, mainly helped by lower finance costs. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Finance costs ↓ 3.1bn
Administrative expenses ↓ 0.8bn
Other profit ↓ 0.4bn

Financial Highlights

Detailed analysis of each financial dimension

ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier

2025Q1 46.2% = 23.1% × 0.14 × 14.37
2026Q1 48.3% = 19.8% × 0.17 × 14.16

ROE rose from 46.2% to 48.3% — mainly driven by asset turnover, despite net margin and leverage moving in the opposite direction.

Net margin: 19.8% -3.3pp Asset turnover: 0.17x +0.03x Leverage: 14.16x -0.21x

Is the profit sustainable?

Margins narrowed but earnings quality remains clean — pressure is mainly operational.

very positive positive stable watch under pressure

What is driving the margin?

Net margin fell to 19.84%, losing 3.3pp. Gross margin rose 12.6pp and SG&A / Revenue fell 1.7pp improved but not enough to offset the weakness in Net financial result / Revenue fell 10.6pp and Other profit / Revenue fell 6.3pp.

Margin is under pressure from multiple sides — temporary and structural components need to be separated to properly assess the risk.

Profitability trend

Net Margin 19.84% −3.3pp
Gross Margin 65.35% +12.6pp
SG&A / Revenue 12.96% −1.7pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Is capital being used efficiently?

Capital efficiency for utilities should be read alongside regulated tariffs and long-cycle depreciation — ROIC of 6.7% reflects a large fixed-asset base.

Is capital being deployed efficiently?

ROIC expanded to 6.72%, rising 2.1pp. That translates to 6.72 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. Both NOPAT margin rose 2.4pp and capital turnover rose 0.06x, with invested capital holding roughly steady — capital-return quality improved from both sides.

For utilities, ROIC reflects returns on a large fixed-asset base — this is a reference signal and should be read alongside regulated tariffs.

CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

ROIC 6.72% +2.1pp
NOPAT Margin 23.35% +2.4pp
Capital Turnover 0.29x +0.06x
Average Invested Capital 581.6bn −35.4bn

Balance Sheet

ROIC for utilities reflects a large fixed-asset base and regulated tariffs — the balance sheet below adds perspective. Leverage is very high, with clear pressure on the capital structure — liabilities at 19.66x equity, net debt at 7.42x equity.

Inventory ended the period at 148.7bn, roughly 15.5% of total assets.

Over the last 12 months, working capital absorbed 39.0bn of cash, mainly because of lower payables. Part of that drag was offset by lower receivables and lower inventories.

Working Capital Drivers

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables decreased → higher CFO: +20.0bn
Inventories decreased → higher CFO: +3.3bn
Payables decreased → lower CFO: −62.3bn

Working Capital Efficiency

The inventory build-up noted above is reflected in a longer cash cycle. Cash conversion cycle lengthened by 47.0 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO rose 157.1 days, DSO fell 111.6 days, and DPO fell 1.5 days.

Working capital cycle lengthened mainly due to slower inventory turnover — more capital is being tied up in inventory.

For utilities, working capital cycle reflects regulated pricing mechanics and long-term settlement contracts — DSO/DIO/DPO should be treated as contextual signals rather than pure efficiency indicators.

Watchpoints

Cash conversion cycle remains stretched

CCC stands at 644.7 days, suggesting that working capital remains tied up for a relatively long operating cycle.

Inventory turnover is slowing

DIO increased by +157.1 days, suggesting more capital is being tied up in inventories.

Working Capital Efficiency

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables 271.7 days −111.6 days
Inventory 980.6 days +157.1 days
Payables 607.6 days −1.5 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 644.7 days +47.0 days

Is financial risk significant?

Check leverage, liquidity, and cash-flow conversion.

Leverage & Liquidity

Leverage warrants monitoring, with net debt / equity at 7.42x and interest coverage only at 1.01x.

At present, short-term debt accounts for 23.3% of total debt, cash equals 5.5% of debt, and total debt stands at 523.7bn.

Leverage for utilities reflects long-term capital needs for fixed assets and recovery through regulated pricing — elevated leverage is structural to the industry.

Watchpoints

Net leverage is elevated

Net debt / equity stands at 7.42x, increasing balance-sheet pressure.

Interest coverage is thin

Interest coverage is 1.01x, leaving limited room to absorb financing costs.

Leverage and liquidity trend

Net Debt / Equity 7.42x −0.08x
Interest Coverage 1.01x −0.46x
Cash / Debt 5.5% +5.1pp
Short-term Debt / Total Debt 23.3% +1.7pp
CFO / NI 1.27x +0.10x

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Cash Flow

Leverage needs watching — cash flow below shows the ability to service debt from operations. Operating cash flow reached 47.8bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of -1.1bn.

Post-investment cash flow was positive +46.8bn. Financing cash flow was negative +33.6bn.

CFO / net income was 1.27x.

Track how much investment can be funded internally from operating cash flow.

For utilities, high capex and long investment cycles are structural — short-term FCF volatility does not reflect long-term cash generation through regulated pricing.

Cash Conversion

TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

CFO TTM 41.2bn +4.5bn
Cash Capex
FCF TTM

Investment Takeaway

The business is under real pressure, but the current picture has not turned broadly adverse. A notable area has clearly weakened, making the near-term outlook hard to call bright; even so, other parts of the business are still holding up, with margins remain under pressure remaining the main constraint, with net margin down 3.3 pp. The next watchpoint is the earnings mix, when non-core contribution is 17.7%.

Watchpoint: cash flow is currently keeping pace with accounting earnings, with CFO / net income at 1.27x. Even so, net financial result still accounts for 17.7% of PBT, so the earnings mix still needs monitoring.

Key risk: profitability remains under pressure, with trailing-12M net margin at 19.84% after a 3.3pp decline versus the same period last year.

Statement Data

Item 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Net Revenue
170.4 125.7 148.6 166.5 194.7
Cost of Goods Sold
61.7 55.3 71.6 74.7 0.0
Gross Profit
108.7 70.4 77.0 91.9 61.6
Financial Expenses
47.3 18.5 57.4 63.3 -34.5
Selling Expenses
0.0 0.0 0.0 -0.0
General and Administrative Expenses
25.4 40.9 17.6 18.6 -20.0
Operating Profit
36.1 11.1 2.0 10.0 7.3
Profit Before Tax
29.6 0.4 2.2 10.7 6.7
Net Income
25.4 -2.0 0.3 8.3 5.4
Profit Attributable to Parent
24.7 -2.3 -0.0 7.8 4.9
Earnings per Share
1,547.00 -145.00 -1.00 487.00 306.00

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