SHP

Thủy điện Miền Nam ·HOSE ·2026Q1

▼ Slightly negative

Margins remain under pressure Net margin 47.55%, −1.94pp YoY
Price
34,500
Latest close
02 Jun 2026
P/E 11.67x
P/B 2.67x
EPS 2,956
BVPS 12,899
ROE 25.8%
ROA 24.6%
Profit Margin 47.6%
Asset Turnover 0.52x
Equity Mult. 1.05x

TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, SHP is showing a few mildly negative signals versus the same period, though nothing alarming at current levels — profit momentum has been slowing across consecutive periods. The point still to be proven is whether this is a short adjustment or the beginning of a weaker trend.

TTM REVENUE
VND 679bn
+6.5%YoY
NET MARGIN
47.55%
−1.9ppYoY
TTM NET PROFIT
VND 323bn
+2.3%YoY
Metric Q1'26 Q4'25 Q3'25 Q2'25 Q1'25 Q4'24 Q3'24 Q2'24 Q1'24 Q4'23 Q3'23 Q2'23
Revenue 97.0 206.5 236.4 138.6 66.1 239.3 232.5 99.5 56.6 190.8 254.3 132.5
Growth -53% -13% +70% +110% -72% +3% +134% +76% -70% -25% +92%
Net Income 37.6 89.4 136.9 58.8 13.2 129.9 138.8 33.5 -6.3 80.3 133.9 45.8
Net Margin 38.73% 43.26% 57.92% 42.44% 19.96% 54.30% 59.71% 33.66% -11.09% 42.07% 52.66% 34.56%

Drivers of SHP's profit

TTM

Net profit attributable to parent increased vs last year, mainly helped by higher gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Gross profit ↑ 20.7bn
Financial income ↑ 3.6bn
Tax ↑ 15.2bn
Administrative expenses ↑ 6.7bn
TTM

Net profit attributable to parent increased vs prior quarter, mainly helped by higher gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Gross profit ↑ 26.2bn
Tax ↑ 3.5bn

Financial Highlights

Detailed analysis of each financial dimension

ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier

2025Q1 25.8% = 49.5% × 0.48 × 1.09
2026Q1 25.8% = 47.6% × 0.52 × 1.05

ROE is broadly flat at 25.8% — the components are offsetting one another.

Net margin: 47.6% -1.9pp Asset turnover: 0.52x +0.04x Leverage: 1.05x -0.04x

Is the profit sustainable?

Margins narrowed but earnings quality remains clean — pressure is mainly operational.

very positive positive stable watch under pressure

What is driving the margin?

Net margin fell to 47.55%, losing 1.9pp. The main pressure comes from SG&A / Revenue rose 0.7pp and Gross margin fell 0.6pp (in addition, Net financial result / Revenue rose 1.3pp added support while Other profit / Revenue fell 0.1pp remained a drag).

The pressure comes from core operations — this is a concerning type of decline, not a one-off movement.

Profitability trend

Net Margin 47.55% −1.9pp
Gross Margin 59.68% −0.6pp
SG&A / Revenue 5.59% +0.7pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Is capital being used efficiently?

Capital efficiency for utilities should be read alongside regulated tariffs and long-cycle depreciation — ROIC reflects a large fixed-asset base.

Is capital being deployed efficiently?

Track how much operating profit the business generates on invested capital.

For utilities, ROIC reflects returns on a large fixed-asset base — this is a reference signal and should be read alongside regulated tariffs.

CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

ROIC
NOPAT Margin 47.55% −1.9pp
Capital Turnover
Average Invested Capital

Balance Sheet

ROIC for utilities reflects a large fixed-asset base and regulated tariffs — the balance sheet below adds perspective. Balance sheet is exceptionally sound — liabilities at 0.07x equity, with a net cash position equivalent to 0.17x equity.

Over the last 12 months, working capital absorbed 40.0bn of cash, mainly because of higher receivables and higher inventories.

Working Capital Drivers

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables increased → lower CFO: −35.3bn
Inventories increased → lower CFO: −1.3bn
Payables decreased → lower CFO: −3.4bn

Working Capital Efficiency

Cash conversion cycle lengthened by 4.1 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO rose 0.8 days, DSO rose 0.5 days, and DPO fell 2.7 days.

All 3 drivers are deteriorating — working capital is becoming more deeply tied up in the operating cycle.

For utilities, working capital cycle reflects regulated pricing mechanics and long-term settlement contracts — DSO/DIO/DPO should be treated as contextual signals rather than pure efficiency indicators.

Watchpoints

Cash conversion cycle is lengthening

CCC is up by +4.1 days, indicating weaker working-capital turnover versus the prior year.

Receivables collection is slowing

DSO increased by +0.5 days, pointing to slower receivables turnover.

Working Capital Efficiency

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables 38.1 days +0.5 days
Inventory 8.6 days +0.8 days
Payables 3.9 days −2.7 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 42.9 days +4.1 days

Is financial risk significant?

Financial risk is low — the company has net cash and CFO reached 429.4bn.

Leverage & Liquidity

Track net leverage, interest coverage, and the liquidity buffer on the balance sheet.

Debt maturity and the cash buffer remain the two key areas to monitor.

Leverage for utilities reflects long-term capital needs for fixed assets and recovery through regulated pricing — elevated leverage is structural to the industry.

Leverage and liquidity trend

Net Debt / Equity -0.17x −0.12x
Interest Coverage
Cash / Debt
Short-term Debt / Total Debt
CFO / NI 1.16x −0.21x

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Cash Flow

With safe leverage noted above, cash flow below shows the self-funding capacity. Operating cash flow reached 429.4bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of 15.7bn.

Post-investment cash flow was positive +445.1bn. Financing cash flow was negative +280.6bn.

CFO / net income was 1.16x.

After spending +3.5bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of +372.0bn.

For utilities, high capex and long investment cycles are structural — short-term FCF volatility does not reflect long-term cash generation through regulated pricing.

Cash Conversion

TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

CFO TTM 375.5bn −57.9bn
Cash Capex 3.5bn
FCF TTM +372.0bn

Investment Takeaway

The business is under real pressure, but the current picture has not turned broadly adverse. A notable area has clearly weakened, making the near-term outlook hard to call bright; even so, other parts of the business are still holding up, with margins remain under pressure remaining the main constraint, with net margin down 1.9 pp. The next watchpoint is capital efficiency. The main offsetting support comes from earnings conversion is confirmed, with CFO/NI at 1.16x.

Improvement: earnings conversion looks more confirmed, with CFO / net income at 1.16x.

Watchpoint: Capital efficiency needs cycle context.

Key risk: profitability remains under pressure, with trailing-12M net margin at 47.55% after a 1.9pp decline versus the same period last year.

Statement Data

Item 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Net Revenue
647.7 627.8 661.2 746.1 657.8
Cost of Goods Sold
269.0 263.3 313.0 319.3 0.0
Gross Profit
378.7 364.5 348.2 426.8 349.8
Financial Expenses
0.6 7.2 19.1 26.5 -41.9
Selling Expenses
0.0 0.0 0.0 -0.0
General and Administrative Expenses
37.3 30.9 28.2 33.9 -29.4
Operating Profit
345.6 328.9 305.8 370.9 278.7
Profit Before Tax
345.7 329.0 306.0 367.0 279.0
Net Income
298.3 295.9 275.3 321.0 264.9
Profit Attributable to Parent
298.3 295.9 275.3 321.0 264.9
Earnings per Share
2,833.00 2,823.00 2,629.00 3,077.00 2,744.00

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