TAL

Đầu tư Bất động sản Taseco ·HOSE ·2026Q1

▼ Slightly negative

Margins remain under pressure Net margin 19.98%, −20.12pp YoY
Price
29,000
Latest close
03 Jun 2026
P/E 11.87x
P/B 1.57x
EPS 2,444
BVPS 18,530
ROE 14.3%
ROA 6.0%
Profit Margin 19.5%
Asset Turnover 0.31x
Equity Mult. 2.39x

TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, TAL posted slightly higher revenue but margins narrowed — the two forces offset each other, leaving the overall picture largely unchanged — the growth momentum has held across consecutive periods. More notably, operating cash flow is significantly negative relative to profit — this is pressure that needs close monitoring.

TTM REVENUE
VND 4,047bn
+135.1%YoY
NET MARGIN
19.98%
−20.1ppYoY
TTM NET PROFIT
VND 808bn
+17.2%YoY
CFO / Net Income
-1.97x
negative cash flow vs profit
Metric Q1'26 Q4'25 Q3'25 Q2'25 Q1'25 Q4'24 Q3'24 Q2'24 Q1'24 Q4'23
Revenue 692.8 1,559.2 1,238.2 556.9 375.9 435.3 310.6 599.3 309.0 2,550.1
Growth -56% +26% +122% +48% -14% +40% -48% +94% -88%
Net Income 156.6 391.5 222.7 37.6 22.3 476.2 185.1 6.4 10.2 476.4
Net Margin 22.61% 25.11% 17.99% 6.75% 5.94% 109.41% 59.58% 1.07% 3.30% 18.68%

Drivers of TAL's profit

TTM

Net profit attributable to parent increased vs last year, mainly helped by higher gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Gross profit ↑ 1,073.9bn
Finance costs ↓ 46.1bn
Other profit ↑ 41.0bn
Financial income ↓ 759.8bn
Selling expenses ↑ 89.7bn
Tax ↑ 83.3bn
TTM

Net profit attributable to parent increased vs prior quarter, mainly helped by higher gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Gross profit ↑ 146.2bn
Tax ↑ 33.7bn

Financial Highlights

Detailed analysis of each financial dimension

ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier

2025Q1 16.5% = 40.1% × 0.18 × 2.28
2026Q1 14.6% = 20.0% × 0.31 × 2.39

ROE fell from 16.5% to 14.6% — net margin weakened the most, though asset turnover and leverage still provided support.

Net margin: 20.0% -20.1pp Asset turnover: 0.31x +0.13x Leverage: 2.39x +0.12x

Is the profit sustainable?

Margins narrowed but earnings quality remains clean — pressure is mainly operational.

very positive positive stable watch under pressure

What is driving the margin?

Net margin fell to 19.98%, losing 20.1pp. Gross margin rose 11.1pp and SG&A / Revenue fell 6.7pp improved but not enough to offset the weakness in Net financial result / Revenue fell 37.8pp (Other profit / Revenue rose 1.3pp still added support).

The pressure comes from non-core items while core operations hold their rhythm — margin has a basis to recover once this factor passes.

Profitability trend

Net Margin 19.98% −20.1pp
Gross Margin 37.97% +11.1pp
SG&A / Revenue 10.33% −6.7pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Is capital being used efficiently?

Capital efficiency for residential developers should be read alongside project cycles and handover timing — ROIC of 9.0% fluctuates with handover cycles.

Is capital being deployed efficiently?

ROIC narrowed to 9.04%, falling 0.5pp. That translates to 9.04 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. Although capital turnover rose 0.23x, NOPAT margin narrowed 21.2pp still pulled ROIC lower, while invested capital rose by 1,368bn.

For real estate developers, ROIC moves with project cycles — this is a reference signal, and the real assessment needs upcoming handover periods.

CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

ROIC 9.04% −0.5pp
NOPAT Margin 19.36% −21.2pp
Capital Turnover 0.47x +0.23x
Average Invested Capital 8,672.5bn +1,368.0bn

Balance Sheet

ROIC for residential developers swings with project cycles and handover timing — the balance sheet below adds perspective. Capital structure is relatively light for the real estate sector — liabilities at 1.35x equity, net debt at 0.48x equity.

Development inventory ended the period at 7,305.5bn, about 47.7% of total assets — reflecting projects in progress awaiting handover.

Over the last 12 months, working capital absorbed 2,145.3bn of cash, mainly because of higher receivables and higher inventories. Part of that drag was offset by higher payables.

Working Capital Drivers

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables increased → lower CFO: −2,575.0bn
Inventories increased → lower CFO: −3,646.7bn
Payables increased → higher CFO: +4,076.4bn

Is financial risk significant?

Leverage is safe but FCF is negative at 1,675.4bn due to capex of 120.0bn — an investment choice, not an urgent risk.

Leverage & Liquidity

Leverage looks fairly comfortable, with net debt / equity at 0.48x and interest coverage at 6.02x.

At present, short-term debt accounts for 22.7% of total debt, cash equals 30.3% of debt, and total debt stands at 4,600.1bn.

Leverage for residential developers should be read alongside project cycles, development inventory, and handover timing.

Leverage and liquidity trend

Net Debt / Equity 0.48x −0.22x
Interest Coverage 6.02x +2.40x
Cash / Debt 30.3% +15.7pp
Short-term Debt / Total Debt 22.7% −0.2pp
CFO / NI -1.97x +1.05x

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Cash Flow

Operating cash flow reached -1,654.2bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of 47.0bn.

Post-investment cash flow was negative +1,607.2bn. Financing cash flow was positive +2,409.0bn.

CFO / net income was -1.97x.

After spending +120.0bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of −1,675.4bn.

For residential developers, FCF and CFO swing with project cycles — negative during investment phases and positive at handover — not representative of single-year efficiency.

Cash Conversion

TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

CFO TTM 1,555.4bn +469.8bn
Cash Capex 120.0bn −133.1bn
FCF TTM −1,675.4bn +603.0bn

Investment Takeaway

The business is showing a few weaker signals, but the current magnitude is not yet clear enough to conclude that this is a broader weakening phase. The brighter spot is earnings conversion is confirmed, with CFO/NI at -1.97x. The next item to monitor is capital efficiency, with ROIC at 9.0%. The main risk still sits in core profitability, with net margin down 20.1 pp.

Improvement: earnings conversion looks more confirmed, with CFO / net income at -1.97x.

Watchpoint: Capital efficiency needs cycle context.

Key risk: profitability remains under pressure, with trailing-12M net margin at 19.98% after a 20.1pp decline versus the same period last year.

Statement Data

Item 2025 2024 2023 2022
Net Revenue
3,730.1 1,684.5 3,237.6 2,829.0
Cost of Goods Sold
2,337.3 1,264.5 2,347.5 2,055.1
Gross Profit
1,392.9 419.9 890.2 773.9
Financial Expenses
178.5 201.2 99.2 19.4
Selling Expenses
159.4 56.7 85.1 209.0
General and Administrative Expenses
252.3 195.8 178.2 140.4
Operating Profit
842.8 888.3 612.9 471.9
Profit Before Tax
870.3 875.6 627.3 473.7
Net Income
673.2 685.1 472.7 369.7
Profit Attributable to Parent
642.8 664.8 456.8 357.0
Earnings per Share
1,939.00 2,147.00 1,522.00 1,322.29

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