VHD
Đầu tư Phát triển Nhà và Đô Thị VINAHUD ·UPCOM ·2026Q1
▼▼ Declining sharply
TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity
What Is Changing
On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, VHD is under pressure on both revenue and margins simultaneously — profit momentum has been slowing across consecutive periods. More notably, profit is significantly supported by non-core sources and operating cash flow is not yet positive — the earnings quality picture needs close monitoring.
| Metric | Q1'26 | Q4'25 | Q3'25 | Q2'25 | Q1'25 | Q3'24 | Q2'24 | Q1'24 | Q4'23 | Q3'23 | Q2'23 | Q1'23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 0.8 | 9.7 | 7.6 | 1.6 | 20.4 | 52.5 | 69.4 | 50.1 | 91.3 | 69.3 | 78.5 | 71.7 |
| Growth | -91% | +28% | +389% | -92% | -61% | -24% | +39% | -45% | +32% | -12% | +9% | — |
| Net Income | -23.3 | -32.0 | -22.4 | -33.1 | -24.3 | -51.2 | -55.1 | -51.4 | -78.4 | -67.2 | -60.3 | 0.6 |
| Net Margin | -2777.02% | -329.09% | -294.90% | -2133.05% | -118.78% | -97.60% | -79.36% | -102.76% | -85.89% | -97.05% | -76.83% | 0.83% |
Drivers of VHD's profit
Net profit attributable to parent increased vs last year, mainly helped by lower finance costs. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Net profit attributable to parent increased vs prior quarter, mainly helped by lower finance costs. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Financial Highlights
Detailed analysis of each financial dimension
ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier
ROE edged up from -143.4% to 19592.2%, but the main driver was not core operations.
Is the profit sustainable?
Margins are under pressure while earnings still rely significantly on non-core sources.
What is driving the margin?
Net margin fell to -562.07%, losing 467.5pp. The main pressure is SG&A / Revenue rose 164.2pp, outweighing the improvement in Gross margin rose 9.0pp (with lingering pressure from Net financial result / Revenue fell 300.0pp and Other profit / Revenue fell 5.4pp).
Margin is under pressure from multiple sides — temporary and structural components need to be separated to properly assess the risk.
Profitability trend
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Watchpoints
Even though contribution decreased by 305.4pp, financial result still accounts for 69.3% of PBT — earnings durability should be monitored in coming periods.
Is capital being used efficiently?
Capital efficiency for residential developers should be read alongside project cycles and handover timing — ROIC of -8.0% fluctuates with handover cycles.
Is capital being deployed efficiently?
ROIC expanded to -8.01%, rising 1.5pp. That translates to -8.01 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. NOPAT margin narrowed 452.9pp and capital turnover fell 0.09x both supported ROIC, while invested capital contracted by 555bn.
For real estate developers, ROIC moves with project cycles — this is a reference signal, and the real assessment needs upcoming handover periods.
CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Balance Sheet
ROIC for residential developers swings with project cycles and handover timing — the balance sheet below adds perspective. Capital structure is notably light for the real estate sector — liabilities at -158.84x equity, with a net cash position equivalent to 27.97x equity.
Development inventory ended the period at 1,675.6bn, about 49.4% of total assets — reflecting projects in progress awaiting handover.
Over the last 12 months, working capital released 318.2bn of cash, mainly thanks to lower receivables and higher payables. Pressure from higher inventories only partly offset that benefit.
Working Capital Drivers
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Is financial risk significant?
Financial risk is low — the company has net cash and CFO reached 16.5bn.
Leverage & Liquidity
Leverage warrants monitoring, with net debt / equity at -27.97x and interest coverage only at -1.15x.
At present, short-term debt accounts for 78.2% of total debt, cash equals 1.1% of debt, and total debt stands at 1,264.9bn.
Leverage for residential developers should be read alongside project cycles, development inventory, and handover timing.
Watchpoints
Interest coverage is -1.15x, leaving limited room to absorb financing costs.
Short-term debt accounts for 78.2% of total debt, raising near-term refinancing needs.
Leverage and liquidity trend
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Cash Flow
With safe leverage noted above, cash flow below shows the self-funding capacity. Operating cash flow reached 16.5bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of 718.7bn.
Post-investment cash flow was positive +735.2bn. Financing cash flow was negative +730.7bn.
CFO / net income was -0.12x.
Track how much investment can be funded internally from operating cash flow.
For residential developers, FCF and CFO swing with project cycles — negative during investment phases and positive at handover — not representative of single-year efficiency.
Cash Conversion
TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Investment Takeaway
The business is under real pressure, but the current picture has not turned broadly adverse. A notable area has clearly weakened, making the near-term outlook hard to call bright; even so, other parts of the business are still holding up, with margins remain under pressure remaining the main constraint, with net margin down 467.5 pp. The next watchpoint is the earnings mix, when non-core contribution is 68.3%.
Watchpoint: the earnings mix still needs monitoring, with net financial result still accounting for 68.3% of PBT and CFO / net income currently at -0.12x.
Key risk: profitability remains under pressure, with trailing-12M net margin at -562.07% after a 467.5pp decline versus the same period last year.
Statement Data
| Item | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Net Revenue
|
39.3 | 194.9 | 310.8 | 423.8 | 123.4 |
|
Cost of Goods Sold
|
35.4 | 184.3 | 296.8 | 375.2 | 0.0 |
|
Gross Profit
|
3.9 | 10.6 | 14.0 | 48.5 | 2.5 |
|
Financial Expenses
|
99.6 | 388.0 | 169.9 | 2.4 | -0.2 |
|
Selling Expenses
|
0.4 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 1.2 | -0.0 |
|
General and Administrative Expenses
|
36.5 | 41.5 | 31.2 | 19.2 | -0.8 |
|
Operating Profit
|
-110.0 | -196.2 | -145.3 | 26.8 | 1.5 |
|
Profit Before Tax
|
-110.9 | -197.3 | -142.1 | 26.6 | 1.6 |
|
Net Income
|
-112.0 | -178.1 | -163.7 | 21.2 | 1.5 |
|
Profit Attributable to Parent
|
-112.0 | -178.1 | -163.7 | 21.2 | 1.5 |
|
Earnings per Share
|
-2,947.00 | -4,687.00 | -4,309.00 | 558.00 | 214.00 |
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