HRC
Cao su Hòa Bình ·HOSE ·2026Q1
▼ Under pressure
TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity
What Is Changing
On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, HRC is holding revenue at an acceptable level, but margins are eroding visibly — profit momentum has been slowing across consecutive periods. What is still missing is better cost control to prevent margin pressure from spreading to the overall profit result.
| Metric | Q1'26 | Q4'25 | Q3'25 | Q2'25 | Q1'25 | Q4'24 | Q3'24 | Q2'24 | Q1'24 | Q4'23 | Q3'23 | Q2'23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 95.3 | 80.1 | 67.2 | 59.5 | 37.3 | 89.9 | 77.3 | 18.3 | 28.9 | 94.2 | 47.4 | 11.4 |
| Growth | +19% | +19% | +13% | +59% | -58% | +16% | +322% | -37% | -69% | +99% | +316% | — |
| Net Income | 7.0 | 9.3 | 22.0 | 3.3 | 1.4 | 58.7 | 6.0 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 12.5 | 1.5 | 2.5 |
| Net Margin | 7.37% | 11.62% | 32.79% | 5.59% | 3.82% | 65.33% | 7.72% | 2.73% | 1.43% | 13.23% | 3.20% | 21.80% |
Drivers of HRC's profit
Net profit attributable to parent declined vs last year, mainly due to weaker other profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Net profit attributable to parent increased vs prior quarter, mainly helped by higher gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Financial Highlights
Detailed analysis of each financial dimension
ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier
ROE fell from 11.5% to 6.7% — net margin weakened the most, though asset turnover still provided support.
Is the profit sustainable?
Margins are under pressure while earnings still rely significantly on non-core sources.
What is driving the margin?
Net margin fell to 13.80%, losing 16.1pp. The main pressure is Gross margin fell 6.8pp, outweighing the improvement in SG&A / Revenue fell 1.0pp (in addition, Net financial result / Revenue rose 2.0pp added support while Other profit / Revenue fell 13.2pp remained a drag).
The pressure comes from non-core items while core operations hold their rhythm — margin has a basis to recover once this factor passes.
Profitability trend
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Watchpoints
Even though contribution decreased by 11.2pp, financial result still accounts for 43.4% of PBT — earnings durability should be monitored in coming periods.
Is capital being used efficiently?
Evaluate capital, asset, and working-capital efficiency.
Is capital being deployed efficiently?
ROIC stands at 4.71%, broadly flat versus the same period. That translates to 4.71 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. NOPAT margin narrowed 3.9pp, but capital turnover rose 0.11x, with invested capital holding roughly steady — the two factors are offsetting each other, keeping overall ROIC nearly unchanged.
Overall ROIC is flat while internal components are moving — watch which side becomes dominant in coming periods.
Watchpoints
ROIC is currently 4.71% — below the typical cost-of-capital threshold; worth tracking whether upcoming periods can rise above this level.
CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Balance Sheet
Capital structure is conservative with low leverage — liabilities at 0.37x equity, net debt at 0.13x equity.
Over the last 12 months, working capital released 0.0bn of cash.
Working Capital Drivers
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Working Capital Efficiency
Track receivable, inventory, and payable turns to judge working-capital efficiency.
Track DSO, DIO, DPO components to evaluate working capital turnover efficiency.
Working Capital Efficiency
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Is financial risk significant?
Financial risk is low — leverage is safe, both CFO and FCF are positive.
Leverage & Liquidity
Leverage looks fairly comfortable, with net debt / equity at 0.13x and interest coverage at 4.36x.
At present, short-term debt accounts for 60.3% of total debt, cash equals 29.3% of debt, and total debt stands at 113.9bn.
Watchpoints
Short-term debt accounts for 60.3% of total debt, raising near-term refinancing needs.
Leverage and liquidity trend
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Cash Flow
With safe leverage noted above, cash flow below shows the self-funding capacity. Operating cash flow reached 2.0bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of 17.3bn.
Post-investment cash flow was positive +19.3bn. Financing cash flow was negative +40.3bn.
CFO / net income was 1.27x.
After spending +4.5bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of +48.7bn.
Cash Conversion
TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Investment Takeaway
The business is entering a broader improvement phase — not just stronger earnings but better operating quality as well. Margin, ROIC, and cash flow all improving shows the business is growing in a cleaner and more efficient way than before. Notably, the improvement trend has been confirmed across multiple cycles, from margin to capital efficiency and cash generation. Even so, the earnings mix remains the area to verify in upcoming periods, when non-core contribution is 26.5%. The residual risk still sits in core profitability, with net margin down 16.1 pp.
Improvement: leverage pressure is easing, with net debt / equity down 0.12x to 0.13x while interest coverage holds at 4.36x.
Watchpoint: cash flow is currently keeping pace with accounting earnings, with CFO / net income at 1.27x. Even so, net financial result still accounts for 26.5% of PBT, so the earnings mix still needs monitoring.
Key risk: profitability remains under pressure, with trailing-12M net margin at 13.80% after a 16.1pp decline versus the same period last year.
Statement Data
| Item | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Net Revenue
|
244.1 | 214.3 | 183.2 | 179.2 | 184.9 |
|
Cost of Goods Sold
|
203.9 | 169.1 | 173.8 | 162.2 | 0.0 |
|
Gross Profit
|
40.3 | 45.2 | 9.4 | 17.0 | 28.9 |
|
Financial Expenses
|
9.0 | 13.8 | 16.0 | 14.1 | -15.8 |
|
Selling Expenses
|
2.7 | 3.3 | 4.1 | 3.3 | -3.2 |
|
General and Administrative Expenses
|
19.6 | 15.4 | 16.4 | 14.3 | -16.7 |
|
Operating Profit
|
30.5 | 29.3 | 10.3 | 1.3 | 18.3 |
|
Profit Before Tax
|
38.8 | 67.1 | 17.0 | 10.2 | 22.2 |
|
Net Income
|
35.1 | 61.4 | 17.0 | 10.2 | 22.1 |
|
Profit Attributable to Parent
|
35.1 | 61.4 | 17.0 | 10.2 | 22.1 |
|
Earnings per Share
|
1,163.00 | 2,033.00 | 562.00 | 336.00 | 731.00 |
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