KTT

Tập đoàn Đầu tư KTT ·UPCOM ·2023Q4

▼▼ Declining sharply

Margins remain under pressure Net margin −31.93%, −31.69pp YoY
Price
Latest close
P/E
P/B
EPS -7,008
BVPS 1,882
ROE -102.5%
ROA -5.4%
Profit Margin -31.9%
Asset Turnover 0.17x
Equity Mult. 19.12x

TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2023Q4 basis, KTT posted a very sharp profit drop versus the same period, showing that pressure has clearly fed through to the bottom line — margins have been compressing consistently over multiple periods. More notably, most of the profit comes from non-core sources — this needs careful evaluation before concluding on growth quality.

TTM REVENUE
VND 65bn
−92.8%YoY
NET MARGIN
−31.93%
−31.7ppYoY
TTM NET PROFIT
−VND 21bn
−869.0%YoY
Net financial result / PBT
102.1%
affects earnings quality
Metric Q4'23 Q3'23 Q2'23 Q1'23 Q4'22 Q3'22 Q2'22 Q1'22 Q4'21 Q3'21 Q2'21 Q1'21
Revenue 0.0 -0.6 6.9 58.6 233.4 231.5 141.4 294.8 210.3 106.3 105.8 31.4
Growth -100% -109% -88% -75% +1% +64% -52% +40% +98% +0% +238%
Net Income -0.1 -8.7 -6.4 -5.5 -6.3 0.8 0.8 2.5 1.9 3.0 -4.1 0.3
Net Margin 1413.69% -92.66% -9.36% -2.68% 0.36% 0.53% 0.86% 0.89% 2.86% -3.87% 1.03%

Drivers of KTT's profit

TTM

Net profit attributable to parent declined vs last year, mainly due to lower gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Gross profit ↓ 12.8bn
Finance costs ↑ 7.2bn
Financial income ↓ 2.2bn
TTM

Net profit attributable to parent increased vs prior quarter, mainly helped by lower finance costs. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Finance costs ↓ 4.9bn
Gross profit ↑ 2.0bn
Financial income ↓ 2.0bn

Financial Highlights

Detailed analysis of each financial dimension

ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier

2022Q4 -6.0% = -0.2% × 2.52 × 10.11
2023Q4 -102.5% = -31.9% × 0.17 × 19.12

ROE fell from -6.0% to -102.5% — asset turnover weakened the most, though leverage still provided support.

Net margin: -31.9% -31.7pp Asset turnover: 0.17x -2.35x Leverage: 19.12x +9.01x

Is the profit sustainable?

Margins are under pressure while earnings still rely significantly on non-core sources.

very positive positive stable watch under pressure

What is driving the margin?

Net margin fell to -31.93%, losing 31.7pp. The main pressure is SG&A / Revenue rose 1.5pp, outweighing the improvement in Gross margin rose 1.0pp (with lingering pressure from Net financial result / Revenue fell 31.3pp and Other profit / Revenue fell 0.0pp).

The pressure comes from non-core items while core operations hold their rhythm — margin has a basis to recover once this factor passes.

Profitability trend

Net Margin -31.93% −31.7pp
Gross Margin 2.58% +1.0pp
SG&A / Revenue 1.92% +1.5pp
Non-core / Revenue -32.59% −31.3pp

TTM YoY · 2022Q4 -> 2023Q4

Watchpoints

Financial result share remains high

Even though contribution decreased by 31.3pp, financial result still accounts for 102.1% of PBT — earnings durability should be monitored in coming periods.

Is capital being used efficiently?

Capital efficiency for construction contractors should be read alongside project progress and receivables collection from developers — ROIC of -6.7% fluctuates with handover cycles.

Is capital being deployed efficiently?

ROIC fell to -6.74%, losing 7.4pp. That translates to -6.74 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. Both NOPAT margin narrowed 32.1pp and capital turnover fell 3.75x, while invested capital expanded strongly by 80bn — pressure came from both operational efficiency and asset efficiency.

For construction contractors, ROIC moves with backlog and project acceptance timing — this is a reference signal and should be read alongside working-capital cycles.

CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND

TTM YoY · 2022Q4 -> 2023Q4

ROIC -6.74% −7.4pp
NOPAT Margin -31.92% −32.1pp
Capital Turnover 0.21x −3.75x
Average Invested Capital 307.4bn +80.2bn

Balance Sheet

ROIC for construction contractors swings with project progress and handover cycles — the balance sheet below adds perspective. Leverage is well above the construction contractors norm — liquidity risk becomes material if project acceptance slips — liabilities at 65.49x equity, net debt at 50.86x equity.

Over the last 12 months, working capital released 0.0bn of cash.

Working Capital Drivers

TTM YoY · 2022Q4 -> 2023Q4

Receivables were broadly stable → neutral CFO: 0.0bn
Inventories were broadly stable → neutral CFO: 0.0bn
Payables were broadly stable → neutral CFO: 0.0bn

Working Capital Efficiency

Cash conversion cycle lengthened by 1380.5 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO rose 192.3 days, DSO rose 1417.1 days, and DPO rose 228.8 days.

Working capital cycle lengthened mainly due to slower receivables collection — receivables quality needs monitoring.

For construction contractors, DSO/DIO/DPO/CCC can be distorted by project progress, work-in-progress receivables, and milestone acceptance timing — these metrics should be read alongside developer payment cycles.

Watchpoints

Cash conversion cycle remains stretched

CCC stands at 1427.0 days, suggesting that working capital remains tied up for a relatively long operating cycle.

Receivables collection is slowing

DSO increased by +1417.1 days, pointing to slower receivables turnover.

Working Capital Efficiency

TTM YoY · 2022Q4 -> 2023Q4

Receivables 1485.5 days +1417.1 days
Inventory 200.4 days +192.3 days
Payables 258.9 days +228.8 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 1427.0 days +1380.5 days

Is financial risk significant?

Check leverage, liquidity, and cash-flow conversion.

Leverage & Liquidity

Leverage warrants monitoring, with net debt / equity at 50.86x and interest coverage only at -0.76x.

At present, short-term debt accounts for 100.0% of total debt, cash equals 5.9% of debt, and total debt stands at 300.7bn.

Leverage for construction contractors fluctuates with project working capital, performance guarantees, and progress receivables — should be read alongside receivables quality and developer payment cycles.

Watchpoints

Net leverage is elevated

Net debt / equity stands at 50.86x, increasing balance-sheet pressure.

Interest coverage is thin

Interest coverage is -0.76x, leaving limited room to absorb financing costs.

Leverage and liquidity trend

Net Debt / Equity 50.86x +42.50x
Interest Coverage -0.76x −0.72x
Cash / Debt 5.9% +5.6pp
Short-term Debt / Total Debt 100.0% 0.0pp
CFO / NI -0.00x −107.18x

TTM YoY · 2022Q4 -> 2023Q4

Cash Flow

Leverage needs watching — cash flow below shows the ability to service debt from operations. Operating cash flow reached 0.0bn in 2023, against investing cash flow of 0.0bn.

Post-investment cash flow was positive 0.0bn. Financing cash flow was positive 0.0bn.

CFO / net income was -0.00x.

After spending 0.0bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of 0.0bn.

For construction contractors, FCF swings sharply with project progress and payment cycles — should be read alongside backlog and receivables quality.

Cash Conversion

TTM Cash Conversion · 2022Q4 -> 2023Q4

CFO TTM 0.0bn +229.0bn
Cash Capex 0.0bn 0.0bn
FCF TTM 0.0bn +229.0bn

Investment Takeaway

The business is under real pressure, but the current picture has not turned broadly adverse. A notable area has clearly weakened, making the near-term outlook hard to call bright; even so, other parts of the business are still holding up, with margins remain under pressure remaining the main constraint, with net margin down 31.7 pp. The next watchpoint is the earnings mix, when non-core contribution is 102.1%.

Watchpoint: the earnings mix still needs monitoring, with net financial result still accounting for 102.1% of PBT and CFO / net income currently at -0.00x.

Key risk: profitability remains under pressure, with trailing-12M net margin at -31.93% after a 31.7pp decline versus the same period last year.

Statement Data

Item 2023 2021 2020
Net Revenue
65.5 453.8 94.7
Cost of Goods Sold
63.9 0.0 0.0
Gross Profit
1.5 7.4 2.0
Financial Expenses
17.3 -7.0 -0.6
Selling Expenses
0.1 -1.1 -0.1
General and Administrative Expenses
1.7 -2.2 -1.0
Operating Profit
-15.1 1.4 1.0
Profit Before Tax
-15.1 1.4 1.3
Net Income
-15.2 1.1 1.1
Profit Attributable to Parent
-15.2 1.1 1.1
Earnings per Share
-5,136.00 388.00 313.00

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