IRC
Cao su Công nghiệp ·UPCOM ·2026Q1
● Maintaining
TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity
What Is Changing
On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, IRC has not accelerated revenue, but profitability is improving more visibly — profit is at an all-time high. Notably, profit relies heavily on non-core sources while operating cash flow is negative — these two factors together suggest earnings quality needs cautious evaluation.
| Metric | Q1'26 | Q4'25 | Q3'25 | Q2'25 | Q1'25 | Q4'24 | Q3'24 | Q2'24 | Q1'24 | Q4'23 | Q3'23 | Q2'23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 1.0 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 3.2 | 0.3 | 3.6 | 1.4 | 14.5 | 5.6 | 9.1 | 2.0 | 8.4 |
| Growth | -38% | +90% | -74% | +995% | -92% | +157% | -90% | +158% | -39% | +350% | -76% | — |
| Net Income | -0.1 | 23.7 | -1.7 | -3.9 | -1.8 | 12.8 | 0.7 | 4.1 | -3.5 | 13.1 | -1.5 | -4.5 |
| Net Margin | -11.24% | 1504.97% | -211.12% | -123.98% | -629.20% | 352.68% | 46.03% | 28.54% | -61.95% | 142.92% | -74.20% | -53.02% |
Drivers of IRC's profit
Net profit attributable to parent increased vs last year, mainly helped by better other profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Net profit attributable to parent increased vs prior quarter, mainly helped by lower administrative expenses. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Financial Highlights
Detailed analysis of each financial dimension
ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier
ROE rose from 8.9% to 9.6% — mainly driven by net margin, despite asset turnover and leverage moving in the opposite direction.
Is the profit sustainable?
Accounting profit is positive but operating cash flow has not caught up — needs more time to confirm.
What is driving the margin?
Net margin expanded to 272.81%, rising 193.3pp. Despite pressure from Gross margin fell 149.9pp and SG&A / Revenue rose 113.3pp, the offset came from Other profit / Revenue rose 487.9pp and Net financial result / Revenue rose 15.2pp.
Margin improves from both core operations and non-core items — the core foundation is positive, but the sustainability of non-core contributions needs monitoring.
Profitability trend
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Watchpoints
Other income accounts for 201.8% of PBT and lifted net margin by 503.0pp — separate the operating contribution from this source.
Is capital being used efficiently?
Evaluate capital, asset, and working-capital efficiency.
Balance Sheet
Balance sheet is exceptionally sound — liabilities at 0.10x equity, with a net cash position equivalent to 0.04x equity.
Inventory ended the period at 24.1bn, roughly 11.4% of total assets.
Over the last 12 months, working capital absorbed 12.1bn of cash, mainly because of higher inventories. Part of that drag was offset by lower receivables and higher payables.
Working Capital Drivers
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Working Capital Efficiency
Track receivable, inventory, and payable turns to judge working-capital efficiency.
Track DSO, DIO, DPO components to evaluate working capital turnover efficiency.
Watchpoints
DIO increased by +230.3 days, suggesting more capital is being tied up in inventories.
Working Capital Efficiency
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Is financial risk significant?
Leverage is safe but FCF is negative at 33.0bn due to capex of 4.4bn — an investment choice, not an urgent risk.
Leverage & Liquidity
Track net leverage, interest coverage, and the liquidity buffer on the balance sheet.
Debt maturity and the cash buffer remain the two key areas to monitor.
Some leverage signals are missing, so the current read should be treated as contextual.
Leverage and liquidity trend
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Cash Flow
Operating cash flow reached -28.3bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of 47.0bn.
Post-investment cash flow was positive +18.7bn. Financing cash flow was negative +11.7bn.
CFO / net income was -1.60x.
After spending +4.4bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of −33.0bn.
Cash Conversion
TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Investment Takeaway
The business is balanced but not yet fully stable — some components are moving the right way while others still need monitoring. This is a state to keep watching, with not enough signal to tilt the thesis either way. The brighter spot is operating efficiency, with net margin improving 193.3 pp. The next item to monitor is the earnings mix, when non-core contribution is 24.5%. The main risk still sits in self-funded cash generation remains weak.
Improvement: operating efficiency is getting better, with trailing-12M net margin at 272.81% after expanding 193.3pp versus the same period last year.
Watchpoint: the earnings mix still needs monitoring, with net financial result still accounting for 24.5% of PBT and CFO / net income currently at -1.60x.
Key risk: self-funded cash generation remains weak, with trailing-12M FCF still at 33.0bn.
Statement Data
| Item | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Net Revenue
|
5.9 | 25.1 | 19.8 | 16.3 | 33.0 |
|
Cost of Goods Sold
|
15.6 | 25.6 | 30.0 | 25.6 | 0.0 |
|
Gross Profit
|
-9.8 | -0.4 | -10.2 | -9.3 | -3.0 |
|
Financial Expenses
|
0.6 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 1.8 | -0.0 |
|
Selling Expenses
|
0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -0.1 |
|
General and Administrative Expenses
|
10.9 | 10.4 | 9.2 | 8.4 | -8.9 |
|
Operating Profit
|
-16.1 | -5.3 | -13.5 | -13.1 | -5.9 |
|
Profit Before Tax
|
22.8 | 16.7 | 8.2 | 11.4 | 16.8 |
|
Net Income
|
18.1 | 13.2 | 6.4 | 8.9 | 13.4 |
|
Profit Attributable to Parent
|
18.1 | 13.2 | 6.4 | 8.9 | 13.4 |
|
Earnings per Share
|
1,034.00 | 757.00 | 349.00 | 511.00 | 765.00 |
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