BSI

Chứng khoán BIDV ·HOSE ·2026Q1

▲ BALANCED OPERATIONS

Balanced operations NPAT +40.4% YoY
Price
34,350
Latest close
02 Jun 2026
EPS TTM (TTM) 1,123
BVPS (Latest) 12,453
P/E (Price/EPS) 30.6x
P/B (Price/BVPS) 2.8x
ROAE TTM (TTM) 9.3%
PBT Margin (TTM) 25.8%
Trading Share (Mix) 43.9%
Service & Brokerage Share (Mix) 20.9%
Equity / Assets (Latest) 30.9%
Leverage (Latest) 2.2x

Securities House Picture

On a TTM basis through 2026Q1, pre-tax profit is currently about 633.0bn, equivalent to a pre-tax margin of 25.8%, but headline durability remains more sensitive to revaluation, while margin has narrowed by 6.1pp, pointing to greater pressure on earnings quality. The revenue mix still leans mainly on trading at 43.9% after expanding by +6.9pp, while lending is at 35.2%; brokerage and services are still 20.9% but have narrowed by 2.5pp, so diversification needs closer monitoring. On the balance sheet, Equity / Assets is 30.9% while Leverage is about 2.23x, indicating that buffers and funding are not yet truly roomy, but buffers have thinned while leverage has risen further.

Trading
Doanh thu 1.125 tỷ
+97,1%
Lãi thuần 425 tỷ
+65,6%
Margin lending
Doanh thu 808 tỷ
+56,2%
Dư nợ 9.165 tỷ
+36,9%
Brokerage
Doanh thu 416 tỷ
+51,0%
Lãi thuần 80,7 tỷ
+118,5%
Metric Q1'26 Q4'25 Q3'25 Q2'25 Q1'25 Q4'24 Q3'24 Q2'24 Q1'24
PBT 117.1 119.8 269.2 126.8 100.4 113.4 94.4 136.3 171.6
Trading Share 48.7% 33.2% 49.1% 39.9% 38.3% 32.0% 32.8% 43.2% 38.2%
Lending Share 33.4% 43.1% 29.3% 32.7% 41.5% 43.5% 41.9% 33.0% 36.0%
Service & Brokerage Share 18.0% 23.7% 21.5% 27.4% 20.1% 24.5% 25.2% 23.8% 25.8%
PBT Margin 16.80% 21.19% 39.13% 25.05% 29.77% 35.92% 29.58% 32.14% 48.78%
Equity / Assets 30.9% 33.2% 32.6% 35.1% 39.4% 49.1% 47.3% 49.8% 45.6%
Leverage 2.23x 2.01x 2.07x 1.85x 1.54x 1.04x 1.11x 1.01x 1.19x

Drivers of BSI's profit

TTM

Net profit attributable to parent increased vs last year, mainly helped by higher margin lending. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Margin lending +VND 291bn
Trading +VND 168bn
Other fees +VND 75.8bn
Brokerage +VND 43.8bn
Total costs −VND 390bn
Tax −VND 44.2bn
TTM

Net profit attributable to parent increased vs prior quarter, mainly helped by higher margin lending. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Margin lending +VND 93.0bn
Trading +VND 43.5bn
Other fees +VND 17.9bn
Brokerage +VND 6.9bn
Total costs −VND 144bn
Tax −VND 9.1bn

Financial Highlights

Detailed analysis of each financial dimension

Is revenue sustainable?

very positive positive stable watch under pressure

Revenue Mix & Earnings Engine

Where are current earnings coming from?

Earnings are still being supported by trading, but revaluation has become large enough to make the headline less durable than usual.

Trading currently accounts for about 43.9%, lending is at 35.2%, brokerage is around 18.1%, other services about 2.8%, brokerage plus services together are 20.9%.

The earnings engine is already less one-dimensional, so the more important question is whether diversification can hold.

Trading income is materially dependent on revaluation.

The mix is still fairly readable for now, but case durability will depend on whether brokerage and services keep thickening.

Key risks

Revaluation volatility risk

A large part of trading income is coming from revaluation, so earnings may be more volatile than the headline suggests.

Key signals

Securities business revenue 2,457.1bn +76.0% YoY
PBT margin 25.8% −6.1pp
Trading Share 43.9% +6.9pp
Brokerage Share 18.1% −2.9pp
Revaluation / Trading 49.0% +4.1pp

TTM YoY · 2026Q1

Profitability Quality & Volatility

How strong is current profitability, and how durable is it?

Headline profitability remains solid, but durability is weaker because part of the result is still sensitive to revaluation.

Pre-tax margin is currently 25.8%, Return on assets is about 3.2%, provisions equal -0.1% of pre-tax profit, revaluation accounts for 77.9% of pre-tax profit.

Headline profit should not be read purely off reported PBT because revaluation still makes the result more volatile.

Profit remains sensitive to revaluation swings.

Provisioning is not currently the main drag on profit.

Key risks

Revaluation volatility remains high

Revaluation makes up a large enough share of PBT to make profit quality less durable than the headline suggests.

Key signals

PBT margin 25.8% −6.1pp
Net margin 20.4% −5.2pp
ROAA 3.2% +0.6pp
ROAE 9.3% +2.6pp
Revaluation / PBT 77.9% +29.1pp

TTM YoY · 2026Q1

Are assets at risk?

Balance Sheet Quality & Asset Composition

Where is the balance sheet exposed, and how resilient does it look?

The balance sheet is leaning more toward the margin book, so growth quality depends meaningfully on the safety of loans and receivables.

The margin book is about 50.5% of assets, the prop book about 35.1%, liquid assets around 12.1%, equity roughly 30.9%.

A high margin-book share makes the balance sheet more sensitive to asset quality and funding cost.

The margin book is larger than the prop book.

Capital buffer is not the main weakness for now, so the key reading point shifts to which assets are driving the balance sheet.

Key risks

Margin-book concentration risk

Loans and receivables are large enough to make the balance sheet more sensitive to asset quality and funding cost.

Prop-book concentration risk

A high share of FVTPL assets increases sensitivity to market revaluation and trading volatility.

Key signals

Margin book / Assets 50.5% −0.9pp
Prop book / Assets 35.1% +2.7pp
Liquid assets / Assets 12.1% −0.8pp
Equity / Assets 30.9% −8.5pp
Liabilities / Equity 2.23x +0.70x

Quarterly YoY · 2026Q1

Is leverage safe?

Capital, Funding & Risk Posture

Are capital buffers and funding posture sufficiently safe?

Short-term funding is the tighter part of the balance sheet, even if the case is not yet in outright capital stress.

Equity currently equals 30.9% of assets, liabilities stand at 2.23x of equity, short-term borrowings are about 61.7% of assets, cash covers roughly 0.05x of short-term borrowings.

The point that needs the closest reading now is short-term funding structure rather than the earnings headline.

Risk is coming more from short-term funding, so the key reading point is not just borrowing size but cash and liquid-asset cover.

Liquidity buffer is not yet thick enough relative to short-term funding needs.

Key risks

Short-term funding pressure

Short-term borrowings or cash coverage are in a range that creates more pressure on funding and liquidity posture.

Key signals

Equity / Assets 30.9% −8.5pp
Liabilities / Equity 2.23x +0.70x
Short-term borrowings / Assets 61.7% +13.7pp
Liquid assets / Assets 11.0% +1.3pp
Cash / Short-term borrowings 0.05x

Quarterly YoY · 2026Q1

Investment Takeaway

Overall, BSI is showing a more balanced earnings mix thanks to brokerage and service income, but short-term funding remains tight enough for caution.

Brokerage and service income are now large enough to reduce pure dependence on trading or margin.

Short-term funding structure is tight enough to become the most visible risk in the current capital posture.

Statement Data

Item 2025 2024
1.1. Gains from financial assets at fair value through profit or loss (FVTPL)
817.6 494.1
1.3. Interest income from loans and receivables
715.4 505.5
1.6. Revenue from brokerage services
376.4 298.9
Revenue from securities business (01->11)
2,097.2 1,410.7
Operating expenses (21->33)
897.0 545.4
Gross profit
1,200.2 865.3
Total financial income (41->44)
9.0 8.2
Total financial expenses (51->54)
384.4 171.2
VI. General and Administrative expenses
207.5 187.1
VII. Net profit from securities business (20+50-40-60-61-62)
617.3 515.2
IX. Profit before tax (70+80)
616.2 515.7
CORPORATE INCOME TAX
122.5 102.6
XI. Net profit after tax (90-100)
493.7 413.1
11.1. Profit after tax for shareholders of the parents company
493.7 413.1
Total other comprehensive income
-4.3
13.1. Earning per share
2,012.00 1,852.00
Earnings per Share
1,094.53 963.49

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