CTS

Chứng khoán VietinBank ·HOSE ·2026Q1

● FUNDING UNDER PRESSURE

Funding under pressure L/E 3.59x
Price
27,000
Latest close
02 Jun 2026
EPS TTM (TTM) 2,517
BVPS (Latest) 13,619
P/E (Price/EPS) 10.7x
P/B (Price/BVPS) 2.0x
ROAE TTM (TTM) 20.4%
PBT Margin (TTM) 33.5%
Trading Share (Mix) 56.2%
Service & Brokerage Share (Mix) 15.2%
Equity / Assets (Latest) 21.8%
Leverage (Latest) 3.6x

Securities House Picture

On a TTM basis through 2026Q1, pre-tax profit is currently about 664.0bn, equivalent to a pre-tax margin of 33.5%, but headline durability remains more sensitive to revaluation, with margin also improving by +11.5pp, pointing to better earnings quality. The revenue mix still leans mainly on trading at 56.2% but narrowing by 4.6pp, while lending has widened to 28.6%; brokerage and services have reached 15.2% and improved by +4.0pp, making diversification more visible. On the balance sheet, Equity / Assets is 21.8% while Leverage is about 3.59x, indicating that buffers and funding are not yet truly roomy, but buffers have thinned while leverage has risen further.

Trading
Doanh thu 1.239 tỷ
+39,1%
Lãi thuần 739 tỷ
+109,7%
Margin lending
Doanh thu 484 tỷ
+50,0%
Dư nợ 5.440 tỷ
+56,4%
Margin/equity 187.1% — approaching cap 200%
Brokerage
Doanh thu 205 tỷ
+105,7%
Lãi thuần 52,8 tỷ
+93,3%
Metric Q1'26 Q4'25 Q3'25 Q2'25 Q1'25 Q4'24 Q3'24 Q2'24 Q1'24
PBT 82.0 26.9 337.8 217.4 132.6 73.3 64.5 25.2 124.4
Trading Share 31.5% 36.5% 66.4% 69.7% 73.8% 53.4% 56.4% 50.7% 59.5%
Lending Share 48.4% 40.0% 20.3% 20.2% 19.9% 33.7% 31.0% 32.7% 28.6%
Service & Brokerage Share 20.1% 23.4% 13.3% 10.1% 6.3% 12.9% 12.6% 16.6% 11.8%
PBT Margin 23.29% 6.72% 51.74% 37.59% 28.53% 24.21% 21.38% 9.22% 38.42%
Equity / Assets 21.8% 23.0% 24.6% 23.8% 24.3% 25.9% 23.8% 27.1% 31.0%
Leverage 3.59x 3.35x 3.06x 3.20x 3.11x 2.86x 3.19x 2.69x 2.23x

Drivers of CTS's profit

TTM

Net profit attributable to parent increased vs last year, mainly helped by higher trading. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Trading +VND 387bn
Margin lending +VND 161bn
Total costs −VND 230bn
Tax −VND 68.9bn
TTM

Net profit attributable to parent declined vs prior quarter, mainly due to higher total costs. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Margin lending +VND 49.5bn
Tax +VND 10.5bn
Brokerage +VND 7.9bn
Other fees +VND 4.5bn
Total costs −VND 65.2bn
Trading −VND 47.3bn

Financial Highlights

Detailed analysis of each financial dimension

Is revenue sustainable?

very positive positive stable watch under pressure

Revenue Mix & Earnings Engine

Where are current earnings coming from?

Earnings are still being supported by trading, but revaluation has become large enough to make the headline less durable than usual.

Trading currently accounts for about 56.2%, lending is at 28.6%, brokerage is around 12.1%, other services about 3.1%, brokerage plus services together are 15.2%.

The earnings engine is already less one-dimensional, so the more important question is whether diversification can hold.

Trading income is materially dependent on revaluation.

The mix is still fairly readable for now, but case durability will depend on whether brokerage and services keep thickening.

Key risks

Revaluation volatility risk

A large part of trading income is coming from revaluation, so earnings may be more volatile than the headline suggests.

Key signals

Securities business revenue 1,983.0bn +47.7% YoY
PBT margin 33.5% +11.5pp
Trading Share 56.2% −4.6pp
Brokerage Share 12.1% +3.5pp
Revaluation / Trading 52.9% +1.6pp

TTM YoY · 2026Q1

Profitability Quality & Volatility

How strong is current profitability, and how durable is it?

Headline profitability remains solid, but durability is weaker because part of the result is still sensitive to revaluation.

Pre-tax margin is currently 33.5%, Return on assets is about 4.7%, provisions equal -2.4% of pre-tax profit, revaluation accounts for 75.7% of pre-tax profit.

Headline profit should not be read purely off reported PBT because revaluation still makes the result more volatile.

Profit remains sensitive to revaluation swings.

Provisioning is not currently the main drag on profit.

Key risks

Revaluation volatility remains high

Revaluation makes up a large enough share of PBT to make profit quality less durable than the headline suggests.

Key signals

PBT margin 33.5% +11.5pp
Net margin 27.1% +9.4pp
ROAA 4.7% +2.4pp
ROAE 20.4% +11.1pp
Revaluation / PBT 75.7% −45.9pp

TTM YoY · 2026Q1

Are assets at risk?

Balance Sheet Quality & Asset Composition

Where is the balance sheet exposed, and how resilient does it look?

The balance sheet is leaning more toward the margin book, so growth quality depends meaningfully on the safety of loans and receivables.

The margin book is about 40.7% of assets, the prop book about 20.3%, liquid assets around 30.8%, equity roughly 21.8%.

A high margin-book share makes the balance sheet more sensitive to asset quality and funding cost.

The margin book is larger than the prop book.

Capital buffer is not the main weakness for now, so the key reading point shifts to which assets are driving the balance sheet.

Key risks

Margin-book concentration risk

Loans and receivables are large enough to make the balance sheet more sensitive to asset quality and funding cost.

Key signals

Margin book / Assets 40.7% +4.8pp
Prop book / Assets 20.3% −3.5pp
Liquid assets / Assets 30.8% +0.5pp
Equity / Assets 21.8% −2.6pp
Liabilities / Equity 3.59x +0.49x

Quarterly YoY · 2026Q1

Is leverage safe?

Capital, Funding & Risk Posture

Are capital buffers and funding posture sufficiently safe?

Short-term funding is the tighter part of the balance sheet, even if the case is not yet in outright capital stress.

Equity currently equals 21.8% of assets, liabilities stand at 3.59x of equity, short-term borrowings are about 70.4% of assets, cash covers roughly 0.05x of short-term borrowings.

The point that needs the closest reading now is short-term funding structure rather than the earnings headline.

Risk is coming more from short-term funding, so the key reading point is not just borrowing size but cash and liquid-asset cover.

Liquidity buffer remains relatively better than short-term funding needs.

Key risks

Short-term funding pressure

Short-term borrowings or cash coverage are in a range that creates more pressure on funding and liquidity posture.

Leverage remains elevated

Liabilities-to-equity remains high, making capital posture more sensitive to earnings and asset-valuation swings.

Key signals

Equity / Assets 21.8% −2.6pp
Liabilities / Equity 3.59x +0.49x
Short-term borrowings / Assets 70.4% −2.6pp
Liquid assets / Assets 30.8% +0.5pp
Cash / Short-term borrowings 0.05x

Quarterly YoY · 2026Q1

Investment Takeaway

Overall, CTS is showing a more balanced earnings mix thanks to brokerage and service income, but short-term funding remains tight enough for caution.

Brokerage and service income are now large enough to reduce pure dependence on trading or margin.

Short-term funding structure is tight enough to become the most visible risk in the current capital posture.

Statement Data

Item 2025 2024
1.1. Gains from financial assets at fair value through profit or loss (FVTPL)
1,170.4 391.8
1.3. Interest income from loans and receivables
434.2 319.6
1.6. Revenue from brokerage services
180.8 105.2
Revenue from securities business (01->11)
2,095.8 1,032.2
Operating expenses (21->33)
849.3 356.0
Gross profit
1,246.6 676.3
Total financial income (41->44)
2.6 3.8
Total financial expenses (51->54)
374.5 256.3
VI. General and Administrative expenses
160.5 138.6
VII. Net profit from securities business (20+50-40-60-61-62)
714.2 285.1
IX. Profit before tax (70+80)
714.7 287.4
CORPORATE INCOME TAX
137.3 56.3
XI. Net profit after tax (90-100)
577.4 231.1
11.1. Profit after tax for shareholders of the parents company
577.4 231.1
Total other comprehensive income
627.1 231.1
13.1. Earning per share
2,715.00 1,554.00
13.2. Diluted earning per share
2,715.00
Earnings per Share
2,705.14 1,545.93

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