SHS
Chứng khoán Sài Gòn - Hà Nội ·HNX ·2026Q1
● TRADING VOLATILE
Securities House Picture
On a TTM basis through 2026Q1, pre-tax profit is currently about 1,604.9bn, equivalent to a pre-tax margin of 43.7%, but headline durability remains more sensitive to revaluation, while margin has narrowed by 12.4pp, pointing to greater pressure on earnings quality. The revenue mix still leans mainly on trading at 61.1% after expanding by +1.5pp, while lending is at 25.3%; brokerage and services are still 13.6% but have narrowed by 0.7pp, so diversification needs closer monitoring. On the balance sheet, Equity / Assets is 56.9% while Leverage is about 0.76x, indicating that buffers and funding are not yet truly roomy, but buffers have thinned while leverage has risen further.
| Metric | Q1'26 | Q4'25 | Q3'25 | Q2'25 | Q1'25 | Q4'24 | Q3'24 | Q2'24 | Q1'24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PBT | 280.0 | 271.5 | 590.4 | 463.0 | 325.7 | 281.9 | 74.0 | 434.9 | 443.9 |
| Trading Share | 32.1% | 77.0% | 48.3% | 62.8% | 65.8% | 63.6% | 25.5% | 63.1% | 65.3% |
| Lending Share | 47.8% | 15.2% | 31.4% | 23.0% | 22.8% | 22.9% | 45.5% | 23.7% | 21.3% |
| Service & Brokerage Share | 20.1% | 7.8% | 20.3% | 14.2% | 11.4% | 13.5% | 29.1% | 13.2% | 13.4% |
| PBT Margin | 49.58% | 17.01% | 72.36% | 66.72% | 58.00% | 51.14% | 26.82% | 72.55% | 78.62% |
| Equity / Assets | 56.9% | 54.7% | 59.4% | 64.5% | 76.3% | 79.9% | 85.3% | 89.6% | 89.4% |
| Leverage | 0.76x | 0.83x | 0.68x | 0.55x | 0.31x | 0.25x | 0.17x | 0.12x | 0.12x |
Drivers of SHS's profit
Net profit attributable to parent increased vs last year, mainly helped by higher trading. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Net profit attributable to parent declined vs prior quarter, mainly due to higher total costs. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Financial Highlights
Detailed analysis of each financial dimension
Is revenue sustainable?
Revenue Mix & Earnings Engine
Where are current earnings coming from?
Earnings are still being supported by trading, but revaluation has become large enough to make the headline less durable than usual.
Trading currently accounts for about 61.1%, lending is at 25.3%, brokerage is around 11.1%, other services about 2.5%, brokerage plus services together are 13.6%.
Trading is still the main engine, but brokerage and services have become large enough to start providing a more tangible diversification layer.
Revaluation does not fully dominate trading income at this stage.
The mix is still fairly readable for now, but case durability will depend on whether brokerage and services keep thickening.
Key risks
Key signals
TTM YoY · 2026Q1
Profitability Quality & Volatility
How strong is current profitability, and how durable is it?
Headline profitability remains solid, but durability is weaker because part of the result is still sensitive to revaluation.
Pre-tax margin is currently 43.7%, Return on assets is about 7.0%, provisions equal 10.9% of pre-tax profit, revaluation accounts for 42.5% of pre-tax profit.
Headline profit should not be read purely off reported PBT because revaluation still makes the result more volatile.
Profit remains sensitive to revaluation swings.
Provisioning is not currently the main drag on profit.
Key risks
Revaluation makes up a large enough share of PBT to make profit quality less durable than the headline suggests.
Key signals
TTM YoY · 2026Q1
Are assets at risk?
Balance Sheet Quality & Asset Composition
Where is the balance sheet exposed, and how resilient does it look?
The balance sheet is leaning more toward the margin book, so growth quality depends meaningfully on the safety of loans and receivables.
The margin book is about 47.0% of assets, the prop book about 42.7%, liquid assets around 2.6%, equity roughly 56.9%.
A high margin-book share makes the balance sheet more sensitive to asset quality and funding cost.
The margin book is larger than the prop book.
Capital buffer is not the main weakness for now, so the key reading point shifts to which assets are driving the balance sheet.
Key risks
Loans and receivables are large enough to make the balance sheet more sensitive to asset quality and funding cost.
A high share of FVTPL assets increases sensitivity to market revaluation and trading volatility.
Key signals
Quarterly YoY · 2026Q1
Is leverage safe?
Capital, Funding & Risk Posture
Are capital buffers and funding posture sufficiently safe?
Short-term funding is the tighter part of the balance sheet, even if the case is not yet in outright capital stress.
Equity currently equals 56.9% of assets, liabilities stand at 0.76x of equity, short-term borrowings are about 33.5% of assets, cash covers roughly 0.08x of short-term borrowings.
The point that needs the closest reading now is short-term funding structure rather than the earnings headline.
Risk is coming more from short-term funding, so the key reading point is not just borrowing size but cash and liquid-asset cover.
Liquidity buffer is not yet thick enough relative to short-term funding needs.
Key risks
Short-term borrowings or cash coverage are in a range that creates more pressure on funding and liquidity posture.
Key signals
Quarterly YoY · 2026Q1
Investment Takeaway
Overall, SHS is showing a more balanced earnings mix thanks to brokerage and service income, but short-term funding remains tight enough for caution.
Brokerage and service income are now large enough to reduce pure dependence on trading or margin.
Short-term funding structure is tight enough to become the most visible risk in the current capital posture.
Statement Data
| Item | 2025 | 2024 |
|---|---|---|
|
1.1. Gains from financial assets at fair value through profit or loss (FVTPL)
|
2,410.6 | 1,155.3 |
|
1.3. Interest income from loans and receivables
|
778.6 | 497.7 |
|
1.6. Revenue from brokerage services
|
360.4 | 238.0 |
|
Revenue from securities business (01->11)
|
3,668.5 | 1,991.3 |
|
Operating expenses (21->33)
|
1,579.0 | 566.0 |
|
Gross profit
|
2,089.6 | 1,425.3 |
|
Total financial income (41->44)
|
5.1 | 3.6 |
|
Total financial expenses (51->54)
|
281.9 | 63.2 |
|
VI. General and Administrative expenses
|
163.4 | 129.1 |
|
VII. Net profit from securities business (20+50-40-60-61-62)
|
1,649.3 | 1,236.5 |
|
IX. Profit before tax (70+80)
|
1,649.4 | 1,239.3 |
|
CORPORATE INCOME TAX
|
306.2 | 223.7 |
|
XI. Net profit after tax (90-100)
|
1,343.2 | 1,015.6 |
|
11.1. Profit after tax for shareholders of the parents company
|
1,343.2 | 1,015.6 |
|
Total other comprehensive income
|
851.1 | -48.0 |
|
13.1. Earning per share
|
1,500.00 | 1,249.00 |
|
Earnings per Share
|
1,430.89 | 1,147.16 |
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