VFS

Chứng khoán Nhất Việt ·HNX ·2026Q1

▲ MARGIN LENDING STRONG

Margin lending strong Lending share 51.5%, ROAE 8.5%
Price
11,700
Latest close
02 Jun 2026
EPS TTM (TTM) 1,040
BVPS (Latest) 12,562
P/E (Price/EPS) 11.3x
P/B (Price/BVPS) 0.9x
ROAE TTM (TTM) 8.5%
PBT Margin (TTM) 32.6%
Trading Share (Mix) 21.4%
Service & Brokerage Share (Mix) 27.2%
Equity / Assets (Latest) 41.9%
Leverage (Latest) 1.4x

Securities House Picture

On a TTM basis through 2026Q1, pre-tax profit is currently about 178.0bn, equivalent to a pre-tax margin of 32.6%, showing a relatively clean and sufficiently thick earnings base, while margin has narrowed by 19.6pp, pointing to greater pressure on earnings quality. The revenue mix is now leaning more toward lending at 51.5% but narrowing by 1.3pp, while trading is at 21.4%; brokerage and services have reached 27.2% and improved by +1.1pp, making diversification more visible. On the balance sheet, Equity / Assets is 41.9% while Leverage is about 1.38x, indicating that buffers and funding are not yet truly roomy, with buffers thickening and leverage easing further.

Trading
Doanh thu 278 tỷ
+82,5%
Lãi thuần 252 tỷ
+64,3%
Margin lending
Doanh thu 175 tỷ
+66,3%
Dư nợ 1.903 tỷ
+66,0%
Brokerage
Doanh thu 77,0 tỷ
+58,5%
Lãi thuần 15,0 tỷ
+79,4%
Metric Q1'26 Q4'25 Q3'25 Q2'25 Q1'25 Q4'24 Q3'24 Q2'24 Q1'24
PBT 31.9 53.6 48.9 43.6 39.7 47.8 36.9 37.5 33.9
Trading Share 28.8% 20.9% 15.9% 19.5% 18.8% 39.9% 18.6% 0.0% 30.6%
Lending Share 51.9% 44.7% 55.1% 56.3% 56.6% 41.0% 54.6% 62.2% 41.8%
Service & Brokerage Share 19.3% 34.4% 29.0% 24.2% 24.7% 19.1% 26.8% 37.8% 27.6%
PBT Margin 24.53% 33.10% 34.48% 38.90% 42.55% 50.55% 51.42% 74.65% 54.34%
Equity / Assets 41.9% 37.2% 26.5% 27.4% 35.7% 42.7% 47.2% 58.3% 69.6%
Leverage 1.38x 1.69x 2.77x 2.65x 1.80x 1.34x 1.12x 0.71x 0.44x

Drivers of VFS's profit

TTM

Net profit attributable to parent increased vs last year, mainly helped by higher trading. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Trading +VND 98.4bn
Margin lending +VND 69.9bn
Other fees +VND 12.1bn
Brokerage +VND 6.6bn
Total costs −VND 171bn
Tax −VND 3.2bn
TTM

Net profit attributable to parent declined vs prior quarter, mainly due to higher total costs. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Margin lending +VND 20.6bn
Tax +VND 1.5bn
Total costs −VND 24.5bn
Trading −VND 2.7bn
Brokerage −VND 1.8bn

Financial Highlights

Detailed analysis of each financial dimension

Is revenue sustainable?

very positive positive stable watch under pressure

Revenue Mix & Earnings Engine

Where are current earnings coming from?

Current earnings lean more heavily on margin lending, so the quality of the revenue engine should be read together with margin-book dependence.

Margin income currently accounts for about 51.5%, trading is at 21.4%, brokerage and services together remain around 27.2% of the engine mix.

When lending is the main engine, headline quality depends more heavily on margin-book safety and funding cost.

Revaluation does not fully dominate trading income at this stage.

The mix is still fairly readable for now, but case durability will depend on whether brokerage and services keep thickening.

Key risks

Key signals

Securities business revenue 546.0bn +76.3% YoY
PBT margin 32.6% −19.6pp
Lending Share 51.5% −1.3pp
Brokerage Share 22.6% −1.7pp
Revaluation / Trading 33.9% +19.6pp

TTM YoY · 2026Q1

Profitability Quality & Volatility

How strong is current profitability, and how durable is it?

Profitability currently looks relatively clean, with margins and returns strong enough not to rely heavily on unusual support.

Pre-tax margin is currently 32.6%, Return on assets is about 3.3%, provisions equal -0.1% of pre-tax profit, revaluation accounts for 13.9% of pre-tax profit.

Headline profit is still fairly readable because returns are not being materially distorted by less durable support.

Profit appears cleaner and less dependent on revaluation.

Provisioning is not currently the main drag on profit.

Key risks

Key signals

PBT margin 32.6% −19.6pp
Net margin 26.1% −15.7pp
ROAA 3.3% +0.2pp
ROAE 8.5% +0.7pp
Revaluation / PBT 13.9%

TTM YoY · 2026Q1

Are assets at risk?

Balance Sheet Quality & Asset Composition

Where is the balance sheet exposed, and how resilient does it look?

The balance sheet is leaning more toward the margin book, so growth quality depends meaningfully on the safety of loans and receivables.

The margin book is about 45.4% of assets, the prop book about 6.0%, liquid assets around 44.8%, equity roughly 41.9%.

A high margin-book share makes the balance sheet more sensitive to asset quality and funding cost.

The margin book is larger than the prop book.

Capital buffer is not the main weakness for now, so the key reading point shifts to which assets are driving the balance sheet.

Key risks

Margin-book concentration risk

Loans and receivables are large enough to make the balance sheet more sensitive to asset quality and funding cost.

Key signals

Margin book / Assets 45.4% +20.1pp
Prop book / Assets 6.0% −2.3pp
Liquid assets / Assets 44.8% −19.9pp
Equity / Assets 41.9% +6.3pp
Liabilities / Equity 1.38x −0.42x

Quarterly YoY · 2026Q1

Is leverage safe?

Capital, Funding & Risk Posture

Are capital buffers and funding posture sufficiently safe?

Short-term funding is the tighter part of the balance sheet, even if the case is not yet in outright capital stress.

Equity currently equals 41.9% of assets, liabilities stand at 1.38x of equity, short-term borrowings are about 57.0% of assets, cash covers roughly 0.06x of short-term borrowings.

The point that needs the closest reading now is short-term funding structure rather than the earnings headline.

Risk is coming more from short-term funding, so the key reading point is not just borrowing size but cash and liquid-asset cover.

Liquidity buffer remains relatively better than short-term funding needs.

Key risks

Short-term funding pressure

Short-term borrowings or cash coverage are in a range that creates more pressure on funding and liquidity posture.

Key signals

Equity / Assets 41.9% +6.3pp
Liabilities / Equity 1.38x −0.42x
Short-term borrowings / Assets 57.0% −6.4pp
Liquid assets / Assets 31.6% −14.3pp
Cash / Short-term borrowings 0.06x

Quarterly YoY · 2026Q1

Investment Takeaway

Overall, VFS is showing a more balanced earnings mix thanks to brokerage and service income, but short-term funding remains tight enough for caution.

Brokerage and service income are now large enough to reduce pure dependence on trading or margin.

Short-term funding structure is tight enough to become the most visible risk in the current capital posture.

Statement Data

Item 2025 2024
1.1. Gains from financial assets at fair value through profit or loss (FVTPL)
56.4 50.6
1.3. Interest income from loans and receivables
154.6 96.6
1.6. Revenue from brokerage services
71.9 48.8
Revenue from securities business (01->11)
509.1 278.9
Operating expenses (21->33)
86.9 60.2
Gross profit
422.2 218.8
Total financial income (41->44)
0.9 14.7
Total financial expenses (51->54)
186.3 43.5
VI. General and Administrative expenses
50.9 33.9
VII. Net profit from securities business (20+50-40-60-61-62)
185.9 156.1
IX. Profit before tax (70+80)
185.8 156.1
CORPORATE INCOME TAX
36.8 30.9
XI. Net profit after tax (90-100)
149.0 125.2
11.1. Profit after tax for shareholders of the parents company
149.0 125.2
13.1. Earning per share
1,069.00 979.00
Earnings per Share
1,064.18 1,043.10

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