DSE

Chứng khoán DNSE ·HOSE ·2026Q1

● PROVISION HEAVY

Provision drag PBT margin 17.9%, -5.8% YoY
Price
22,200
Latest close
02 Jun 2026
EPS TTM (TTM) 589
BVPS (Latest) 10,390
P/E (Price/EPS) 37.7x
P/B (Price/BVPS) 2.1x
ROAE TTM (TTM) 4.9%
PBT Margin (TTM) 17.9%
Trading Share (Mix) 14.0%
Service & Brokerage Share (Mix) 38.9%
Equity / Assets (Latest) 34.4%
Leverage (Latest) 1.9x

Securities House Picture

On a TTM basis through 2026Q1, pre-tax profit is currently about 287.9bn, equivalent to a pre-tax margin of 17.9%, but earnings quality is still being dragged down by provisioning, while margin has narrowed by 5.8pp, pointing to greater pressure on earnings quality. The revenue mix is now leaning more toward lending at 47.2% but narrowing by 16.7pp, while trading is at 14.0%; brokerage and services have reached 38.9% and improved by +10.9pp, making diversification more visible. On the balance sheet, Equity / Assets is 34.4% while Leverage is about 1.90x, indicating that buffers and funding are not yet truly roomy, but buffers have thinned while leverage has risen further.

Trading
Doanh thu 509 tỷ
+65,4%
Lãi thuần 447 tỷ
+68,1%
Margin lending
Doanh thu 600 tỷ
+53,7%
Dư nợ 5.910 tỷ
+38,2%
Brokerage
Doanh thu 475 tỷ
+193,4%
Lãi thuần −67,0 tỷ
−87,6%
Metric Q1'26 Q4'25 Q3'25 Q2'25 Q1'25 Q4'24 Q3'24 Q2'24 Q1'24
PBT 14.2 11.7 171.1 91.0 66.5 41.5 55.5 42.7 87.7
Trading Share 7.9% 15.4% 17.6% 12.8% 10.1% 7.6% 7.2% 7.0% 12.8%
Lending Share 49.7% 45.2% 42.4% 53.8% 60.0% 65.9% 67.4% 62.8% 59.6%
Service & Brokerage Share 42.4% 39.4% 40.0% 33.4% 29.9% 26.5% 25.4% 30.2% 27.5%
PBT Margin 3.59% 2.68% 34.95% 31.36% 27.31% 17.76% 28.64% 21.56% 48.33%
Equity / Assets 34.4% 28.4% 30.6% 34.9% 36.6% 37.9% 40.1% 46.3% 46.0%
Leverage 1.90x 2.52x 2.26x 1.87x 1.73x 1.64x 1.50x 1.16x 1.17x

Drivers of DSE's profit

TTM

Net profit attributable to parent increased vs last year, mainly helped by higher margin lending. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Margin lending +VND 210bn
Trading +VND 181bn
Other fees +VND 16.7bn
Total costs −VND 294bn
Brokerage −VND 31.3bn
Tax −VND 15.6bn
TTM

Net profit attributable to parent declined vs prior quarter, mainly due to higher total costs. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Margin lending +VND 43.8bn
Tax +VND 10.5bn
Total costs −VND 90.9bn
Brokerage −VND 6.0bn

Financial Highlights

Detailed analysis of each financial dimension

Is revenue sustainable?

very positive positive stable watch under pressure

Revenue Mix & Earnings Engine

Where are current earnings coming from?

Current earnings lean more heavily on margin lending, so the quality of the revenue engine should be read together with margin-book dependence.

Margin income currently accounts for about 47.2%, trading is at 14.0%, brokerage and services together remain around 38.9% of the engine mix.

When lending is the main engine, headline quality depends more heavily on margin-book safety and funding cost.

Revaluation is currently only a small component and not a headline driver.

The revenue headline should be read together with leakage into provisioning and net margin, not just the surface mix.

Key risks

Provision drag is eroding revenue

Provision load is large enough relative to revenue to weaken the quality of the earnings engine.

Key signals

Securities business revenue 1,609.7bn +85.2% YoY
PBT margin 17.9% −5.8pp
Lending Share 47.2% −16.7pp
Brokerage Share 37.3% +10.8pp
Provisions / Revenue 25.7% −2.4pp

TTM YoY · 2026Q1

Profitability Quality & Volatility

How strong is current profitability, and how durable is it?

Profit remains positive, but quality is no longer clean because provisioning is materially eroding headline returns.

Pre-tax margin is currently 17.9%, Return on assets is about 1.7%, provisions equal 143.7% of pre-tax profit, revaluation accounts for -2.7% of pre-tax profit.

Headline profit needs a discount because provisioning is eating into core returns.

Profit appears cleaner and less dependent on revaluation.

Provisioning is a meaningful drag on profit.

Key risks

Provision drag remains meaningful

Provision load relative to PBT is high enough to weigh on profitability quality.

Return profile remains weak

ROAA or ROAE remains in a weak range, leaving profitability on an insufficient base.

Key signals

PBT margin 17.9% −5.8pp
Net margin 14.3% −4.6pp
ROAA 1.7% +0.4pp
ROAE 4.9% +0.9pp
Provisions / PBT 143.7% +25.3pp

TTM YoY · 2026Q1

Are assets at risk?

Balance Sheet Quality & Asset Composition

Where is the balance sheet exposed, and how resilient does it look?

The balance sheet is leaning more toward the prop book, making market-valuation sensitivity a key issue to monitor.

The margin book is about 38.0% of assets, the prop book about 9.7%, liquid assets around 49.2%, equity roughly 34.4%.

A high prop-book share lets market-valuation swings flow more directly into the balance sheet.

The margin book is larger than the prop book.

Capital buffer is not the main weakness for now, so the key reading point shifts to which assets are driving the balance sheet.

Key risks

Margin-book concentration risk

Loans and receivables are large enough to make the balance sheet more sensitive to asset quality and funding cost.

Key signals

Margin book / Assets 38.0% −0.3pp
Prop book / Assets 9.7% +4.7pp
Liquid assets / Assets 49.2% −1.5pp
Equity / Assets 34.4% −2.2pp
Liabilities / Equity 1.90x +0.17x

Quarterly YoY · 2026Q1

Is leverage safe?

Capital, Funding & Risk Posture

Are capital buffers and funding posture sufficiently safe?

Short-term funding is the tighter part of the balance sheet, even if the case is not yet in outright capital stress.

Equity currently equals 34.4% of assets, liabilities stand at 1.90x of equity, short-term borrowings are about 55.9% of assets, cash covers roughly 0.09x of short-term borrowings.

The point that needs the closest reading now is short-term funding structure rather than the earnings headline.

Risk is coming more from short-term funding, so the key reading point is not just borrowing size but cash and liquid-asset cover.

Liquidity buffer remains relatively better than short-term funding needs.

Key risks

Short-term funding pressure

Short-term borrowings or cash coverage are in a range that creates more pressure on funding and liquidity posture.

Key signals

Equity / Assets 34.4% −2.2pp
Liabilities / Equity 1.90x +0.17x
Short-term borrowings / Assets 55.9% −3.8pp
Liquid assets / Assets 35.1% +1.2pp
Cash / Short-term borrowings 0.09x

Quarterly YoY · 2026Q1

Investment Takeaway

Overall, DSE is showing a more balanced earnings mix thanks to brokerage and service income, but funding or capital risk still calls for caution.

Brokerage and service income are now large enough to reduce pure dependence on trading or margin.

Profit is still positive, but provisioning is large enough to make earnings durability less certain.

Profitability does not currently show a sufficiently durable base to be read as a clean case.

Statement Data

Item 2025 2024
1.1. Gains from financial assets at fair value through profit or loss (FVTPL)
171.4 47.9
1.3. Interest income from loans and receivables
555.8 360.5
1.6. Revenue from brokerage services
404.0 144.8
Revenue from securities business (01->11)
1,457.9 807.4
Operating expenses (21->33)
877.2 419.5
Gross profit
580.7 387.9
Total financial income (41->44)
7.5 5.6
Total financial expenses (51->54)
67.6 28.1
VI. General and Administrative expenses
181.4 151.9
VII. Net profit from securities business (20+50-40-60-61-62)
339.3 213.5
IX. Profit before tax (70+80)
340.2 227.5
CORPORATE INCOME TAX
67.7 45.7
XI. Net profit after tax (90-100)
272.5 181.8
11.1. Profit after tax for shareholders of the parents company
272.5 181.8
13.1. Earning per share
748.00 556.00
Earnings per Share
703.72 550.82

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