TCX

Chứng khoán Kỹ Thương ·HOSE ·2026Q1

▲▲ MARGIN LENDING STRONG

Margin lending strong Lending share 37.7%, ROAE 16.0%
Price
40,300
Latest close
03 Jun 2026
EPS TTM (TTM) 2,061
BVPS (Latest) 14,230
P/E (Price/EPS) 19.6x
P/B (Price/BVPS) 2.8x
ROAE TTM (TTM) 16.0%
PBT Margin (TTM) 60.6%
Trading Share (Mix) 32.7%
Service & Brokerage Share (Mix) 29.6%
Equity / Assets (Latest) 51.3%
Leverage (Latest) 1.0x

Securities House Picture

On a TTM basis through 2026Q1, pre-tax profit is currently about 7,257.3bn, equivalent to a pre-tax margin of 60.6%, showing a relatively clean and sufficiently thick earnings base, while margin has narrowed by 1.7pp, pointing to greater pressure on earnings quality. The revenue mix is now leaning more toward lending at 37.7% but narrowing by 0.4pp, while trading is at 32.7%; brokerage and services are still 29.6% but have narrowed by 0.3pp, so diversification needs closer monitoring. On the balance sheet, Equity / Assets is 51.3% while Leverage is about 0.95x, indicating a still relatively balanced capital posture, with buffers thickening and leverage easing further.

Trading
Doanh thu 4.423 tỷ
+48,4%
Lãi thuần 3.797 tỷ
+36,1%
Margin lending
Doanh thu 4.224 tỷ
+51,9%
Dư nợ 44.754 tỷ
+46,9%
Brokerage
Doanh thu 1.071 tỷ
+76,2%
Lãi thuần 618 tỷ
+71,9%
Metric Q1'26 Q4'25 Q3'25 Q2'25 Q1'25 Q4'24 Q3'24 Q2'24 Q1'24
PBT 1,458.4 2,041.4 2,024.4 1,733.1 1,309.8 932.8 1,097.1 1,611.9 1,160.3
Trading Share 20.7% 36.9% 38.6% 33.1% 28.5% 36.4% 28.7% 34.2% 39.6%
Lending Share 47.7% 37.0% 33.4% 33.2% 39.9% 40.6% 41.7% 31.2% 35.8%
Service & Brokerage Share 31.6% 26.2% 28.0% 33.6% 31.6% 23.0% 29.6% 34.6% 24.5%
PBT Margin 52.40% 60.66% 63.98% 65.15% 64.58% 50.61% 59.47% 72.17% 68.51%
Equity / Assets 51.3% 54.7% 51.9% 46.2% 48.5% 49.4% 51.3% 47.4% 52.0%
Leverage 0.95x 0.83x 0.93x 1.17x 1.06x 1.02x 0.95x 1.11x 0.92x

Drivers of TCX's profit

TTM

Net profit attributable to parent increased vs last year, mainly helped by higher margin lending. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Margin lending +VND 1,443bn
Trading +VND 1,006bn
Other fees +VND 673bn
Brokerage +VND 259bn
Total costs −VND 1,076bn
Tax −VND 417bn
TTM

Net profit attributable to parent increased vs prior quarter, mainly helped by higher margin lending. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Margin lending +VND 497bn
Other fees +VND 120bn
Brokerage +VND 52.3bn
Total costs −VND 352bn
Trading −VND 169bn

Financial Highlights

Detailed analysis of each financial dimension

Is revenue sustainable?

very positive positive stable watch under pressure

Revenue Mix & Earnings Engine

Where are current earnings coming from?

Lending edges ahead only slightly in the earnings engine while trading remains close behind, so the durability of the case depends on both margin-book quality and the trading engine.

Margin income currently accounts for about 37.7%, trading is at 32.7%, brokerage and services together remain around 29.6% of the engine mix.

When lending is the main engine, headline quality depends more heavily on margin-book safety and funding cost.

Revaluation is currently only a small component and not a headline driver.

The mix is still fairly readable for now, but case durability will depend on whether brokerage and services keep thickening.

Key risks

Key signals

Securities business revenue 11,972.5bn +50.6% YoY
PBT margin 60.6% −1.7pp
Lending Share 37.7% −0.4pp
Brokerage Share 9.5% +1.2pp
Other Fee Share 20.1% −1.5pp

TTM YoY · 2026Q1

Profitability Quality & Volatility

How strong is current profitability, and how durable is it?

Profitability currently looks relatively clean, with margins and returns strong enough not to rely heavily on unusual support.

Pre-tax margin is currently 60.6%, Return on assets is about 8.0%, provisions equal 0.0% of pre-tax profit, revaluation accounts for 0.1% of pre-tax profit.

Headline profit is still fairly readable because returns are not being materially distorted by less durable support.

Profit appears cleaner and less dependent on revaluation.

Provisioning is not currently the main drag on profit.

Key risks

Key signals

PBT margin 60.6% −1.7pp
Net margin 48.6% −0.8pp
ROAA 8.0% +2.2pp
ROAE 16.0% +4.8pp

TTM YoY · 2026Q1

Are assets at risk?

Balance Sheet Quality & Asset Composition

Where is the balance sheet exposed, and how resilient does it look?

The balance sheet is leaning more toward the margin book, so growth quality depends meaningfully on the safety of loans and receivables.

The margin book is about 50.5% of assets, the prop book about 0.1%, liquid assets around 8.2%, equity roughly 51.3%.

A high margin-book share makes the balance sheet more sensitive to asset quality and funding cost.

The margin book is larger than the prop book.

Capital buffer is not the main weakness for now, so the key reading point shifts to which assets are driving the balance sheet.

Key risks

Margin-book concentration risk

Loans and receivables are large enough to make the balance sheet more sensitive to asset quality and funding cost.

Key signals

Margin book / Assets 50.5% −3.6pp
Prop book / Assets 0.1%
Liquid assets / Assets 8.2% −1.8pp
Equity / Assets 51.3% +2.8pp
Liabilities / Equity 0.95x −0.11x

Quarterly YoY · 2026Q1

Is leverage safe?

Capital, Funding & Risk Posture

Are capital buffers and funding posture sufficiently safe?

Capital and funding posture looks more balanced for now, though the effective thickness of liquidity buffers still needs monitoring.

Equity currently equals 51.3% of assets, liabilities stand at 0.95x of equity, short-term borrowings are about 42.1% of assets, cash covers roughly 0.15x of short-term borrowings.

Capital and funding are mainly acting as a buffer for the case, rather than the main source of headline distortion.

When funding and liquidity remain adequate, capital posture works more as a buffer than a veto point.

Liquidity buffer looks adequate for now, though it still needs monitoring as funding structure shifts.

Key risks

Key signals

Equity / Assets 51.3% +2.8pp
Liabilities / Equity 0.95x −0.11x
Short-term borrowings / Assets 42.1% +1.0pp
Liquid assets / Assets 7.8% −1.4pp
Cash / Short-term borrowings 0.15x

Quarterly YoY · 2026Q1

Investment Takeaway

Overall, TCX is showing a more balanced earnings mix thanks to brokerage and service income, making it cleaner than a pure trading-led case.

Brokerage and service income are now large enough to reduce pure dependence on trading or margin.

When earnings lean heavily on margin lending, margin-book asset quality and funding need closer monitoring.

Statement Data

Item 2025 2024
1.1. Gains from financial assets at fair value through profit or loss (FVTPL)
3,669.5 2,449.7
1.3. Interest income from loans and receivables
3,727.5 2,621.9
1.6. Revenue from brokerage services
957.6 600.9
Revenue from securities business (01->11)
11,217.4 7,615.3
Operating expenses (21->33)
1,213.6 695.5
Gross profit
10,003.9 6,919.8
Total financial income (41->44)
46.1 26.5
Total financial expenses (51->54)
2,281.9 1,577.1
VI. General and Administrative expenses
659.0 566.9
VII. Net profit from securities business (20+50-40-60-61-62)
7,109.1 4,802.4
IX. Profit before tax (70+80)
7,108.7 4,802.1
CORPORATE INCOME TAX
1,425.4 952.4
XI. Net profit after tax (90-100)
5,683.3 3,849.7
11.1. Profit after tax for shareholders of the parents company
5,683.3 3,849.7
Total other comprehensive income
12.4 11.6
13.1. Earning per share
2,713.00 8,716.00
Earnings per Share
1,791.72 1,962.81

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