IVS

Chứng khoán Guotai Junan (Việt Nam) ·HNX ·2026Q1

▲ MARGIN BOOK SWELLING

Margin book swelling Loans/Assets 53.4%, leverage 0.28x
Price
7,000
Latest close
02 Jun 2026
EPS TTM (TTM) 178
BVPS (Latest) 10,621
P/E (Price/EPS) 39.4x
P/B (Price/BVPS) 0.7x
ROAE TTM (TTM) 1.7%
PBT Margin (TTM) 22.0%
Trading Share (Mix) 0.0%
Service & Brokerage Share (Mix) 28.6%
Equity / Assets (Latest) 78.4%
Leverage (Latest) 0.3x

Securities House Picture

On a TTM basis through 2026Q1, pre-tax profit is currently about 26.3bn, equivalent to a pre-tax margin of 22.0%, showing an earnings base that is still positive but not yet clearly standout, while margin has narrowed by 3.7pp, pointing to greater pressure on earnings quality. The revenue mix is now leaning more toward lending at 71.4% after expanding by +2.1pp, while trading is at 0.0%; brokerage and services are still 28.6% but have narrowed by 2.1pp, so diversification needs closer monitoring. On the balance sheet, Equity / Assets is 78.4% while Leverage is about 0.28x, indicating that buffers and funding are not yet truly roomy, but equity buffers have weakened year on year.

Trading
Doanh thu 38,6 tỷ
+94,5%
Lãi thuần 38,6 tỷ
+94,5%
Margin lending
Doanh thu 57,0 tỷ
+53,3%
Dư nợ 808 tỷ
+81,1%
Brokerage
Doanh thu 22,0 tỷ
+40,1%
Lãi thuần −1,55 tỷ
+65,8%
Metric Q1'26 Q4'25 Q3'25 Q2'25 Q1'25 Q4'24 Q3'24 Q2'24 Q1'24
PBT 13.7 -4.1 5.4 11.3 5.2 1.9 5.7 6.2 7.7
Trading Share 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lending Share 77.6% 71.4% 65.3% 67.1% 75.6% 70.8% 67.8% 60.9% 59.6%
Service & Brokerage Share 22.4% 28.6% 34.7% 32.9% 24.4% 29.2% 32.2% 39.1% 40.4%
PBT Margin 44.24% -13.15% 17.64% 42.16% 28.17% 10.46% 30.53% 33.54% 40.25%
Equity / Assets 78.4% 76.3% 86.8% 83.1% 93.4% 85.0% 91.1% 93.4% 97.4%
Leverage 0.28x 0.31x 0.15x 0.20x 0.07x 0.18x 0.10x 0.07x 0.03x

Drivers of IVS's profit

TTM

Net profit attributable to parent increased vs last year, mainly helped by higher margin lending. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Margin lending +VND 19.8bn
Trading +VND 18.8bn
Brokerage +VND 3.0bn
Other fees +VND 0.5bn
Total costs −VND 34.8bn
Tax −VND 2.5bn
TTM

Net profit attributable to parent increased vs prior quarter, mainly helped by higher margin lending. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Margin lending +VND 6.8bn
Trading +VND 4.0bn
Total costs −VND 2.9bn
Tax −VND 1.7bn

Financial Highlights

Detailed analysis of each financial dimension

Is revenue sustainable?

very positive positive stable watch under pressure

Revenue Mix & Earnings Engine

Where are current earnings coming from?

Current earnings lean more heavily on margin lending, so the quality of the revenue engine should be read together with margin-book dependence.

Margin income currently accounts for about 71.4%, trading is at 0.0%, brokerage and services together remain around 28.6% of the engine mix.

When lending is the main engine, headline quality depends more heavily on margin-book safety and funding cost.

Revaluation is currently only a small component and not a headline driver.

The mix is still fairly readable for now, but case durability will depend on whether brokerage and services keep thickening.

Key risks

Key signals

Securities business revenue 119.4bn +61.3% YoY
PBT margin 22.0% −3.7pp
Lending Share 71.4% +2.1pp
Brokerage Share 27.6% −1.7pp

Annual YoY · 2026Q1

Profitability Quality & Volatility

How strong is current profitability, and how durable is it?

Profitability still holds on a positive base, but the quality and durability of returns are not yet strong enough to read as a clearly robust case.

Pre-tax margin is currently 22.0%, Return on assets is about 1.4%, revaluation accounts for 0.0% of pre-tax profit.

Headline profit still needs to be read together with what is creating it and how thick returns really are.

Profit appears cleaner and less dependent on revaluation.

Provisioning is not currently the main drag on profit.

Key risks

Return profile remains weak

ROAA or ROAE remains in a weak range, leaving profitability on an insufficient base.

Key signals

PBT margin 22.0% −3.7pp
Net margin 16.6% −3.8pp
ROAA 1.4% +0.2pp
ROAE 1.7% +0.1pp

TTM YoY · 2026Q1

Are assets at risk?

Balance Sheet Quality & Asset Composition

Where is the balance sheet exposed, and how resilient does it look?

The balance sheet is leaning more toward the margin book, so growth quality depends meaningfully on the safety of loans and receivables.

The margin book is about 53.4% of assets, the prop book about 2.2%, liquid assets around 41.7%, equity roughly 78.4%.

A high margin-book share makes the balance sheet more sensitive to asset quality and funding cost.

The margin book is larger than the prop book.

Capital buffer is not the main weakness for now, so the key reading point shifts to which assets are driving the balance sheet.

Key risks

Margin-book concentration risk

Loans and receivables are large enough to make the balance sheet more sensitive to asset quality and funding cost.

Key signals

Margin book / Assets 53.4% +17.9pp
Prop book / Assets 2.2%
Liquid assets / Assets 41.7% −17.6pp
Equity / Assets 78.4% −14.9pp
Liabilities / Equity 0.28x

Quarterly YoY · 2026Q1

Is leverage safe?

Capital, Funding & Risk Posture

Are capital buffers and funding posture sufficiently safe?

Short-term funding is the tighter part of the balance sheet, even if the case is not yet in outright capital stress.

Equity currently equals 78.4% of assets, liabilities stand at 0.28x of equity, short-term borrowings are about 21.1% of assets, cash covers roughly 0.00x of short-term borrowings.

The point that needs the closest reading now is short-term funding structure rather than the earnings headline.

Risk is coming more from short-term funding, so the key reading point is not just borrowing size but cash and liquid-asset cover.

Liquidity buffer remains relatively better than short-term funding needs.

Key risks

Short-term funding pressure

Short-term borrowings or cash coverage are in a range that creates more pressure on funding and liquidity posture.

Key signals

Equity / Assets 78.4% −14.9pp
Liabilities / Equity 0.28x
Short-term borrowings / Assets 21.1% +14.9pp
Liquid assets / Assets 41.7% −17.6pp
Cash / Short-term borrowings 0.00x −1.27x

Quarterly YoY · 2026Q1

Investment Takeaway

Overall, IVS is showing a more balanced earnings mix thanks to brokerage and service income, but funding or capital risk still calls for caution.

Brokerage and service income are now large enough to reduce pure dependence on trading or margin.

When earnings lean heavily on margin lending, margin-book asset quality and funding need closer monitoring.

Profitability does not currently show a sufficiently durable base to be read as a clean case.

Statement Data

Item 2025 2024
1.1. Gains from financial assets at fair value through profit or loss (FVTPL)
0.0 0.0
1.3. Interest income from loans and receivables
50.2 35.8
1.6. Revenue from brokerage services
20.7 17.1
Revenue from securities business (01->11)
107.0 74.8
Operating expenses (21->33)
25.7 21.5
Gross profit
81.3 53.3
Total financial income (41->44)
0.3 0.0
Total financial expenses (51->54)
9.4 2.2
VI. General and Administrative expenses
54.3 29.5
VII. Net profit from securities business (20+50-40-60-61-62)
17.9 21.5
IX. Profit before tax (70+80)
17.9 21.5
CORPORATE INCOME TAX
4.8 4.4
XI. Net profit after tax (90-100)
13.1 17.1
11.1. Profit after tax for shareholders of the parents company
13.1 17.1
13.1. Earning per share
132.00 247.00
13.2. Diluted earning per share
132.00 163.00
Earnings per Share
117.00 237.17

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