PSI

Chứng khoán Dầu khí ·HNX ·2026Q1

● FUNDING UNDER PRESSURE

Funding under pressure L/E 4.31x
Price
8,800
Latest close
02 Jun 2026
EPS TTM (TTM) 995
BVPS (Latest) 12,442
P/E (Price/EPS) 8.8x
P/B (Price/BVPS) 0.7x
ROAE TTM (TTM) 8.3%
PBT Margin (TTM) 15.2%
Trading Share (Mix) 28.7%
Service & Brokerage Share (Mix) 28.7%
Equity / Assets (Latest) 18.8%
Leverage (Latest) 4.3x

Securities House Picture

On a TTM basis through 2026Q1, pre-tax profit is currently about 77.7bn, equivalent to a pre-tax margin of 15.2%, showing an earnings base that is still positive but not yet clearly standout, with margin also improving by +6.1pp, pointing to better earnings quality. The revenue mix is now leaning more toward lending at 42.6% but narrowing by 4.2pp, while trading is at 28.7%; brokerage and services have reached 28.7% and improved by +0.9pp, making diversification more visible. On the balance sheet, Equity / Assets is 18.8% while Leverage is about 4.31x, indicating that buffers and funding are not yet truly roomy, but buffers have thinned while leverage has risen further.

Trading
Doanh thu 189 tỷ
+58,2%
Lãi thuần 84,7 tỷ
+51,2%
Margin lending
Doanh thu 191 tỷ
+35,3%
Dư nợ 1.627 tỷ
+6,2%
Margin/equity 209.3% — above cap 200%, capital raise needed
Brokerage
Doanh thu 97,7 tỷ
+105,7%
Lãi thuần 0,56 tỷ
+102,3%
Metric Q1'26 Q4'25 Q3'25 Q2'25 Q1'25 Q4'24 Q3'24 Q2'24 Q1'24
PBT 32.4 8.4 24.8 12.1 10.1 7.3 4.4 9.7 12.6
Trading Share 32.0% 13.5% 27.2% 39.9% 32.4% 15.1% 30.2% 22.1% 31.8%
Lending Share 42.0% 53.8% 41.8% 34.6% 43.7% 49.6% 42.7% 52.1% 43.9%
Service & Brokerage Share 26.0% 32.7% 31.0% 25.5% 24.0% 35.3% 27.0% 25.8% 24.3%
PBT Margin 25.23% 7.46% 18.49% 8.98% 10.63% 9.20% 5.21% 11.26% 13.60%
Equity / Assets 18.8% 24.1% 21.4% 22.9% 24.7% 27.3% 26.9% 24.4% 28.9%
Leverage 4.31x 3.16x 3.67x 3.37x 3.05x 2.67x 2.72x 3.10x 2.46x

Drivers of PSI's profit

TTM

Net profit attributable to parent increased vs last year, mainly helped by higher margin lending. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Margin lending +VND 50.0bn
Trading +VND 29.2bn
Brokerage +VND 24.6bn
Total costs −VND 52.2bn
Tax −VND 8.4bn
Other fees −VND 5.4bn
TTM

Net profit attributable to parent increased vs prior quarter, mainly helped by lower total costs. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Total costs +VND 15.0bn
Trading +VND 12.7bn
Margin lending +VND 8.5bn
Brokerage −VND 11.9bn
Tax −VND 4.7bn
Other fees −VND 2.0bn

Financial Highlights

Detailed analysis of each financial dimension

Is revenue sustainable?

very positive positive stable watch under pressure

Revenue Mix & Earnings Engine

Where are current earnings coming from?

Current earnings lean more heavily on margin lending, so the quality of the revenue engine should be read together with margin-book dependence.

Margin income currently accounts for about 42.6%, trading is at 28.7%, brokerage and services together remain around 28.7% of the engine mix.

When lending is the main engine, headline quality depends more heavily on margin-book safety and funding cost.

Revaluation does not fully dominate trading income at this stage.

The mix is still fairly readable for now, but case durability will depend on whether brokerage and services keep thickening.

Key risks

Key signals

Securities business revenue 510.1bn +47.7% YoY
PBT margin 15.2% +6.1pp
Lending Share 42.6% −4.2pp
Brokerage Share 21.8% +6.0pp
Other Fee Share 6.9% −5.1pp

TTM YoY · 2026Q1

Profitability Quality & Volatility

How strong is current profitability, and how durable is it?

Profitability still holds on a positive base, but the quality and durability of returns are not yet strong enough to read as a clearly robust case.

Pre-tax margin is currently 15.2%, Return on assets is about 1.8%, provisions equal 7.1% of pre-tax profit, revaluation accounts for 13.2% of pre-tax profit.

Headline profit still needs to be read together with what is creating it and how thick returns really are.

Profit appears cleaner and less dependent on revaluation.

Provisioning is not currently the main drag on profit.

Key risks

Key signals

PBT margin 15.2% +6.1pp
Net margin 12.2% +5.1pp
ROAA 1.8% +0.9pp
ROAE 8.3% +5.0pp
Revaluation / PBT 13.2% −11.7pp

TTM YoY · 2026Q1

Are assets at risk?

Balance Sheet Quality & Asset Composition

Where is the balance sheet exposed, and how resilient does it look?

The balance sheet is leaning more toward the prop book, making market-valuation sensitivity a key issue to monitor.

The margin book is about 39.4% of assets, the prop book about 10.3%, liquid assets around 43.4%, equity roughly 18.8%.

A high prop-book share lets market-valuation swings flow more directly into the balance sheet.

The margin book is larger than the prop book.

Capital buffer is not the main weakness for now, so the key reading point shifts to which assets are driving the balance sheet.

Key risks

Margin-book concentration risk

Loans and receivables are large enough to make the balance sheet more sensitive to asset quality and funding cost.

Key signals

Margin book / Assets 39.4% −13.4pp
Prop book / Assets 10.3% +4.1pp
Liquid assets / Assets 43.4% +13.8pp
Equity / Assets 18.8% −5.8pp
Liabilities / Equity 4.31x +1.26x

Quarterly YoY · 2026Q1

Is leverage safe?

Capital, Funding & Risk Posture

Are capital buffers and funding posture sufficiently safe?

Short-term funding is the tighter part of the balance sheet, even if the case is not yet in outright capital stress.

Equity currently equals 18.8% of assets, liabilities stand at 4.31x of equity, short-term borrowings are about 61.8% of assets, cash covers roughly 0.09x of short-term borrowings.

The point that needs the closest reading now is short-term funding structure rather than the earnings headline.

Risk is coming more from short-term funding, so the key reading point is not just borrowing size but cash and liquid-asset cover.

Liquidity buffer remains relatively better than short-term funding needs.

Key risks

Short-term funding pressure

Short-term borrowings or cash coverage are in a range that creates more pressure on funding and liquidity posture.

Leverage remains elevated

Liabilities-to-equity remains high, making capital posture more sensitive to earnings and asset-valuation swings.

Key signals

Equity / Assets 18.8% −5.8pp
Liabilities / Equity 4.31x +1.26x
Short-term borrowings / Assets 61.8% −2.6pp
Liquid assets / Assets 43.4% +13.8pp
Cash / Short-term borrowings 0.09x

Quarterly YoY · 2026Q1

Investment Takeaway

Overall, PSI is showing a more balanced earnings mix thanks to brokerage and service income, but short-term funding remains tight enough for caution.

Brokerage and service income are now large enough to reduce pure dependence on trading or margin.

Short-term funding structure is tight enough to become the most visible risk in the current capital posture.

Statement Data

Item 2025 2024
1.1. Gains from financial assets at fair value through profit or loss (FVTPL)
121.6 80.4
1.3. Interest income from loans and receivables
182.8 141.5
1.6. Revenue from brokerage services
87.8 49.5
Revenue from securities business (01->11)
477.1 343.5
Operating expenses (21->33)
242.8 168.1
Gross profit
234.3 175.5
Total financial income (41->44)
1.7 2.2
Total financial expenses (51->54)
113.7 93.8
VI. General and Administrative expenses
66.2 50.1
VII. Net profit from securities business (20+50-40-60-61-62)
56.1 33.7
IX. Profit before tax (70+80)
55.4 33.2
CORPORATE INCOME TAX
10.9 7.3
XI. Net profit after tax (90-100)
44.6 25.9
11.1. Profit after tax for shareholders of the parents company
44.6 25.9
13.1. Earning per share
745.00 433.00
Earnings per Share
714.07 414.75

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