VCI
Chứng khoán Vietcap ·HOSE ·2026Q1
▲▲ TRADING-LED STRONG
Securities House Picture
On a TTM basis through 2026Q1, pre-tax profit is currently about 1,678.0bn, equivalent to a pre-tax margin of 30.3%, showing a relatively clean and sufficiently thick earnings base, while margin has narrowed by 2.2pp, pointing to greater pressure on earnings quality. The revenue mix still leans mainly on trading at 48.4% but narrowing by 2.3pp, while lending is at 26.6%; brokerage and services have reached 25.0% and improved by +2.7pp, making diversification more visible. On the balance sheet, Equity / Assets is 46.7% while Leverage is about 1.14x, indicating that buffers and funding are not yet truly roomy, but buffers have thinned while leverage has risen further.
| Metric | Q1'26 | Q4'25 | Q3'25 | Q2'25 | Q1'25 | Q4'24 | Q3'24 | Q2'24 | Q1'24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PBT | 403.9 | 543.7 | 518.9 | 211.5 | 355.1 | 253.3 | 264.7 | 343.8 | 227.5 |
| Trading Share | 39.5% | 52.3% | 49.0% | 54.3% | 45.2% | 49.1% | 57.0% | 50.7% | 48.9% |
| Lending Share | 32.5% | 26.2% | 22.9% | 24.2% | 32.7% | 27.9% | 22.0% | 26.5% | 25.0% |
| Service & Brokerage Share | 27.9% | 21.5% | 28.2% | 21.5% | 22.1% | 23.0% | 21.1% | 22.8% | 26.1% |
| PBT Margin | 28.72% | 35.62% | 35.96% | 18.24% | 41.73% | 25.36% | 27.17% | 37.54% | 28.22% |
| Equity / Assets | 46.7% | 50.0% | 42.6% | 56.8% | 53.0% | 48.7% | 42.3% | 38.3% | 41.8% |
| Leverage | 1.14x | 1.00x | 1.35x | 0.76x | 0.89x | 1.05x | 1.36x | 1.61x | 1.39x |
Drivers of VCI's profit
Net profit attributable to parent increased vs last year, mainly helped by higher margin lending. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Net profit attributable to parent increased vs prior quarter, mainly helped by higher brokerage. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Financial Highlights
Detailed analysis of each financial dimension
Is revenue sustainable?
Revenue Mix & Earnings Engine
Where are current earnings coming from?
Revenue remains tilted toward trading, but the quality of that engine still needs to be read alongside concentration and the real contribution from brokerage and services.
Trading currently accounts for about 48.4%, lending is at 26.6%, brokerage is around 23.2%, other services about 1.7%, brokerage plus services together are 25.0%.
Trading is still the main engine, but brokerage and services have become large enough to start providing a more tangible diversification layer.
Revaluation is currently only a small component and not a headline driver.
The mix is still fairly readable for now, but case durability will depend on whether brokerage and services keep thickening.
Key risks
Key signals
TTM YoY · 2026Q1
Profitability Quality & Volatility
How strong is current profitability, and how durable is it?
Profitability currently looks relatively clean, with margins and returns strong enough not to rely heavily on unusual support.
Pre-tax margin is currently 30.3%, Return on assets is about 4.6%, revaluation accounts for 0.6% of pre-tax profit.
Headline profit is still fairly readable because returns are not being materially distorted by less durable support.
Profit appears cleaner and less dependent on revaluation.
Provisioning is not currently the main drag on profit.
Key risks
Key signals
TTM YoY · 2026Q1
Are assets at risk?
Balance Sheet Quality & Asset Composition
Where is the balance sheet exposed, and how resilient does it look?
The balance sheet is leaning more toward the margin book, so growth quality depends meaningfully on the safety of loans and receivables.
The margin book is about 44.8% of assets, the prop book about 6.9%, liquid assets around 6.6%, equity roughly 46.7%.
A high margin-book share makes the balance sheet more sensitive to asset quality and funding cost.
The margin book is larger than the prop book.
Capital buffer is not the main weakness for now, so the key reading point shifts to which assets are driving the balance sheet.
Key risks
Loans and receivables are large enough to make the balance sheet more sensitive to asset quality and funding cost.
Key signals
Quarterly YoY · 2026Q1
Is leverage safe?
Capital, Funding & Risk Posture
Are capital buffers and funding posture sufficiently safe?
Short-term funding is the tighter part of the balance sheet, even if the case is not yet in outright capital stress.
Equity currently equals 46.7% of assets, liabilities stand at 1.14x of equity, short-term borrowings are about 49.2% of assets, cash covers roughly 0.11x of short-term borrowings.
The point that needs the closest reading now is short-term funding structure rather than the earnings headline.
Risk is coming more from short-term funding, so the key reading point is not just borrowing size but cash and liquid-asset cover.
Liquidity buffer is not yet thick enough relative to short-term funding needs.
Key risks
Short-term borrowings or cash coverage are in a range that creates more pressure on funding and liquidity posture.
Key signals
Quarterly YoY · 2026Q1
Investment Takeaway
Overall, VCI is showing a more balanced earnings mix thanks to brokerage and service income, but short-term funding remains tight enough for caution.
Brokerage and service income are now large enough to reduce pure dependence on trading or margin.
Short-term funding structure is tight enough to become the most visible risk in the current capital posture.
Statement Data
| Item | 2025 | 2024 |
|---|---|---|
|
1.1. Gains from financial assets at fair value through profit or loss (FVTPL)
|
2,356.3 | 1,778.6 |
|
1.3. Interest income from loans and receivables
|
1,204.8 | 872.9 |
|
1.6. Revenue from brokerage services
|
1,000.2 | 729.6 |
|
Revenue from securities business (01->11)
|
4,980.2 | 3,695.5 |
|
Operating expenses (21->33)
|
2,391.0 | 1,717.4 |
|
Gross profit
|
2,589.2 | 1,978.1 |
|
Total financial income (41->44)
|
23.2 | 50.6 |
|
Total financial expenses (51->54)
|
853.7 | 797.5 |
|
VI. General and Administrative expenses
|
144.9 | 144.7 |
|
VII. Net profit from securities business (20+50-40-60-61-62)
|
1,613.8 | 1,086.6 |
|
IX. Profit before tax (70+80)
|
1,629.2 | 1,089.3 |
|
CORPORATE INCOME TAX
|
287.3 | 178.6 |
|
XI. Net profit after tax (90-100)
|
1,342.0 | 910.7 |
|
11.1. Profit after tax for shareholders of the parents company
|
1,342.0 | 910.7 |
|
Total other comprehensive income
|
321.7 | 764.7 |
|
13.1. Earning per share
|
1,854.00 | 1,540.00 |
|
13.2. Diluted earning per share
|
1,854.00 | 1,540.00 |
|
Earnings per Share
|
973.73 | 931.64 |
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