VCI

Chứng khoán Vietcap ·HOSE ·2026Q1

▲▲ TRADING-LED STRONG

Trading-led Trading share 48.4%, NPAT +37.7% YoY
Price
24,350
Latest close
02 Jun 2026
EPS TTM (TTM) 1,178
BVPS (Latest) 12,229
P/E (Price/EPS) 20.7x
P/B (Price/BVPS) 2.0x
ROAE TTM (TTM) 9.3%
PBT Margin (TTM) 30.3%
Trading Share (Mix) 48.4%
Service & Brokerage Share (Mix) 25.0%
Equity / Assets (Latest) 46.7%
Leverage (Latest) 1.1x

Securities House Picture

On a TTM basis through 2026Q1, pre-tax profit is currently about 1,678.0bn, equivalent to a pre-tax margin of 30.3%, showing a relatively clean and sufficiently thick earnings base, while margin has narrowed by 2.2pp, pointing to greater pressure on earnings quality. The revenue mix still leans mainly on trading at 48.4% but narrowing by 2.3pp, while lending is at 26.6%; brokerage and services have reached 25.0% and improved by +2.7pp, making diversification more visible. On the balance sheet, Equity / Assets is 46.7% while Leverage is about 1.14x, indicating that buffers and funding are not yet truly roomy, but buffers have thinned while leverage has risen further.

Trading
Doanh thu 2.893 tỷ
+43,9%
Lãi thuần 1.069 tỷ
+3,6%
Margin lending
Doanh thu 1.362 tỷ
+43,5%
Dư nợ 16.613 tỷ
+64,6%
Brokerage
Doanh thu 1.191 tỷ
+71,0%
Lãi thuần 433 tỷ
+217,9%
Metric Q1'26 Q4'25 Q3'25 Q2'25 Q1'25 Q4'24 Q3'24 Q2'24 Q1'24
PBT 403.9 543.7 518.9 211.5 355.1 253.3 264.7 343.8 227.5
Trading Share 39.5% 52.3% 49.0% 54.3% 45.2% 49.1% 57.0% 50.7% 48.9%
Lending Share 32.5% 26.2% 22.9% 24.2% 32.7% 27.9% 22.0% 26.5% 25.0%
Service & Brokerage Share 27.9% 21.5% 28.2% 21.5% 22.1% 23.0% 21.1% 22.8% 26.1%
PBT Margin 28.72% 35.62% 35.96% 18.24% 41.73% 25.36% 27.17% 37.54% 28.22%
Equity / Assets 46.7% 50.0% 42.6% 56.8% 53.0% 48.7% 42.3% 38.3% 41.8%
Leverage 1.14x 1.00x 1.35x 0.76x 0.89x 1.05x 1.36x 1.61x 1.39x

Drivers of VCI's profit

TTM

Net profit attributable to parent increased vs last year, mainly helped by higher margin lending. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Margin lending +VND 413bn
Brokerage +VND 297bn
Total costs −VND 291bn
Tax −VND 81.1bn
TTM

Net profit attributable to parent increased vs prior quarter, mainly helped by higher brokerage. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Brokerage +VND 159bn
Margin lending +VND 158bn
Total costs −VND 187bn
Trading −VND 72.6bn
Other fees −VND 8.1bn

Financial Highlights

Detailed analysis of each financial dimension

Is revenue sustainable?

very positive positive stable watch under pressure

Revenue Mix & Earnings Engine

Where are current earnings coming from?

Revenue remains tilted toward trading, but the quality of that engine still needs to be read alongside concentration and the real contribution from brokerage and services.

Trading currently accounts for about 48.4%, lending is at 26.6%, brokerage is around 23.2%, other services about 1.7%, brokerage plus services together are 25.0%.

Trading is still the main engine, but brokerage and services have become large enough to start providing a more tangible diversification layer.

Revaluation is currently only a small component and not a headline driver.

The mix is still fairly readable for now, but case durability will depend on whether brokerage and services keep thickening.

Key risks

Key signals

Securities business revenue 5,535.8bn +48.0% YoY
PBT margin 30.3% −2.2pp
Trading Share 48.4% −2.3pp
Brokerage Share 23.2% +3.4pp

TTM YoY · 2026Q1

Profitability Quality & Volatility

How strong is current profitability, and how durable is it?

Profitability currently looks relatively clean, with margins and returns strong enough not to rely heavily on unusual support.

Pre-tax margin is currently 30.3%, Return on assets is about 4.6%, revaluation accounts for 0.6% of pre-tax profit.

Headline profit is still fairly readable because returns are not being materially distorted by less durable support.

Profit appears cleaner and less dependent on revaluation.

Provisioning is not currently the main drag on profit.

Key risks

Key signals

PBT margin 30.3% −2.2pp
Net margin 25.1% −1.9pp
ROAA 4.6% +1.3pp
ROAE 9.3% +2.8pp

TTM YoY · 2026Q1

Are assets at risk?

Balance Sheet Quality & Asset Composition

Where is the balance sheet exposed, and how resilient does it look?

The balance sheet is leaning more toward the margin book, so growth quality depends meaningfully on the safety of loans and receivables.

The margin book is about 44.8% of assets, the prop book about 6.9%, liquid assets around 6.6%, equity roughly 46.7%.

A high margin-book share makes the balance sheet more sensitive to asset quality and funding cost.

The margin book is larger than the prop book.

Capital buffer is not the main weakness for now, so the key reading point shifts to which assets are driving the balance sheet.

Key risks

Margin-book concentration risk

Loans and receivables are large enough to make the balance sheet more sensitive to asset quality and funding cost.

Key signals

Margin book / Assets 44.8% +2.2pp
Prop book / Assets 6.9% +1.8pp
Liquid assets / Assets 6.6% −6.9pp
Equity / Assets 46.7% −6.3pp
Liabilities / Equity 1.14x +0.26x

Quarterly YoY · 2026Q1

Is leverage safe?

Capital, Funding & Risk Posture

Are capital buffers and funding posture sufficiently safe?

Short-term funding is the tighter part of the balance sheet, even if the case is not yet in outright capital stress.

Equity currently equals 46.7% of assets, liabilities stand at 1.14x of equity, short-term borrowings are about 49.2% of assets, cash covers roughly 0.11x of short-term borrowings.

The point that needs the closest reading now is short-term funding structure rather than the earnings headline.

Risk is coming more from short-term funding, so the key reading point is not just borrowing size but cash and liquid-asset cover.

Liquidity buffer is not yet thick enough relative to short-term funding needs.

Key risks

Short-term funding pressure

Short-term borrowings or cash coverage are in a range that creates more pressure on funding and liquidity posture.

Key signals

Equity / Assets 46.7% −6.3pp
Liabilities / Equity 1.14x +0.26x
Short-term borrowings / Assets 49.2% +5.7pp
Liquid assets / Assets 6.6% −6.9pp
Cash / Short-term borrowings 0.11x −0.11x

Quarterly YoY · 2026Q1

Investment Takeaway

Overall, VCI is showing a more balanced earnings mix thanks to brokerage and service income, but short-term funding remains tight enough for caution.

Brokerage and service income are now large enough to reduce pure dependence on trading or margin.

Short-term funding structure is tight enough to become the most visible risk in the current capital posture.

Statement Data

Item 2025 2024
1.1. Gains from financial assets at fair value through profit or loss (FVTPL)
2,356.3 1,778.6
1.3. Interest income from loans and receivables
1,204.8 872.9
1.6. Revenue from brokerage services
1,000.2 729.6
Revenue from securities business (01->11)
4,980.2 3,695.5
Operating expenses (21->33)
2,391.0 1,717.4
Gross profit
2,589.2 1,978.1
Total financial income (41->44)
23.2 50.6
Total financial expenses (51->54)
853.7 797.5
VI. General and Administrative expenses
144.9 144.7
VII. Net profit from securities business (20+50-40-60-61-62)
1,613.8 1,086.6
IX. Profit before tax (70+80)
1,629.2 1,089.3
CORPORATE INCOME TAX
287.3 178.6
XI. Net profit after tax (90-100)
1,342.0 910.7
11.1. Profit after tax for shareholders of the parents company
1,342.0 910.7
Total other comprehensive income
321.7 764.7
13.1. Earning per share
1,854.00 1,540.00
13.2. Diluted earning per share
1,854.00 1,540.00
Earnings per Share
973.73 931.64

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