GIC

VSC Green Logistics ·HNX ·2026Q1

▼▼ Declining sharply

Price
12,500
Latest close
04 Jun 2026
P/E 10.83x
P/B 0.65x
EPS 1,155
BVPS 19,167
ROE 5.7%
ROA 5.2%
Profit Margin 8.9%
Asset Turnover 0.59x
Equity Mult. 1.09x

TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, GIC is going through a period of clear decline across multiple metrics at once — profit is at an all-time high. What still needs to be determined is whether the business can find a stabilization point in the near term, or whether current pressure has not yet run its course.

TTM REVENUE
VND 159bn
−1.0%YoY
NET MARGIN
8.91%
−1.1ppYoY
TTM NET PROFIT
VND 14bn
−12.1%YoY
Metric Q1'26 Q4'25 Q3'25 Q2'25 Q1'25 Q4'24 Q3'24 Q2'24 Q1'24 Q4'23 Q3'23 Q2'23
Revenue 40.0 41.0 40.0 38.4 36.6 43.3 42.9 38.2 35.0 44.7 43.6 42.5
Growth -3% +3% +4% +5% -15% +1% +12% +9% -22% +2% +3%
Net Income 2.3 4.3 3.5 4.1 2.7 3.3 5.2 4.9 2.8 5.3 4.4 3.7
Net Margin 5.79% 10.36% 8.76% 10.78% 7.38% 7.63% 12.23% 12.85% 7.94% 11.88% 10.14% 8.78%

Drivers of GIC's profit

TTM

Net profit attributable to parent declined vs last year, mainly due to higher selling expenses. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Gross profit ↑ 8.8bn
Selling expenses ↑ 10.2bn
Finance costs ↑ 0.4bn
TTM

Net profit attributable to parent declined vs prior quarter, mainly due to higher selling expenses. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Gross profit ↑ 5.0bn
Administrative expenses ↓ 0.1bn
Selling expenses ↑ 5.1bn
Financial income ↓ 0.2bn
Finance costs ↑ 0.1bn
Tax ↑ 0.1bn

Financial Highlights

Detailed analysis of each financial dimension

ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier

2025Q1 6.8% = 10.0% × 0.61 × 1.11
2026Q1 5.7% = 8.9% × 0.59 × 1.09

ROE fell from 6.8% to 5.7% — all three components weakened, with asset turnover being the main drag.

Net margin: 8.9% -1.1pp Asset turnover: 0.59x -0.03x Leverage: 1.09x -0.02x

Is the profit sustainable?

Margins narrowed but earnings quality remains clean — pressure is mainly operational.

very positive positive stable watch under pressure

What is driving the margin?

Net margin narrowed to 8.91%, falling 1.1pp. The main pressure is SG&A / Revenue rose 6.7pp, outweighing the improvement in Gross margin rose 5.9pp (with lingering pressure from Net financial result / Revenue fell 0.2pp).

The pressure comes from core operations — this is a concerning type of decline, not a one-off movement.

Profitability trend

Net Margin 8.91% −1.1pp
Gross Margin 46.17% +5.9pp
SG&A / Revenue 35.52% +6.7pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Is capital being used efficiently?

Capital efficiency should be read in industry context — ROIC may fluctuate with business specifics.

Is capital being deployed efficiently?

Track how much operating profit the business generates on invested capital.

Industry characteristics make ROIC cyclical — this is a reference signal and should be read with the business context.

CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

ROIC
NOPAT Margin 8.92% −1.1pp
Capital Turnover
Average Invested Capital

Balance Sheet

ROIC above should be read with industry context — the balance sheet below adds perspective. Balance sheet is exceptionally sound — liabilities at 0.09x equity, with a net cash position equivalent to 0.13x equity.

Over the last 12 months, working capital released 4.2bn of cash, mainly thanks to higher payables. Pressure from higher receivables only partly offset that benefit.

Working Capital Drivers

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables increased → lower CFO: −29.7bn
Inventories were broadly stable → neutral CFO:
Payables increased → higher CFO: +33.9bn

Working Capital Efficiency

Cash conversion cycle lengthened by 8.9 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO rose 0.9 days, DSO rose 7.5 days, and DPO fell 0.4 days.

All 3 drivers are deteriorating — working capital is becoming more deeply tied up in the operating cycle.

Watchpoints

Cash conversion cycle is lengthening

CCC is up by +8.9 days, indicating weaker working-capital turnover versus the prior year.

Receivables collection is slowing

DSO increased by +7.5 days, pointing to slower receivables turnover.

Working Capital Efficiency

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables 17.5 days +7.5 days
Inventory 10.0 days +0.9 days
Payables 17.1 days −0.4 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 10.4 days +8.9 days

Is financial risk significant?

Financial risk is low — the company has net cash and CFO reached 29.5bn.

Leverage & Liquidity

Leverage looks fairly comfortable, with net debt / equity at -0.13x and interest coverage at 7.09x.

Debt maturity and the cash buffer remain the two key areas to monitor.

Some leverage signals are missing, so the current read should be treated as contextual.

Leverage and liquidity trend

Net Debt / Equity -0.13x
Interest Coverage 7.09x −2.52x
Cash / Debt
Short-term Debt / Total Debt
CFO / NI 1.63x +0.44x

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Cash Flow

With safe leverage noted above, cash flow below shows the self-funding capacity. Operating cash flow reached 29.5bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of 11.7bn.

Post-investment cash flow was positive +41.2bn. Financing cash flow was negative +0.0bn.

CFO / net income was 1.63x.

Track how much investment can be funded internally from operating cash flow.

Cash capex or FCF data is incomplete, so the cash-conversion view is only partial.

Cash Conversion

TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

CFO TTM 23.2bn +3.9bn
Cash Capex
FCF TTM

Investment Takeaway

The business is under real pressure, but the current picture has not turned broadly adverse. A notable area has clearly weakened, making the near-term outlook hard to call bright; even so, other parts of the business are still holding up, with some core pressures remaining the main constraint. The next watchpoint is capital efficiency. The main offsetting support comes from earnings conversion is confirmed, with CFO/NI at 1.63x.

Improvement: earnings conversion looks more confirmed, with CFO / net income at 1.63x.

Watchpoint: Capital efficiency needs cycle context.

Statement Data

Item 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Net Revenue
156.0 159.3 172.3 168.3 162.7
Cost of Goods Sold
87.4 94.3 102.7 107.3 0.0
Gross Profit
68.5 65.1 69.6 61.1 54.4
Financial Expenses
2.2 1.9 0.5 0.0 -0.2
Selling Expenses
45.1 40.2 45.9 38.9 -25.1
General and Administrative Expenses
6.4 6.3 6.7 5.2 -3.8
Operating Profit
16.5 17.8 18.7 18.2 26.0
Profit Before Tax
16.5 18.1 18.6 18.5 26.1
Net Income
14.6 16.2 16.6 16.6 24.5
Profit Attributable to Parent
14.6 16.2 16.6 16.6 24.5
Earnings per Share
1,204.00 1,340.00 1,372.00 1,374.00 1,265.00

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